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Old 05-04-2024, 09:32 AM   #31
classhandicapper
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I'm waiting until after the Pat Day Mile to make a final decision. I want to see Top Conor run back out of the Blue Grass. He was the pace setter in the BG. Since I'm not sure about the flow of that race, he might give me another clue.

My general feeling is the Risen Star was the best US race/group and Sierra Leone probably best of the group. That's the race I'm focusing on most looking for value, but I am also interested in Just A Touch depending on how Top Conor runs.

Fierceness may just be too good, but in big races like this I prefer betting on horses that have demonstrated they can handle tough trips and win. As the favorite, I'm going to have to let him beat me.

Forever Young could be anything, but I don't think he's faced a field like his yet.
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Old 05-04-2024, 09:41 AM   #32
zico20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Andy Asaro View Post
Firm on the early P5 then will probably make some adjustments. Some legs I will use the ones I like best more times in the Horizontals. GL


1. 1,2
2. 3,6
3. 3,9,11
4. 6,7
5. 1,4,8,14
6. 1,5,7,10
7. 11,12
8. 7, 11,12
9. 5,6
10. 2,4,6,7,9
11. 1,5,6,8,11
12. 2,8,11,15,17
The 3rd race you can just single the , Mindframe is supposed to be a super horse. No way on the planet he goes off at his 2-1 ML, more like 2-5. Sorry to crush those who are planning a big win bet on him thinking possibly even money.
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Old 05-04-2024, 10:03 AM   #33
Copyroomjim
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Derby bet

Win-Place on , Stronghold. Exacta box :7, ,, Tri box, the same 4. Good luck all.
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Old 05-04-2024, 10:26 AM   #34
Aerocraft67
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I'm not ready to declare a PA wise guy horse, but is definitely getting our respect.
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Old 05-04-2024, 12:04 PM   #35
Tor Ekman
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Honor Marie W/P

Exacta Box
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Old 05-04-2024, 01:21 PM   #36
Red Knave
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I'll take a shot on Just a Touch. Boxing with the favs 2, 4, 17.


Hope it's a good race.
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Old 05-04-2024, 01:37 PM   #37
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Wink UPDATE: Mistakes in Advanced Wagering

Hi Everyone!

I had problems and had to REVISE my wagering and I made mistakes, changed my mind(for the better I think being more sensible later on). But maybe for the better. See previous post in this thread for my FIRST intentions.

The SUPERFACTOR is a minimum $1.00 not 20 cents per combo. And I didn't copy to my computer my revised picks so I therefore made mistakes.

See my post: "Nick Borg's Spirit PICKS For Kentucky Derby 2024" for more details for the WIN PICKS.

I OFFICIALLY ADVANCED WAGERED the following AND IN ORDER OF PREFERENCE FOR HORSE PICKS:

WIN BETS(Same as previous post in this thread. No change.):
$8.00
$12.00

SHOW BETS(Same as previous post in this thread. No change.):
$20.00
$20.00

EXACTORS
with for $2 each combo. This was a mistake but due to advanced wager this is a done deal but because I changed my mind. It should have been
with for $2 each combo!
So what I did was ALSO to cover my Exactor mistake with the following:
with for $1 each combo!

TRIFACTOR
None

SUPERFACTOR(Had to change as 20 cents per combination was not offered.)
over over over for $1 per combination = $54.00

Could all workout for good.

Sincerely Triopstor.
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Old 05-04-2024, 02:43 PM   #38
denniswilliams
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$100 win parlay Sierra Leone to Sha Tin Race 7 Daring Pursuit
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Old 05-04-2024, 02:53 PM   #39
Ahorsewithnoname
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WPS
# Forever Young
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Old 05-04-2024, 02:58 PM   #40
summersquall
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also on the :11 W.P.S 2 4 19/11 exacta 11/2,4,19
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Old 05-04-2024, 03:03 PM   #41
bisket
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Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper View Post
I'm waiting until after the Pat Day Mile to make a final decision. I want to see Top Conor run back out of the Blue Grass. He was the pace setter in the BG. Since I'm not sure about the flow of that race, he might give me another clue.

My general feeling is the Risen Star was the best US race/group and Sierra Leone probably best of the group. That's the race I'm focusing on most looking for value, but I am also interested in Just A Touch depending on how Top Conor runs.

Fierceness may just be too good, but in big races like this I prefer betting on horses that have demonstrated they can handle tough trips and win. As the favorite, I'm going to have to let him beat me.

Forever Young could be anything, but I don't think he's faced a field like his yet.
Another horse Sierra Leone beat finishes up the track and killed my wagers lol
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Old 05-04-2024, 03:22 PM   #42
Aerocraft67
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Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper View Post
I'm waiting until after the Pat Day Mile to make a final decision. I want to see Top Conor run back out of the Blue Grass. He was the pace setter in the BG. Since I'm not sure about the flow of that race, he might give me another clue.

My general feeling is the Risen Star was the best US race/group and Sierra Leone probably best of the group. That's the race I'm focusing on most looking for value, but I am also interested in Just A Touch depending on how Top Conor runs.
So what's the take, downgrade Sierra Leone and Just a Touch?
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Old 05-04-2024, 03:49 PM   #43
bisket
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$10 ex box 21
$2 tri box 21
$1 tri box 21
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Old 05-04-2024, 04:28 PM   #44
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Arrow

Is Fiercness the next Big Brown or another Pletcher no show??


I am playing against in the derby. I am only using him underneath.


I have made the and my longshots and have wheeled them up and down on the ADW.


I love Derby day and the chaos it brings.

Too bad it only happens once a year.
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Old 05-04-2024, 04:45 PM   #45
Sparky13
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Fierceness; Sierra Leone; Catching Freedom; Just a Touch
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