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Old 06-14-2017, 03:02 PM   #76
jay68802
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Belmont Late Pick 4:

Race 6: Chaos All horses have recorded a speed figure that is competitive.

Race 7: Orderly

Race 8: Dominant or Orderly

Race 9: Chaos
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Old 06-14-2017, 03:31 PM   #77
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Late Pick 4:

Ticket 1: 4,10,11 / 4 / 5 / 2,6,9

Ticket 2: 4,10,11 / 5,7 / 5 / 2,6,9

Ticket 3: 4,10,11 / 4 / 2,3 / 2,6,9

Ticket 4: 4,10,11 / 4 / 5 / 1

Ticket 5: 1,3,8 / 5,7 / 5 / 2,6,9

Ticket 6: 1,3,8 / 4 / 2,3 / 2,6,9

Ticket 7: 1,3,8 / 4 / 5 / 1

Ticket 8: 1,3,8 / 5,7 / 2,3 / 2,6,9

Ticket 9: 1,3,8 / 5,7 / 5 / 1

Ticket 10: 1,3,8 / 4 / 2,3 / 1

Total $ 67.50
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Old 06-14-2017, 04:08 PM   #78
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Bel Late Pick 4 6/14/2017
r6
r7
r8
r9

Alternate Pick 4
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Old 06-14-2017, 04:56 PM   #79
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Angry

Big BRAIN FART on my part here. I should have a ticket that plays

4,10,11 / 5,7 / 2,3 / 2,6,9 but i don't....
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Old 06-14-2017, 05:11 PM   #80
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
Big BRAIN FART on my part here. I should have a ticket that plays

4,10,11 / 5,7 / 2,3 / 2,6,9 but i don't....
Good job on the first 2 races...you had it right with the first race being a chaos race, right on...! I'll be rooting for next race...hope Irad can boot him home for you...

Next time I post, I will use a betting structure similar to yours and Robert Fisher....It is probably better than lumping all on one ticket...thanks for using the race categories: Dominant, Orderly, and Chaos....Those are BETA's Outlook terms....I think it helps with structure....

I was thinking that when there is a Chaos race that I'd just make the assumption that a price will win and purposely fashion the tickets with that in mind...
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Old 06-14-2017, 05:20 PM   #81
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Good job on the first 2 races...you had it right with the first race being a chaos race, right on...! I'll be rooting for next race...hope Irad can boot him home for you...

Next time I post, I will use a betting structure similar to yours and Robert Fisher....It is probably better than lumping all on one ticket...thanks for using the race categories: Dominant, Orderly, and Chaos....Those are BETA's Outlook terms....I think it helps with structure....

I was thinking that when there is a Chaos race that I'd just make the assumption that a price will win and purposely fashion the tickets with that in mind...
Notice that the even money favorite in the first leg was NOT used. But still missing that ticket is really bad on my part. After handicapping i need to take a break and then double check my tickets... This is the first time using this Outlook and I will keep on trying it, it does seem to help with structuring tickets.
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Old 06-15-2017, 12:52 PM   #82
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Belmont Late Pick 4:

1 State Bred MSW, 2 Optional Claiming races and a Maiden claiming race,the last three of the races on the turf...hard to figure.

Horses to consider

Race #6: #4 has an speed figure on the track that puts him there, and Graham getting off should improve his chances, good trainer off the break.

#7 2 races back went way to fast early and held on well chasing the dreaded lone speed horse.

Race #7: #8 Morning line 20-1, Has 3 wins all against state breds, shows improving pace and and is facing weaker competition.

Race #8: #4 Was right there with the 2 favorites in his last race and you get 12-1
#7 last two races win here, and has a win at the distance of a mile and a quarter

Race #9: #10 just run the same race as last time and go wire to wire here, morning line of 12-1, just keeps improving

#5 Wesley Ward, drop in class and 15-1

#1 Clement, Ortiz and a drop in class and 12-1
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Old 06-15-2017, 01:07 PM   #83
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with the two 'easy' legs of the pick 4, I got a chance to 'weight' or emphasize this pick-4 while staying under $100.
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Last edited by Robert Fischer; 06-15-2017 at 01:08 PM.
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Old 06-15-2017, 01:14 PM   #84
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with the two 'easy' legs of the pick 4, I got a chance to 'weight' or emphasize this pick-4 while staying under $100.
Looks like the #5 in race 9 is scratched.
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Old 06-15-2017, 01:17 PM   #85
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Looks like the #5 in race 9 is scratched.
saves a few bucks.
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Old 06-15-2017, 01:56 PM   #86
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Belmont Late Pick 4:

Ticket 1: 6 / 4,7,8 / 1,4,6 / 1,4,10,11

Ticket 2: 6 / 3 / 1,4,6 / 1,4,10,11

Ticket 3: 6 / 4,7,8 / 1,4,6 / 6,7

Ticket 4: 1,7 / 3 / 1,4,6 / 1,4,10,11

Ticket 5: 1,7 / 3 / 2,7 / 1,4,10,11

Ticket 6: 1,7 / 3 / 1,4,6 / 6,7

Ticket 7: 1,7 / 4,7,8 / 2,7 / 1,4,10,11

Ticket 8: 1,7 / 4,7,8 / 1,4,6 / 6,7
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Old 06-15-2017, 01:58 PM   #87
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Just looking and we seem to see the 7th race in opposing views.
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Old 06-15-2017, 03:05 PM   #88
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Just looking and we seem to see the 7th race in opposing views.
The fourth race and the seventh races are potentially chaos races.
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Old 06-15-2017, 05:06 PM   #89
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Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
Belmont Late Pick 4:

Ticket 1: 6 / 4,7,8 / 1,4,6 / 1,4,10,11

Ticket 2: 6 / 3 / 1,4,6 / 1,4,10,11

Ticket 3: 6 / 4,7,8 / 1,4,6 / 6,7

Ticket 4: 1,7 / 3 / 1,4,6 / 1,4,10,11

Ticket 5: 1,7 / 3 / 2,7 / 1,4,10,11

Ticket 6: 1,7 / 3 / 1,4,6 / 6,7

Ticket 7: 1,7 / 4,7,8 / 2,7 / 1,4,10,11

Ticket 8: 1,7 / 4,7,8 / 1,4,6 / 6,7
Good luck !
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Old 06-15-2017, 05:11 PM   #90
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Good luck !
Thank you, the way i have handicapped lately the #5 in this race is a lock.
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