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Old 11-02-2019, 03:16 PM   #16
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Banked Profit = $107.40 (goal is $300)

Game #3 current P/L=$-30 (goal is $30)

Bet #2
GG Race 2
$24 W
$6 W
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Old 11-02-2019, 03:41 PM   #17
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Banked Profit = $107.40 (goal is $300)

Game #3 current P/L=$-60 (goal is $30)

Bet #3
MVR Race 8
$11 W
$19 W
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Old 11-02-2019, 03:54 PM   #18
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Banked Profit = $107.40 (goal is $300)

Game #3 current P/L=$-60 (goal is $30)

Bet #3
FL Race 8
$14 W
$16 W

That last race at MVR was declared no contest due to gate malfunction
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Old 11-02-2019, 04:10 PM   #19
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Banked Profit = $107.40 (goal is $300)

Game #3 current P/L=$-39.60 (goal is $30)

Bet #4
SA Race 6
$45 W
$35 W
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Old 11-02-2019, 04:14 PM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage View Post
Banked Profit = $107.40 (goal is $300)

Game #3 current P/L=$-39.60 (goal is $30)

Bet #4
SA Race 6
$45 W
$35 W
NOW THAT...was sweet
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Old 11-02-2019, 04:16 PM   #21
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Pretty sure that makes the goal for the day...LMAO
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Old 11-02-2019, 04:18 PM   #22
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Old 11-02-2019, 04:20 PM   #23
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Banked Profit = $442.30 (goal is $300)

Technically, I guess we should be done for the day...
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Old 11-02-2019, 04:35 PM   #24
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Let's start a new session just for the hell of it...

Banked Profit = $0 (goal is $300)

Game #1 current P/L=$0 (goal is $30)

Bet #1
PRX Race 7
$25 W
$5 W
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Old 11-02-2019, 05:10 PM   #25
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage View Post
Banked Profit = $442.30 (goal is $300)

Technically, I guess we should be done for the day...


Nice. Keep it going.
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Old 11-02-2019, 05:16 PM   #26
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Let's start a new session just for the hell of it...

Banked Profit = $0 (goal is $300)

Game #1 current P/L=$-30 (goal is $30)

Bet #2
TUP Race 5
$12 W
$18 W
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Old 11-02-2019, 05:29 PM   #27
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Let's start a new session just for the hell of it...

Banked Profit = $0 (goal is $300)

Game #1 current P/L=$-36.60 (goal is $30)

Bet #3
SA Race 8
$26 W
$28 W
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Old 11-02-2019, 05:52 PM   #28
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You keep making me look good, dude!



When a session ends, I, too, start a new one right away. None of that end-of-day stuff for me.


BTW, nice hit @ 9/1 on your big bet.
Pretty cool.

This wagering strategy, unlike most of the ones I've developed, does not actually change your advantage or optimum bet. But it sure as heck gets you back in the game in a hurry.


The most interesting part is the session-by-session stuff.

What I determined was that I win around 70% of my sessions. When I win, my average profit is around $370.

When I lose, the average loss is around $260.

So, if I turn it into a $2 bet, it looks like this...

Since the average loss is only $260, think of it as if I am only risking $260.

Yest, when I win, I get back $370, which raises the odds to 1.42/1.


Think of each session as a single bet.

Thus, I win 70% of my "bets" at 7/5, which results in a $net of $3.36!!!!

That's a 59% advantage.

Since...
Optimum bet = Advantage / Odds

OptBet%=59%/1.40= 42% of bankroll!

Way too much to bet.
MORE IMPORTANT...

What session win% is necessary to break even?

$2.00 / $4.80 = 41.7%
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Old 11-02-2019, 06:00 PM   #29
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Banked Profit = $0 (goal is $300)

Game #1 current P/L=$-12.20 (goal is $30)

Bet #4
TUP Race 6
$16 W
$35 W
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Old 11-02-2019, 06:13 PM   #30
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Banked Profit = $0 (goal is $300)

Game #1 current P/L=$-63.20 (goal is $30)

Bet #5
SA Race 9
$13 W
$17 W
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