Sat 1 dollar tournament
Sat playing a 1 dollar tournament on Horsetourneys and I have been really sucking awful as I have been in constant experiment mode with declining speed figures as well different types of class type angles using Bris figures as well as some interesting figures in terms of speed figures in sprints to pace figures in routes. Sat. I pick a modest 5 winners although a couple were the post time favorite.
It will not show on the picture I am going to post, but two of my alternative picks in terms of the possibility of being scratched before the race. In tournament play, all picks had to be in and of course it comes down to picking the winner to run 1st or 2nd. I could not make up mind between Wesley Ward horse Sahir in race # 6 Keeneland and of course I used the horse as my alternative and went with the # 5 horse Alicit Exception who ran again, a tight third off a third start off the layoff and a stretch out to 7 furlongs.
I also made a mistake in I believe it was the 7th or 8th race at Gulfstream where I decided to go with the # 3 horse with Joe Brave due to the speed figures and the Early horse. Of course he went to the lead and quit in the stretch to run dead last and my alternative horse was #1 Royal Dame who won the race, So if I just change my mind in one or both races I win 1st place.
I was just curious if anyone uses a Jockey/Trainer percentage with the post position win percentage. I have been experimenting with this in terms of negative figures in terms of beaten lengths in comparison to the cycles. Of course it does work better in terms of more experienced horses with starts under their belt as opposed 2 year olds or FTS or horses with relatively fewer starts. P.S. tough in tournaments when they use maiden races.
I totally agree with Michael Pizzola, maiden sp. wt. races are very, very, tricky and very difficult to software handicap these types of races without work out interpretation and connections.
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