Top Horse Analytics: 06/15/2019 Free Pick(s) of Day

[Augenj]

Statistics for the top rated horse are displayed below the entries if the conditions are profitable.

THA Statistics 101:
These are computer correlations of race conditions with the top rated horse at this track. Some statistics may be inflated due to abnormally high payoffs. Therefore, when presented with a high profit/ROI line, look for a large number of occurrences and a high win percent to help mitigate this issue.

Click the link below and look for Top Horse Analytics.
http://www.equibase.com/products/freepicks2.cfm

Find the complete THA card at:
http://www.equibase.com/static/eqpax...ns.html?SAP=TN

To reiterate, after scratches, the profit statistics are ONLY valid for*the top rated horse*and ONLY valid for the track in the link.

[Half Smoke]

don't like to be negative but I tracked Trackmaster's free picks for a fair amount of time - admittedly not the long run - and they didn't come close to profitability

I did the same with Timeform - same result

at Timeform they love early speed

they picked some horses as winners who in the past got the early lead and faded badly every time

not for me - not my style at all

[Augenj]

Originally Posted by Half Smoke

don't like to be negative but I tracked Trackmaster's free picks for a fair amount of time - admittedly not the long run - and they didn't come close to profitability

I did the same with Timeform - same result

at Timeform they love early speed

they picked some horses as winners who in the past got the early lead and faded badly every time

not for me - not my style at all

I don't know about Trackmaster or Timeform but Top Horse Analytics can be profitable by selecting races with a high win percent and ROI for the top horse. This means NOT selecting some races for that day. The daily Free Pick here at PA may or may not be a good bet depending on the statistics line for the top rated horse. To see all of the races for comparison, you need to visit Equibase Expert Selections in my signature. All of the races can be seen for a track rather than just the Free Pick here (for a price, of course).

If you were to bet all of the races for the top rated horse with profitable conditions, you can see the results in the weekly statistics under "CTH Win".
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...d.php?t=152739
While returning a better win percent and ROI than just the "TH Win", "CTH Win" still falls short of profitability due to all races being included. That's why only the top 2 or 3 of the day for win percent and ROI should be actually be bet.