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Old 01-07-2018, 03:15 PM   #16
formula_2002
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7/8 exacta had a $1 return of $1.90
the #7 win pool $1 return was $1.60
7/all returned 19% more than a win bet
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A lot easier to get lucky when house takes 1.41% from the payout rather than 15% to 25%"
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Old 01-07-2018, 03:20 PM   #17
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Race 
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3:19

MTP 
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$9,689"																
TOTAL BET	pgno	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
470	1	0	42	53	63	200	27	23	63	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
67	2	26	0	9	8	14	4	3	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
----	3	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
136	4	43	10	20	0	37	6	6	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
----	5	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
47	6	16	3	6	6	9	0	3	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
----	7	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
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A lot easier to get lucky when house takes 1.41% from the payout rather than 15% to 25%"
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Old 01-07-2018, 04:15 PM   #18
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Race 
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MTP 
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,800"																
TOTAL BET	pgno	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
----	1	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	2	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	3	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	4	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
466	5	29	0	59	125	0	111	143	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
325	6	15	0	50	91	125	0	43	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
----	7	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
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A lot easier to get lucky when house takes 1.41% from the payout rather than 15% to 25%"
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Old 01-07-2018, 04:21 PM   #19
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MTP 
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$10,452"																
TOTAL BET	pgno	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
----	1	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
163	2	13	0	7	5	25	56	15	16	2	5	19	0	0	0	0	0
----	3	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	4	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
158	5	8	26	4	6	0	59	15	13	3	3	21	0	0	0	0	0
----	6	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
85	7	6	13	2	3	13	29	0	6	3	1	10	0	0	0	0	0
----	8	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	9	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	10	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
154	11	10	20	4	5	19	56	13	18	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0
----	12	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
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A lot easier to get lucky when house takes 1.41% from the payout rather than 15% to 25%"
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Old 01-07-2018, 05:36 PM   #20
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2/11 exacta had a $1 return of $5.67
the #2 win pool $1 return was $8.00
2/all returned 71% less than a win bet
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A lot easier to get lucky when house takes 1.41% from the payout rather than 15% to 25%"
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Old 01-07-2018, 05:40 PM   #21
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Race 
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MTP 
0

$1 Exacta Pool
$112,013"																
TOTAL BET	 	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
90	1	0	4	4	11	15	26	8	1	13	9	0	0	0	0	0	0
38	2	3	0	1	3	4	11	3	1	5	7	0	0	0	0	0	0
----	3	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
131	4	12	4	3	0	33	33	11	1	20	13	0	0	0	0	0	0
261	5	21	8	8	42	0	100	20	3	31	29	0	0	0	0	0	0
367	6	36	15	14	42	111	0	30	6	71	42	0	0	0	0	0	0
----	7	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
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A lot easier to get lucky when house takes 1.41% from the payout rather than 15% to 25%"
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Old 01-07-2018, 06:11 PM   #22
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9

Post 
6:03

MTP 
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$24,090"																
TOTAL BET	pgno	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
----	1	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	2	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
164	3	21	38	0	11	48	15	26	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
75	4	12	14	8	0	19	9	11	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
----	5	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
92	6	13	16	11	11	24	0	12	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
151	7	18	32	22	14	48	12	0	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	8	2	3	3	1	6	2	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
----	9	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
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A lot easier to get lucky when house takes 1.41% from the payout rather than 15% to 25%"
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Old 01-07-2018, 06:17 PM   #23
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6/4 exacta had a $1 return of $17.00
the #6 win pool $1 return was $14.6
6/all returned 716% more than a win bet
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A lot easier to get lucky when house takes 1.41% from the payout rather than 15% to 25%"
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Old 01-07-2018, 06:24 PM   #24
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MTP 
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$19,024"																
TOTAL BET	pgno	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
----	1	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
235	2	48	0	77	20	8	59	24	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
301	3	59	77	0	32	23	83	26	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
102	4	25	14	23	0	5	24	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
42	5	9	6	9	5	0	8	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
302	6	71	67	83	33	14	0	33	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
----	7	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
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A lot easier to get lucky when house takes 1.41% from the payout rather than 15% to 25%"
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Old 01-07-2018, 06:48 PM   #25
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MTP 
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$1 Exacta Pool
$230,283"																
TOTAL BET	pgno	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
----	1	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	2	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	3	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
11	4	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
155	5	25	13	7	2	0	14	28	13	23	2	29	0	0	0	0	0
93	6	11	7	5	1	12	0	16	8	14	1	18	0	0	0	0	0
207	7	31	16	10	2	29	20	0	16	34	1	45	0	0	0	0	0
----	8	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
159	9	25	16	6	1	22	14	26	14	0	1	34	0	0	0	0	0
----	10	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
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A lot easier to get lucky when house takes 1.41% from the payout rather than 15% to 25%"
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Old 01-08-2018, 11:26 AM   #26
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YESTERDAY'S RESULT
A WIN BET RETURNED $58.8 COMPARED TO AN EXACTA RETURN OF $54.83

THE WIN POOL RESULTS OUTPERFORMED THE EXACTA POOL BY 7%
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A lot easier to get lucky when house takes 1.41% from the payout rather than 15% to 25%"

Last edited by formula_2002; 01-08-2018 at 11:27 AM.
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Old 01-08-2018, 11:30 AM   #27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002 View Post
YESTERDAY'S RESULT
A WIN BET RETURNED $58.8 COMPARED TO AN EXACTA RETURN OF $54.83

THE WIN POOL RESULTS OUTPERFORMED THE EXACTA POOL BY 7%
Could this be the result of different take out?
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Old 01-08-2018, 11:45 AM   #28
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11:45

MTP 
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$4,424"																
TOTAL BET	pgno	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
216	1	0	43	48	21	23	17	30	11	22	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
----	2	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	3	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	4	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	5	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	6	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	7	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
78	8	10	9	12	9	7	6	11	0	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
114	9	19	13	17	11	15	10	16	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
----	10	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	11	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	12	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	13	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	14	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	15	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
----	16	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----
408	408	29	66	76	41	44	33	57	25	36	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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A lot easier to get lucky when house takes 1.41% from the payout rather than 15% to 25%"
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Old 01-08-2018, 07:31 PM   #29
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
Could this be the result of different take out?
generally, the win pool take is about 17%, the exacta , about 25%.

my effort is intended to use the exacta pool to the extent that it overcomes the win pool take out.
did not get it done on this try
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A lot easier to get lucky when house takes 1.41% from the payout rather than 15% to 25%"
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Old 01-09-2018, 12:23 PM   #30
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HERE IS AN EXAMPLE OF HOW I'LL BE POST THE TOP THREE PLAYS.
AGAIN, THE IDEA IS TO CALCULATE THE EXACTA (PICK/ALL) BET SIZE THAT WILL RETURN GREATER VALUE THAN A STRAIGHT WIN BET,. I'M JUST POSTING THE TOP THREE, BUT ILL, MONITOR MY FULL EXACTA MATRIX EXATCA

IN THIS EXAMPLE THE 7/1 EXACTA RETURNED A $1 VALUE OF $4.03, THE FLAT WIN BET ON THE 7 WAS $3.50 A 1.15 ADAVANTAGE.

IF YOU WERE TO BET ALL THREE TOP CHOICES, THE $1 RETURN WOULD BE $1.48


Code:
 	"Laurel Park 01-08-2018 
Race 
5

Post 
2:26

MTP 
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$28,718"																
pgno	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	total  bet
1	 	10.85	11.48	17.09	0.00	25.59	63.10	31.66	24.73	29.57	5.86	23.78	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	243.72
7	59.48	8.29	8.77	13.05	0.00	19.54	0.00	24.18	18.88	22.58	4.47	18.16	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	197.39
8	26.60	3.71	3.92	5.84	0.00	8.74	21.55	0.00	8.44	10.10	2.00	8.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	99.01
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