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Old 06-11-2018, 11:53 AM   #1
TheOracle
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Brown's Mdn Spcl Wts @Turf @BEL -- a study part 1!!!

Thanks to a very astute forum member

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...48#post2328048

I happened to notice the great returns that have been coming out of Brown's barn whenever his Maiden Special Weight horses are on the Turf!!!

Going back to 2014, Brown's Maiden Special Weight Turfers are giving you a solid 28% return per $2 win wager for the last 4 years!!!









Although, the returns in 2015 and 2016 were small (5 and 8% returns respectively) the returns in 2014 and 2017 were amazing (39 and 43% respectively) in which case the returns per $2 win wager are so far up to 28%

I'm not sure if his current crop can keep up the pace of a 28% return but let's just hope that this years group is at least half as good as last years group!!!

Let's keep a sharp eye on Brown's Maiden Special Weight Turfers this season at Belmont!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 06-11-2018 at 11:55 AM.
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Old 06-14-2018, 12:03 PM   #2
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Brown has these Maiden Special Weight Turfers today at Belmont

5th race
#3 Monkeyseemonkeydo
#6 Hizeem

Let's hope he gets at least one of these to hit the board today at a price!!!
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Old 06-14-2018, 12:39 PM   #3
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Brown has these Maiden Special Weight Turfers today at Belmont

5th race
#3 Monkeyseemonkeydo
#6 Hizeem

Let's hope he gets at least one of these to hit the board today at a price!!!
When Brown's Maiden Special Weight Turfers are Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 his returns are unbelievable!!!


His MSW Turfers are winning at 50% since 2014 and you are getting a 29% return per $2 win wager overall!!!

He's had 31 finish no worse than 2nd as much as I hate exactas I am very tempted since it's as solid as it gets over a 4 year span!!!

Let's keep a sharp eye on his MSW Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 on the Turf!!!
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Old 06-15-2018, 03:53 PM   #4
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Brown has these Maiden Special Weight Turfers today at Belmont

5th race
#3 Monkeyseemonkeydo
#6 Hizeem

Let's hope he gets at least one of these to hit the board today at a price!!!
#6 Hizeem finished 2nd and #3 Monkeyseemonkeydo finished 3rd yesterday in the 5th race


I was hoping for bigger prices across the board for them but they combined to $15.40

Let's continue to keep an eye on his barn in this situation!!!
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Old 06-16-2018, 01:05 PM   #5
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#6 Hizeem finished 2nd and #3 Monkeyseemonkeydo finished 3rd yesterday in the 5th race


I was hoping for bigger prices across the board for them but they combined to $15.40

Let's continue to keep an eye on his barn in this situation!!!
Brown has another MSW Turfer in the 5th at Belmont

5th race
#9 Clear N Convincing

Let’s see if he can get this one to hit the board at a price today at Belmont!!!
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Old 06-17-2018, 10:46 AM   #6
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Brown has another MSW Turfer in the 5th at Belmont

5th race
#9 Clear N Convincing

Let’s see if he can get this one to hit the board at a price today at Belmont!!!
Brown came through for us yesterday with #9 Clear N Convincing paying $15.40 across the board!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

Let's keep an eye on his barn in this situation from now on at Belmont on the Turf!!!
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Old 06-23-2018, 09:03 AM   #7
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Brown came through for us yesterday with #9 Clear N Convincing paying $15.40 across the board!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

Let's keep an eye on his barn in this situation from now on at Belmont on the Turf!!!
Brown has 2 Maiden Special Weight Turfers today at Belmont

7th race
#6 Lovely La La
#10 Chiclets Dream


Let's see if he can get one of these to hit the board at a price today!!!
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Old 06-24-2018, 12:34 AM   #8
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Brown has 2 Maiden Special Weight Turfers today at Belmont

7th race
#6 Lovely La La
#10 Chiclets Dream


Let's see if he can get one of these to hit the board at a price today!!!
Brown came through for us and got the win with #6 Lovely La La paying $15.20 across the board!!!

He also came through with #10 Chiclets Dream who ran 2nd to complete the exacta!!!

If you played both of his horses across the board you got a 96% return on your money!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 06-24-2018 at 12:37 AM.
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Old 06-24-2018, 09:20 AM   #9
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Brown came through for us and got the win with #6 Lovely La La paying $15.20 across the board!!!

He also came through with #10 Chiclets Dream who ran 2nd to complete the exacta!!!

If you played both of his horses across the board you got a 96% return on your money!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!
Brown has another Maiden Special Weight Turfer today at Belmont

10th race
#3 Chestnut Street

Let's see if he can get this one to hit the board at a price!!!
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Old 06-26-2018, 03:36 PM   #10
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Brown has seemingly always been strong on turf. Pletcher too, but more so on dirt. Thing about those guys is by this time of year their best stock has already been in winners circle so they don't achieve the strike rate they did earlier. That strategy paid huge dividends for me a few years ago at Toga when some others went on a streak at big prices.
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Old 06-27-2018, 10:03 PM   #11
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Brown has seemingly always been strong on turf. Pletcher too, but more so on dirt. Thing about those guys is by this time of year their best stock has already been in winners circle so they don't achieve the strike rate they did earlier. That strategy paid huge dividends for me a few years ago at Toga when some others went on a streak at big prices.

Hey Appy,


You might be right about their best stock on the downward spiral but if there are some crumbs left I will take them without a doubt!!!
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Old 06-27-2018, 10:05 PM   #12
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Brown has another Maiden Special Weight Turfer today at Belmont

10th race
#3 Chestnut Street

Let's see if he can get this one to hit the board at a price!!!

#3 Chestnut Street finished 2nd on Sunday



Let's keep an eye on his barn whenever he brings in a Maiden Special Weight Turfer at Belmont!!!
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Old 06-28-2018, 09:00 PM   #13
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Chad Brown etc

thanks Oracle, great info:

do you use Formulator or are these your personal stats?

I'masking this question as I'm thinking of testing Formulator during a limited time frame to see if this data will improve my ROI.


i
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Old 06-28-2018, 09:42 PM   #14
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thanks Oracle, great info:

do you use Formulator or are these your personal stats?

I'masking this question as I'm thinking of testing Formulator during a limited time frame to see if this data will improve my ROI.


i

Hey NY BRED


No I don't use Formulator these are my own stats that I piece together.


I'm not sure if Formulator provides the detail but I believe they do have the summary information though


Thanks bro!!!
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Old 06-30-2018, 03:25 PM   #15
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#3 Chestnut Street finished 2nd on Sunday



Let's keep an eye on his barn whenever he brings in a Maiden Special Weight Turfer at Belmont!!!
Brown has these Maiden Special Weight Turfers today at Belmont in the 6th race

6th race

#2 Coexistence
#3 Good Marks


Let’s see if he can get one of these to hit the board today at a price!!!
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