Chalkers Delight @BEL Today

[TheOracle]

The Chalks ruled the day today at Belmont as all 11 races had win payouts less than $8

RowNum:	PgmNum:	Win$:	Place$:	Show$:	Dist:	RaceCond:TrackCond:Fieldof:	Race#:	Date:		ML	Horse			Trainer
1	2	2.8	2.3	2.1	6 Furl	Alw	Dirt Fast	6	1st	09-07-2019	  3/5#	Cash Offer (NY)		M A Hennig
2	5	3.4	2.5	2.1	6 Furl	Mdn Clm	Turf Good	10	2nd	09-07-2019	  6/5#	Cape Cod Diva (NY)	M A Hennig
3	2	5.6	3.4	3.0	6.5 FurlClm	Dirt Fast	6	3rd	09-07-2019	  7/5#	Happy Farm (FL)		J Servis
4	5	6.4	4.4	3.4	1 1/16 MMdn Clm	Turf Good	8	4th	09-07-2019	  5/2#	La Hara (IRE)		C C Brown
5	7	4.1	3.0	2.5	6.5 FurlMdn SpclDirt Fast	7	5th	09-07-2019	  5/2#	Alpha Sixty Six (KY)	T A Pletcher
6	5	7.3	3.9	2.9	6 Furl	Str Alw	Turf Good	7	6th	09-07-2019	  4/1#	A Dixie Twister (KY)	M Miceli
7	4	3.5	2.6	2.2	7 Furl	Alw	Turf Good	8	7th	09-07-2019	  7/5#	Halladay (KY)		T A Pletcher
8	7	4.9	3.1	2.5	1 1/2 M	Stakes	Dirt Fast	6	8th	09-07-2019	  2/1#	Marconi (KY)		T A Pletcher
9	1	5.2	3.9	3.1	1 3/8 M	Stakes	Turf Good	8	9th	09-07-2019	  5/2#	Edisa (KY)		A de Royer-Dupre
10	9	6.2	4.6	3.5	1 1/2 M	Stakes	Turf Good	9	10th	09-07-2019	  3/1#	Spanish Mission (KY)	D Simcock
11	8	4.7	3.0	2.4	7 Furl	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	7	11th	09-07-2019	  5/2#	Legion Storm (NY)	R Atras

11 Prices under $8	Avg Win $4.9		
			
ML Odds	Win/Att	Pct	Win Amt	Cost	Profit / Loss	Pct Return per $1			
5/2	4/6	66.6%	20.4	12	8.4		70%			
2/1	1/2	50%	4.9	4	0.9		22%			
All/5	4/7	57.1%	15.3	14	1.3		9%	

All/5 = (1/5,2/5,,,,9/5)

Tomorrow I suspect will be a Chalk apocalypse as days like this are not common at Belmont

[TheOracle]

Chalks ruled the day again at Belmont for the 2nd time in a row as 8 out of 9 races had win payouts less than $8

RowNum:	PgmNum:	Win$:	Place$:	Show$:	Dist:	RaceCond:TrackCond:Fieldof:	Race#:	Date:		ML	Horse			Trainer
1	3	5.6	2.6	2.1	6 Furl	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	7	1st	09-08-2019	  2/1#	Qian B C (NY)		C Baker
2	5	3.0	2.5	2.2	1 M	Clm	Dirt Fast	6	2nd	09-08-2019	  7/5#	Movie Score (KY)	J T Ryerson
3	4	3.4	2.6	2.1	6 Furl	Mdn Clm	Turf Firm	8	3rd	09-08-2019	  1/1#	Standup (KY)		T A Pletcher
4	6	4.5	2.7	2.3	7 Furl	Clm	Dirt Fast	5	4th	09-08-2019	  9/5#	Gypsum Johnny (NY)	J C Englehart
5	10	4.6	2.8	2.2	1 M	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	9	5th	09-08-2019	  5/2#	Maxwell Esquire (NY)	C Clement
6	7	5.8	3.4	4.8	6 Furl	Alw	Turf Firm	7	6th	09-08-2019	  5/1#	Andarta (NY)		T Albertrani
7	4	39.0	12.6	6.6	1 M	Mdn SpclDirt Fast	7	7th	09-08-2019	  10/1#	Miss Marissa (KY)	J T Ryerson
8	2	4.8	3.7	3.1	6 Furl	Stakes	Turf Firm	8	8th	09-08-2019	  4/1#	Uncle Benny (KY)	J Servis
9	5	4.9	3.4	2.7	1 1/16 MClm	Turf Firm	8	9th	09-08-2019	  8/5#	Siding Spring (KY)	M E Casse

8 Prices under $8		Avg Win $	8.4		
			
ML Odds	Win/Att	Pct	Win Amt	Cost	Profit / Loss	Pct Return per $1			
5/2	1/4	25%	4.6	8	-3.4		-43%			
2/1	1/2	50%	5.6	4	1.6		39%			
All/5	3/6	50%	12.4	12	0.4		3%		

All/5 = (1/5,2/5,,,,9/5)

Chalk players had a great weekend as 19 of 20 win payouts were under $8

I was sure Chalk players would feel the pain for having such a good day yesterday I suspect next week will be a different story!!!

[TheOracle]

Chalk players have been feasting at Belmont Morning Line Favorites (MLFs) less than 3-1 have been winning at 47% since opening day!!!

1	09-06-2019	1st race	5	Southern King (NY)	Alw	Dirt Sloppy	1 M	T A Pletcher	6/5#	P		3.3	2.4
2	09-06-2019	3rd race	1	Passporttovictory (NY)	Clm	Dirt Sloppy	7 Furl	J C Englehart	9/5#				
3	09-06-2019	3rd race	6	Archumybaby (NY)	Clm	Dirt Sloppy	7 Furl	R R Rodriguez	5/2#	W	9.0	4.6	2.9
4	09-06-2019	5th race	14	Bertranda (NY)		Alw Op CDirt Sloppy	6 Furl	M Kantarmaci	5/2#	W	9.2	4.3	3.0
5	09-06-2019	6th race	2	Stand for the Flag (KY)	Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	1 1/16 MJ Servis	6/5#	W	5.4	3.1	2.4
6	09-06-2019	6th race	3	My Happy Place (KY)	Mdn SpclDirt Sloppy	1 1/16 MC R McGaugheyIII5/2#	S			2.6
7	09-07-2019	1st race	2	Cash Offer (NY)		Alw	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	M A Hennig	3/5#	W	2.8	2.3	2.1
8	09-07-2019	2nd race	5	Cape Cod Diva (NY)	Mdn Clm	Turf Good	6 Furl	M A Hennig	6/5#	W	3.4	2.5	2.1
9	09-07-2019	3rd race	1	Data Driven (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	6.5 FurlR R Rodriguez	6/5#				
10	09-07-2019	3rd race	2	Happy Farm (FL)		Clm	Dirt Fast	6.5 FurlJ Servis	7/5#	W	5.6	3.4	3.0
11	09-07-2019	4th race	5	La Hara (IRE)		Mdn Clm	Turf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	5/2#	W	6.4	4.4	3.4
12	09-07-2019	5th race	4	Democratic Values (KY)	Mdn SpclDirt Fast	6.5 FurlC C Brown	8/5#				
13	09-07-2019	5th race	7	Alpha Sixty Six (KY)	Mdn SpclDirt Fast	6.5 FurlT A Pletcher	5/2#	W	4.1	3.0	2.5
14	09-07-2019	6th race	3	Odramark (KY)		Str Alw	Turf Good	6 Furl	J Navarro	2/1#	P		4.5	3.0
15	09-07-2019	7th race	4	Halladay (KY)		Alw	Turf Good	7 Furl	T A Pletcher	7/5#	W	3.5	2.6	2.2
16	09-07-2019	8th race	7	Marconi (KY)		Stakes	Dirt Fast	1 1/2 M	T A Pletcher	2/1#	W	4.9	3.1	2.5
17	09-07-2019	8th race	8	Rocketry (KY)		Stakes	Dirt Fast	1 1/2 M	J A Jerkens	5/2#				
18	09-07-2019	9th race	1	Edisa (KY)		Stakes	Turf Good	1 3/8 M	A de Royer-Dupre5/2#	W	5.2	3.9	3.1
19	09-07-2019	10th race	8	Digital Age (IRE)	Stakes	Turf Good	1 1/2 M	C C Brown	5/2#				
20	09-07-2019	11th race	1	Champagne Chills (NY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	G P Gullo	8/5#				
21	09-07-2019	11th race	8	Legion Storm (NY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	R Atras		5/2#	W	4.7	3.0	2.4
22	09-08-2019	1st race	2	Worth a Shot (NY)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	6 Furl	L Rice		8/5#	P		2.3	2.1
23	09-08-2019	1st race	3	Qian B C (NY)		Mdn SpclTurf Firm	6 Furl	C Baker		2/1#	W	5.6	2.6	2.1
24	09-08-2019	2nd race	3	Incredible Miss (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	1 M	M Kantarmaci	5/2#				
25	09-08-2019	2nd race	5	Movie Score (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	1 M	J T Ryerson	7/5#	W	3.0	2.5	2.2
26	09-08-2019	3rd race	4	Standup (KY)		Mdn Clm	Turf Firm	6 Furl	T A Pletcher	1/1#	W	3.4	2.6	2.1
27	09-08-2019	4th race	2	Sir Ballantine (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	J W Ferraro	5/2#	P		2.9	2.3
28	09-08-2019	4th race	4	Regalian (KY)		Clm	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	K M Grusmark	2/1#	S			2.6
29	09-08-2019	4th race	6	Gypsum Johnny (NY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	J C Englehart	9/5#	W	4.5	2.7	2.3
30	09-08-2019	5th race	10	Maxwell Esquire (NY)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 M	C Clement	5/2#	W	4.6	2.8	2.2
31	09-08-2019	6th race	3	Matzo Bella (NY)	Alw	Turf Firm	6 Furl	J Servis	8/5#				
32	09-08-2019	7th race	1	Abilene Trail (ON)	Mdn SpclDirt Fast	1 M	T A Pletcher	8/5#				
33	09-08-2019	7th race	3	Lucky Dime (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Fast	1 M	W I Mott	5/2#	P		5.9	4.0
34	09-08-2019	9th race	5	Siding Spring (KY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MM E Casse	8/5#	W	4.9	3.4	2.7
35	09-11-2019	1st race	1	Basie (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Fast	1 M	C C Brown	9/5#				
36	09-11-2019	1st race	1A	Brewmeister (KY)	Mdn SpclDirt Fast	1 M	C C Brown	9/5#				
37	09-11-2019	1st race	6	Ox Bridge (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Fast	1 M	T A Pletcher	8/5#				
38	09-11-2019	2nd race	1	Blessed Halo (FL)	Clm	Turf Firm	6 Furl	B H Cox		5/2#	P		4.1	3.5
39	09-11-2019	2nd race	7	Zap Daddy (FL)		Clm	Turf Firm	6 Furl	J Servis	2/1#	W	4.3	2.8	2.6
40	09-11-2019	5th race	5	Moyne Spun (NY)		Clm	Turf Firm	1 M	B H Cox		7/5#	W	3.6	2.6	2.3
41	09-11-2019	6th race	5	Ratajkowski (NY)	Alw Op CDirt Fast	1 1/16 MB A Lynch	6/5#	W	4.3	2.7	2.3
42	09-11-2019	7th race	6	Fierce Scarlett (FL)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 1/16 MC C Brown	4/5#	S			2.9
43	09-12-2019	1st race	3	Bareeqa (NY)		Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	3/5#	W	3.7	2.3	2.1
44	09-12-2019	2nd race	1	Mubarmaj (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Fast	1 M	C C Brown	9/5#	W	4.3	2.4	2.1
45	09-12-2019	2nd race	2	Spice Road (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Fast	1 M	K P McLaughlin	6/5#	P		2.2	2.1
46	09-12-2019	3rd race	1	Clench (KY)		Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	J Servis	9/5#	W	5.3	2.9	2.4
47	09-12-2019	3rd race	4	Hawaiian Noises (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	W A Ward	2/1#	P		3.0	2.3
48	09-12-2019	5th race	1	Special Story (NY)	Alw Op CDirt Fast	6.5 FurlS Torelli	5/2#				
49	09-12-2019	5th race	1A	Sudden Surprise (NY)	Alw Op CDirt Fast	6.5 FurlD A Cannizzo	5/2#	S			2.6
50	09-12-2019	7th race	2	Pauseforthecause (NY)	Alw Op CDirt Fast	6.5 FurlK P McLaughlin	2/1#	W	3.5	2.2	2.1
51	09-12-2019	7th race	5	Honor Way (KY)		Alw Op CDirt Fast	6.5 FurlC Baker		5/2#	P		2.1	2.1
52	09-12-2019	8th race	2	Recess (NY)		Mdn Clm	Turf Firm	1 M	T A Pletcher	5/2#	W	5.3	3.3	2.5
53	09-13-2019	1st race	6	Bebeau (KY)		Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 M	T A Pletcher	1/1#	S			2.1
54	09-13-2019	2nd race	2	Moon Delight (NY)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	6 Furl	C C Brown	2/1#				
55	09-13-2019	3rd race	2	Makin Out (NY)		Alw	Dirt Fast	1 M	B N Levine	5/2#	W	5.1	3.5	2.4
56	09-13-2019	4th race	7	My Sassy Sarah (NY)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	6 Furl	M Nevin		2/1#	W	6.6	3.8	2.7
57	09-13-2019	5th race	1	Madita (GER)		Alw	Turf Firm	1 M	A Delacour	9/5#				
58	09-13-2019	5th race	1A	Pivotal Connection (GB)	Alw	Turf Firm	1 M	W I Mott	9/5#	P		2.4	2.1
59	09-13-2019	5th race	2	Coffee Crush (KY)	Alw	Turf Firm	1 M	J J Toner	5/2#	W	7.9	3.4	2.2
60	09-13-2019	5th race	3	Altea (FR)		Alw	Turf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	S			2.1
61	09-13-2019	6th race	3	Imperioso (NY)		Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	M Stidham	9/5#				
62	09-13-2019	7th race	2	Factorofwon (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	6 Furl	C Clement	5/2#				
63	09-13-2019	7th race	5	Jcs Shooting Star (NY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	6 Furl	D G Donk	8/5#	W	5.6	2.9	2.1

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
lt 3-1	63	30	10	6	47.6%	$149.7	$126	$23.7	18%
						
					WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
					73%	$387.8	$378	$9.8	2%	113.8

You are getting an 18% return per $2 win wager on MLFs less than 3-1

I thought for sure this week would have put returns in the negative

Let's see how they do this weekend I doubt profits will continue