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Old 08-27-2016, 08:11 AM   #91
sammy the sage
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adding another one for Traver's day...12th....#3 Lady Eli...had bad hoof condition...over it now....works look great...BBBuuuuttttt....her competition has improved....has she???....not going to take 1/1 or less to find out....esp. after a year off...

current record...prior to today's against the chalk...17-12...
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Old 08-27-2016, 06:24 PM   #92
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sammy the sage
adding another one for Traver's day...12th....#3 Lady Eli...had bad hoof condition...over it now....works look great...BBBuuuuttttt....her competition has improved....has she???....not going to take 1/1 or less to find out....esp. after a year off...

current record...prior to today's against the chalk...17-12...

YOU WERE CORRECT, HOPE you cashed pal !
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Old 08-27-2016, 07:22 PM   #93
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yes...coulda done better...can't we all...thanks for the thoughts...

19-12 now...
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Old 09-03-2016, 07:04 AM   #94
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Toga...today 9/3..5th...#2 Camelot Kitten 9/5 ML....Mr. Brown was wondering whether to run him here or rest him...per Drf article...when a trainer is wishy washy...usually bad news...besides there are a couple in here on paper just as fast or faster...CS does like to win tho...still...will play against that today...if he goes....
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Old 09-03-2016, 08:41 AM   #95
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sammy the sage
Toga...today 9/3..5th...#2 Camelot Kitten 9/5 ML....Mr. Brown was wondering whether to run him here or rest him...per Drf article...when a trainer is wishy washy...usually bad news...besides there are a couple in here on paper just as fast or faster...CS does like to win tho...still...will play against that today...if he goes....
I can see him losing. Will be near last today. Will need a trip. Unlike last where outside post and pace was not such a deterrent. Was able to work out a 2nd over trip and grind up. Today might be inside near back till the 1/4 and will need to show massive acceleration to win. (Unless there is race flow/collapse)
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Old 09-03-2016, 09:18 AM   #96
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I picked Strike Midnight in the 5th at Saratoga.
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Old 09-03-2016, 09:25 AM   #97
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pandy
I picked Strike Midnight in the 5th at Saratoga.
Going with either

Call Provision or
Copingaway

if I play the race. Not a huge believer in Camelot Kitten either.
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Old 09-03-2016, 10:43 AM   #98
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I picked Strike Midnight in the 5th at Saratoga.
me too..
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Old 09-04-2016, 10:14 PM   #99
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20-12 now...Labor Day at the Spa...

7th...Vandalize 8/5 ML....my 1st comment is WHERE's Johnny???...2nd is...this NOT a normal Pletcher drop....ie...look in the 5th for his typical modus operandi...just smells...will be against today...

If there is a program change and JV is up...then will change to a no play...

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Old 09-08-2016, 08:28 AM   #100
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21-12 now...Thurs...9/8/16 at venerable Kentucky Downs

in the 4th...20k claimers...looks like CHAOS race...w/a 2/1ML...Bissectrisa...will be against trainer Sharp here....

if the crowd follows the ML makers take off the huge fig ran 2 back...just don't see an older cheap mare running back to that...plus several here are freshened up...surface change...and Jock upgrades...will be against the Fav. here...
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Old 09-10-2016, 09:20 AM   #101
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22-12...now...Super Derby at La. Downs...11th race...will be against #2 Mo Tom 7/5 ML probably 4/5 start...strictly a handicapping pace play here...if he can go 3/4 wide and circle this field too...more power to him and I'll lose...don't think so tho...
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Old 09-10-2016, 09:35 PM   #102
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was not the same horse...didn't even hit the tri...23-12 now...he needs LESS Tom....ie...a break...

Sun...back to the dueling grounds....ie...Kentucky downs....9th...9/5 ML Airoforce..#10..this horse has NOT improved from last .year...something not quite right or he is what he's gonna be...maybe too much too soon...anyways...life & death to win the last one...this field MUCH tougher....and distance MORE demanding....he keeps getting bet & will get bet here....but NOT by me...am against here....

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Old 09-10-2016, 10:00 PM   #103
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Sammy, I got to give you props for being on fire lately. Since going 10-9 at one point, you've now gone 13-3 since then, for an overall 23-12. Hopefully I haven't "mushed" you with this post.....Continued Good Luck..
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Old 09-11-2016, 07:11 PM   #104
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Sammy, I got to give you props for being on fire lately. Since going 10-9 at one point, you've now gone 13-3 since then, for an overall 23-12. Hopefully I haven't "mushed" you with this post.....Continued Good Luck..
thanks for that...not nearly as easy as seems...we all know that typical favorites win at 33 to 37 % depending on track....but TRUE ODDS on favs win at a MUCH higher % ...especially in small fields....there are charts and stats floating around...

betting against them takes...????...still that's where the TRUE money is...do I hit every time I'm right...nope...

But let's say you like a 6/1....and in field w/big chalk...it's now 8 or 10 to 1...I only gotta be right about the winner less than 20 % to smell like roses...or you can dutch or SPREAD in exotics and REALLY kill it...

oh by the way...today...said horse...not even on the board...now 24-12

some say....why don't post who you like....years ago I did...had some pretty good streaks posting...also posted some losers....it's horse racing...happens...

so...2 fold answer...hate letting people down...but in the end...people don't appreciate anything free...and why should I kill the odds something anyways...

wait...that's mighty arrogant some might say...well too bad...so sad...for whom-ever...
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Old 10-08-2016, 07:10 AM   #105
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I'm back...24-12...for current year...and for sat. 10/8...once again...have to pick against Lady Eli 8/5 ML #5 race 6 Belmont...going longer....yes...she needed a race....but think that 1.25 mile might be a bit much...her stable mate other "Brownie"..Sea Calesa...will NOT be a problem for her....
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