Good evening & morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
Ive posted my pre-race selections for another quality & very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value.
10 races at Sha Tin with 6 races on Turf and 4 on the Dirt:
(Class top to bottom)
(1)-Class-G3, (1)-Class-2, (3)-Class-3, (3)-Class-4, (1)-Class-5, (1)-Class-6
Post Time Race #1 11:15 PM SAT EST
Ive taken a look at the M/Ls in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the
Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these and any others I might have missed.
The
latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.Quite a few of the races this morning look wide open!
BTW
the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher
^ than
50%.
When I cant make a Dutch Win bet Ill generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.
For those of you that have the resources to bet more than $2 per race you might want to consider the following in terms of betting:
1) Win Dutching 3 entries means betting each of the 3 entries so that no matter which one wins the return profit margin is the same. (Recommend waiting until 4 mins to post for final odds calculations).
2) For Quinellas there are many options:
a) Using all 3 of the top Keys with all the others = 12 bets
b) Boxing all 6 selections = 15 bets
3) Triples there also many options:
a) Using any Key in the top position w/All others = 20 bets
b) Using all 3 Keys in the top position w/All others = 60 bets
c) Using Top 4 selections in the top position w/All others = 80 bets
d) Boxing all 6 selections = 120 bets
(
Warning: For the Triples, the odds of the selected entries @ 7 mins to post should determine playability by comparing the
combined value of each
group of 3 that may complete the triple with the amount to be bet).
Good Luck if youre playing!
R#1-1400M C6 (7F)T
.
.
2-3-8 W/ 6-7
.
.l.
.11:15 PM
R#2-1650M C5 (8.25F)D
.
5-10-11 W/ 8-9-1
..
11:45 PM
R#31200M C4 (6F)T
...7-10-11 W/ 3-6-4
.
....12:15 AM
R#4- 1650M C4 (8.25F)D
.3-11-2 W/ 4-7-13
.
12:45 AM
R#5- 1200M C3 (6F)T
.
...
9-4-2 W/ 8-1-10
..
1:15 AM
R#6- 1400M C4 (7F)T
..
.6-12-4 W/ 9-10-11
.
.1:50 AM
R#7 1000M G3 (5F)T
..
.4-3-7 W/ 1
....
.2:20 AM
R#8- 1400M C3 (7F)T
..
..
4-5-13 W/ 9-2-11
..2.50 AM
R#9- 1650M C2 (8.25F)D
.
.2-6-1 W/ 3-5-11
.3:25 AM
R#10-1650M C3 (8.25F)D
.
. 5-6-7 W/ 14-11-8
.
.4:00 AM
For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action its available:
https://bet.hkjc.com/racing/pages/od...ng=en&dv=local
.
.
HONG KONG SHA TIN SUN 12/29/19
GL 
King Dragon
