*Handicapping Methods-Spot Play Testing-Software Etc

[green80]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

I was kinda kidding about that pick-6--I don't play them and never have. As far as the payoff (if there was one)......was almost all chalk and would have paid about couple hundred tops.

5 of 5 paid 2259.55 for .50 cents and your 2nd pick in the only race missed ran 2nd by a head. Can't get much closer.

[NorCalGreg]

Part of the PLATINUM program is a rating called
TURF BLAST. I've never checked nor tested it since
the original installation-but I do know one of the top three is often among the winners.

I should have done this long ago--but better late than never.


BTR
3RD REDSPOTS 8-1
5TH I'AM A HOT MESS 20-1
7TH MANO FOX 3-1
CBY
3RD TWO BE ROYAL 5-2
5TH BREAD 4-1
7TH PILATUS 7-2
DMR
3RD INDCREDIBLE LUCK 5-1
5TH MALIBU MUSIC 8-1
7TH ASHLEYLUVSSUGAR 7-2
10TH DREAM DANCING 6-1
GPX
1ST GREAT SKELLIG 6-1
3RD DISCO MAN 5-2
5TH ARIDAIOS 9-2
7TH QUEEN JILL 3-1
9TH NEVER BURN A COPY 5-2
11TH DUROCHER 3-1
SAR
1ST RUM TUM TIGGER 12-1
4TH MANITOULIN 2-1
8TH COASTED 8-1


Good luck today, boys

-NCG

[jay68802]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

You're right G-man.......I tested it and went down the tubes in a hurry.

Speaking of the hottest software currently available----just missed hitting them all @ Evd.





*I just missed hitting the pick-6---which paid just under 100K.........or maybe less

The good news is if you played all the pick 3's and pick 4's, you still made a profit.

[NorCalGreg]

True, Jay....it seems to happen that way quite a bit.

I posted Ellis Park Tip Sheet on my website this AM. That was a very hittable pick 5 right there (not to mention the p-4's, etc)

The results from the testing of the TURF BLAST rating in PLATINUM:

Disappointing, to say the least...."pathetic" probably is a better word.

BTR
3RD REDSPOTS 8-1
5TH X X I'AM A HOT MESS 20-1
7TH MANO FOX 3-1 2nd
CBY
3RD TWO BE ROYAL 5-2 $3.20
5TH BREAD 4-1
7TH PILATUS 7-2 2nd
DMR
3RD INCREDIBLE LUCK 5-1
5TH MALIBU MUSIC 8-1
7TH ASHLEYLUVSSUGAR 7-2
10TH DREAM DANCING 6-1
GPX
1ST GREAT SKELLIG 6-1 $5.40
3RD DISCO MAN 5-2
5TH ARIDAIOS 9-2
7TH QUEEN JILL 3-1
9TH XX NEVER BURN A COPY 5-2
11TH DUROCHER 3-1
SAR
1ST RUM TUM TIGGER 12-1
4TH MANITOULIN 2-1 2nd
8TH COASTED 8-1




16 plays--2 short winners---3 2nds

Take any assorted un-'capped horses ---at generally top-half-of the-field prices....picked at random ...and 80% of the time you'll do better.

I'll save this for the archives, in case anyone ever asks.

-NCG

[green80]

Consensus had 6 winners on the 7 race card again today, seems to be the norm.

[oughtoh]

Green Do you know how many Platnium had today at LaD

[green80]

Originally Posted by oughtoh

Green Do you know how many Platnium had today at LaD

just had the first two. 123 method had the 18.40 horse in the last race.

[TJC]

Del Mar Race 10 winner

Dream Dancing $15.20 - 6.60 - 4.20

[NorCalGreg]

Saratoga's 1-2-3 plays--look like there may be a few "live" ones in the bunch.

--NCG

[oughtoh]

Originally Posted by TJC

Del Mar Race 10 winner

Dream Dancing $15.20 - 6.60 - 4.20

Where did you find that horse. I did Pony Pickers and Best 5 yesterday because I wanted the form, but neither of them came up with that horse. I do every button on both systems.

[Bennie]

It is in the turf blast picks by NCG couple of posts back

[oughtoh]

Ok Thank you.

[oughtoh]

Greg Have you ever kept track of the single plays in exotics under the consensus? So to clarify, when you do the exotics consensus and only on horse comes up, what rate do they hit at an profit. Was just wondering. Thanks

[green80]

I find consensus best when using all 3 horses like for doubles and pick-3,4 type bets. If you want a stand alone single horse you are best using 123 or Best 3. Still you have to filter these to win overall, you can't just bet all of them. I usually throw out maidens, usually the obvious winner is to chalky. I am showing the best results on conditioned races, NW2, NW3 and state bred. Most of the time the open races are too wide open meaning a number of horses could win them. This is another example of why you must keep records to see what kind of races you are doing best on .

[oughtoh]

I have been working all week on PP and Best 5 trying to find a way that I am happy with playing them. I just play to win. I was doing combinations. I got good percentage, over 30%, on what I was doing but loss money on all but one of them. The one I didn't loss on had the worst percentage, 21%. So now I am going back through and throwing out everything under 3-1, think it should have been 2-1. Will see how that works. Getting ready for when DM ends. I don't have exotics, but when Greg posts them, it seems like the single horses in consensus hit a good percentage of the time.