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11-23-2019, 03:34 AM
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#331
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,021
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
UPDATE: R#9- 1600M C3 (8F)T
. 2-4-8 W/ 1-3-13
.3:25 AM
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4-1-12-2 Dutch Win 40% Profit Margin - Passed / $65.40 Quinella
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11-23-2019, 03:57 AM
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#332
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,021
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UPDATE: R#10-1400M C2 (7F)T
1-7-2 W/ 12-8-6
.4:00 AM
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11-23-2019, 04:16 AM
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#333
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,021
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
UPDATE: R#10-1400M C2 (7F)T
1-7-2 W/ 12-8-6
.4:00 AM
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1-8-12-7 Dutch Win 29% Profit Margin - Passed / $18.20 Quinella & $189.60 Triple BX ($778.40 Quartet Bx) All of that one!
After a slow start, it turned out to be another excellent race card. The playable Dutch Win bets produced only a 5% O.A. Profit margin hitting 3 of 6 races. There were a quite few decent Verticals as well; Hitting (4) Quinellas & (3) Triples) with some great value!
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11-27-2019, 12:03 AM
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#334
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,021
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HONG KONG HAPPY VALLEY - WED - 11/27/19
Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
Im posting my pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 9 races at Happy Valley all to be run on Turf:
( Class from top to bottom) (3)-Class-3, (4)-Class-4, (2)-Class-5
Post Time Race #1 5:45 AM WED EST
Ive taken a look at the M/Ls in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these and any others I might have missed.
The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.
BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I cant make a Dutch Win bet Ill generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined odds values of the selected entries add up to decent return.
Good Luck if youre playing!
R#1- 1000M C5 (5F)T
.....4-8-11 W/ 2-7-1
...5:45 AM
R#2- 1200M C4 (6F)T
....12-1-9 W/ 7-5-10
..
.6:15 AM
R#3- 1800M C5 (9F)T
.12-8-10W/ 3-4-7
....6:45 AM
R#4- 2200M C4 (11F)T
8-10-2 W/ 1-12-11
....7:15 AM
R#5- 1200M C4 (6F)T
.....8-2-1 W/ 11-4-5
.....7:45 AM
R#6- 1000M C3 (5F)T
.
.3-2-1 W/ 10-6-5
......8:15 AM
R#7 1200M C4 (6F)T
.
..3-2-9 W/ 10-7-8
.
8:45 AM
R#8- 1800M C3 (9F)T
..
7-11-6 W/ 1-3-9
.
9:15 AM
R#9- 1200M C3 (6F)T
....7-5-1 W/ 12-10-6
...9:50 AM
.
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11-27-2019, 02:11 AM
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#335
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,831
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All the hundreds of players banking with these selection that seem to ALL OF THAT every week must be lurkers 'cause they never post their thanks .
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11-27-2019, 12:33 PM
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#336
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,021
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AltonKelsey
All the hundreds of players banking with these selection that seem to ALL OF THAT every week must be lurkers 'cause they never post their thanks .
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Ever hear of Private messages?
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11-27-2019, 12:34 PM
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#337
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,021
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R#1- 1000M C5 (5F)T
.....4-6-11 W/ 2-7-1
...5:45 AM
6-2-4-11 Dutch Win 86% Profit Margin / $43.70 Quinella & $537.20 Triple / Very heavy action on #6 (becoming favored) caused the obvious substitution
R#2- 1200M C4 (6F)T
....12-1-9 W/ 7-5-10
..
.6:15 AM
1-11-7-5 Dutch Win 32% Profit Margin - Passed /
R#3- 1800M C5 (9F)T
.12-8-10W/ 3-4-7
....6:45 AM
3-12-6-8 Dutch Loss 137% Profit Margin / $26.30 Quinella
R#4- 2200M C4 (11F)T
8-10-11 W/ 1-12-2
....7:15 AM
6-10-12-8 Dutch Loss 66% Profit Margin /
R#5- 1200M C4 (6F)T
.....8-4-1 W/ 11-2-5
.....7:45 AM
10-4-6-3 Dutch Loss 44% Profit Margin - Passed /
R#6- 1000M C3 (5F)T
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.3-2-1 W/ 10-6-5
......8:15 AM
6-10-12-5 Dutch Loss 138% Profit Margin / $17.20 Quinella
R#7 1200M C4 (6F)T
.
..3-2-4 W/ 10-7-8
.
8:45 AM
4-3-10-7 Dutch Win 51% Profit Margin / $10.60 Quinella & $116.40 Triple / Very heavy action on #4 (becoming favored) caused the obvious substitution
R#8- 1800M C3 (9F)T
..
7-11-6 W/ 1-3-9
.
9:15 AM
7-10-9-3 Dutch Win 129% Profit Margin /
R#9- 1200M C3 (6F)T
....7-5-1 W/ 12-10-6
...9:50 AM
10-5-7-12 Dutch Loss 89% Profit Margin / $9.10 Quinella & $156.80 Triple
It wasnt a very profitable card today. The Dutch Win bets produced an O.A. Loss margin of 23% and was caused by winning only 3 of 7 playable races. Also hit were (5) Quinellas and (3) Triples.
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11-30-2019, 10:41 PM
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#338
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,021
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HONG KONG - SHA TIN SUN - 12/1/19
Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
Im posting my pre-race selections for another quality & very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 10 races at Sha Tin with 3 races on Turf & 7 on the Dirt:
(Class top to bottom) - (1)-Class-2, (3)-Class-3, (3)-Class-4, (3)-Class-5
Post Time Race #1 11:15 PM SUN EST
Ive taken a look at the M/Ls in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these and any others I might have missed.
The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.Quite a few of the races this morning look wide open!
BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I cant make a Dutch Win bet Ill generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.
Good Luck if youre playing!
R#1-1200M C5 (6F)D
.
..
8-10-1 W/ 12-7-11
.11:15 PM
R#2-1650M C5 (8.25F)D
.11-1-5 W/ 9-12-2
.
..11:45 PM
R#31200M C4 (6F)T
...1-11-7 W/ 8-12-2
..12:15 AM
R#4- 1200M C5 (6F)D
.
.10-12-2 W/ 6-1-11
.
12:45 AM
R#5- 1800M C4 (9F)D
.
.
7-14-3 W/ 9-1-2
..
1:15 AM
R#6- 1200M C4 (6F)D
...
6-1-5 W/11-8-3
..
.1:50 AM
R#7 1000M C3 (5F)T
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.10-7-4 W/ 9-12-1
.2:20 AM
R#8- 1200M C2 (6F)D
...8-2-3 W/ 9-6-7
...
2:55 AM
R#9- 1650M C3 (8.25F)D
. 5-6-7 W/ 14-4-13
...
.3:25 AM
R#10-1400M C3 (7F)T
.
11-5-8 W/ 12-4-13
...4:00 AM
.
.
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11-30-2019, 11:29 PM
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#339
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,021
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Quote:
R#1-1200M C5 (6F)D
.
..
8-10-1 W/ 12-7-11
.11:15 PM
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10-3-13-8 Dutch WIN 35% Profit Margin - Passed /
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11-30-2019, 11:55 PM
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#340
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,021
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Quote:
R#2-1650M C5 (8.25F)D
.11-1-5 W/ 9-12-2
.
..11:45 PM
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6-11-1-12 Dutch LOSS 49% Profit Margin - Passed / No action on the LS Winner
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12-01-2019, 12:25 AM
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#341
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,021
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Quote:
R#31200M C4 (6F)T
...1-11-7 W/ 8-12-2
..12:15 AM
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1-12-7-2 Dutch WIN 26% Profit Margin - Passed / $19.90 Quinella & $218.40 Triple BX ($1,099.80 Quartet Bx) All of that one!
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12-01-2019, 12:41 AM
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#342
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,021
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UPDATE:
R#4- 1200M C5 (6F)D
.
.6-12-1 W/ 10-2-11
.
12:45 AM
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12-01-2019, 12:57 AM
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#343
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,021
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
UPDATE:
R#4- 1200M C5 (6F)D
.
.6-12-1 W/ 10-2-11
.
12:45 AM
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11-12-7-6 Dutch Loss 69% Profit Margin / $72.30 Quinella
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12-01-2019, 01:11 AM
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#344
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,021
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UPDATE:
R#5- 1800M C4 (9F)D….….…7-14-4 W/ 9-2-3 ………..…1:15 AM
Last edited by Nitro; 12-01-2019 at 01:16 AM.
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12-01-2019, 01:34 AM
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#345
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,021
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
UPDATE:
R#5- 1800M C4 (9F)D
.
.
7-14-4 W/ 9-2-3
..
1:15 AM
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12-3-6-9 Dutch Loss 109% Profit Margin / Heavy late action on the LS Winner
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