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11-17-2019, 03:38 AM
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#301
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,945
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
] UPDATE:R#9- 1200M C2 (6F)T
. 7-6-11 W/ 4-1-14
3:25 AM
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11-3-12-1 Dutch Win 28% Profit Margin- Passed / Not much action on the LS Placer #3
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11-17-2019, 03:57 AM
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#302
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,945
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UPDATE: R#10-1800M C2 (9F)T
3-4-9 W/ 13-5-12
.4:00 AM
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11-17-2019, 04:22 AM
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#303
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,945
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
UPDATE: R#10-1800M C2 (9F)T
3-4-9 W/ 13-5-12
.4:00 AM
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12-13-4-1 Dutch Loss -106% Profit Margin / More $29.20 Quinella & $340.80 Triple Box The top 2 finishers got solid late action
It turned out to be an excellent race card. The playable Dutch Win bets produced a 21% O.A. Profit margin hitting 3 of 5 races. There were a quite few decent Verticals as well - hitting (5) Quinellas & (4) Triples with some great value!
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11-18-2019, 02:33 AM
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#304
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,831
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Yes, there was all of that one and very great value
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11-20-2019, 12:37 AM
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#305
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,945
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HONG KONG HAPPY VALLEY - WED - 11/20/19
Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
Im posting my pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 9 races at Happy Valley all to be run on Turf:
( Class from top to bottom) (1)-Class-2, (3)-Class-3, (4)-Class-4, (1)-Class-5
Post Time Race #1 5:45 AM WED EST
Ive taken a look at the M/Ls in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these and any others I might have missed.
The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.
BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I cant make a Dutch Win bet Ill generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined odds values of the selected entries add up to decent return.
Good Luck if youre playing!
R#1- 1650M C5 (8.25F)T
..5-2-11 W/ 8-9-12
..5:45 AM
R#2- 1200M C4 (6F)T
....6-1-7 W/ 12-11-5
..
.6:15 AM
R#3- 1200M C4 (6F)T
.3-4-1W/ 11-9-10
....6:45 AM
R#4- 1650M C4 (8.25F)T
3-8-9 W/ 1-4-10
......7:20 AM
R#5- 1650M C4 (8.25F)T
...7-5-10 W/ 1-11-2
...7:50 AM
R#6- 1200M C3 (6F)T
.
.1-12-8 W/ 2-10-6
....8:20 AM
R#7 1000M C2 (5F)T
..3-7-12 W/ 2-6-11
8:50 AM
R#8- 1650M C3 (8.25F)T
.
4-5-6 W/ 2-10-8
.
9:20 AM
R#9- 1200M C3 (6F)T
...1-12-6 W/ 8-114
.
.9:55 AM
.
.
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11-20-2019, 12:58 PM
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#306
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,945
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Quote:
R#1- 1650M C5 (8.25F)T
..5-2-11 W/ 8-9-12
..5:45 AM
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1-2-6-3 Dutch Loss 64% Profit Margin /
Quote:
R#2- 1200M C4 (6F)T
....6-1-12 W/ 7-11-5
..
.6:15 AM
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6-1-3-12 Dutch Win 67% Profit Margin / $19.10 Quinella /
Quote:
R#3- 1200M C4 (6F)T
.3-4-1W/ 11-9-10
....6:45 AM
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3-4-11-2 Dutch Win 31% Profit Margin - Passed / $17.40 Quinella & $713.80 Triple
Quote:
R#4- 1650M C4 (8.25F)T
3-4-9 W/ 1-8-10
......7:20 AM
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12-10-5-4 Dutch Loss 32% Profit Margin - Passed /
Quote:
R#5- 1650M C4 (8.25F)T
...7-5-10 W/ 1-11-2
...7:50 AM
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5-10-4-3 Huge Dutch Win 364% Profit Margin / $283.00 Quinella /
Quote:
R#6- 1200M C3 (6F)T
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.1-12-8 W/ 2-10-6
....8:20 AM
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12-2-1-9 Dutch Win 42% Profit Margin - Passed / $37.80 Quinella & $183.20 Triple
Quote:
R#7 1000M C2 (5F)T
..3-12-11 W/ 7-2-6
8:50 AM
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11-9-3-12 Dutch Win 79% Profit Margin /
Quote:
R#8- 1650M C3 (8.25F)T
.
4-5-1 W/ 2-10-8
.
9:20 AM
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1-10-3-6 Dutch Win 107% Profit Margin / $16.10 Quinella /
Quote:
R#9- 1200M C3 (6F)T
...1-11-6 W/ 8-12-4
.
.9:55 AM
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5/11-6-7 Dutch Win 45% Profit Margin - Passed /
It was another fun and very profitable card. My Dutch Win bets produced an O.A. Profit margin of 307% and was hit from winning 4 of 5 playable races. Also hit were (5) Quinellas and (2) Triples.
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11-22-2019, 11:00 PM
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#307
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,945
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HONG KONG - SHA TIN SAT - 11/23/19
Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
Im posting my pre-race selections for another quality & very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 10 races at Sha Tin with 8 races on Turf & 2 on the Dirt:
(Class top to bottom) - (1)-Class-1, (1)-Class-2, (3)-Class-3, (4)-Class-4, (1)-Class-5
Post Time Race #1 11:15 AM SAT EST
Ive taken a look at the M/Ls in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these and any others I might have missed.
The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.Quite a few of the races this morning look wide open!
BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I cant make a Dutch Win bet Ill generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.
Good Luck if youre playing!
R#1-1200M C4 (6F)T
.
..
8-3-1 W/ 10-9-12
.11:15 AM
R#2-1400M C5 (7F)T
.
4-2-1 W/ 9-13-7
.....11:45 AM
R#31000M C4 (5F)T
...4-5-6 W/ 14-13-1
.12:15 AM
R#4- 1600M C4 (8F)T
..
.11-5-14W/ 3-10-4
12:45 AM
R#5- 1200M C3 (6F)D
7-6-9 W/ 10-11-1
..
1:15 AM
R#6- 1400M C4 (7)T
10-5-7 W/1-2-4
..
..1:50 AM
R#7 1600M C1 (8F)T
.....6-5-11 W/ 3-7-10
.
2:20 AM
R#8- 1200M C3 (6F)D
...4-7-3 W/ 2-1-8
..
2:50 AM
R#9- 1600M C3 (8F)T
. 2-3-11 W/ 8-13-9
..
3:25 AM
R#10-1400M C2 (7F)T
1-11-10 W/ 2-7-9
.
.4:00 AM
.
.
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11-22-2019, 11:06 PM
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#308
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,111
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11:15 Am?? Translate that to the time at the bar I'm at.
GL.
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11-22-2019, 11:15 PM
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#309
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,945
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
11:15 Am?? Translate that to the time at the bar I'm at.
GL.
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Good Morning Jay! At least in another 45 min!
Have one on me. This first race looks wide open.
GL if your in.
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11-22-2019, 11:17 PM
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#310
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,111
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
Good Morning Jay! At least in another 45 min!
Have one on me. This first race looks wide open.
GL if your in.
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Might handicap, but not betting.
Where do I send the bill?
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11-22-2019, 11:23 PM
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#311
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,945
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Quote:
R#1-1200M C4 (6F)T
.
..
8-3-1 W/ 10-9-12
.11:15 PM
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2-5-6-8 Dutch Loss 90% Profit Margin/ Top 2 finishers took lots of late action the winner became the favorite too late to post a change
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11-22-2019, 11:26 PM
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#312
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,945
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
Might handicap, but not betting.
Where do I send the bill?
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You can send it to my friend Bill B. He has no problem covering!
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11-22-2019, 11:32 PM
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#313
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,111
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
You can send it to my friend Bill B. He has no problem covering!
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Tell Bill thanks! BTW, the bill will be for a double Morgan.
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11-22-2019, 11:37 PM
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#314
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,111
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Race #2:
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11-23-2019, 12:08 AM
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#315
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,945
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Quote:
UPDATE:R#2-1400M C5 (7F)T……….…4-2-1 W/ 9-13-7……..11:45 PM
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5-4-2-6– Dutch Loss 66% Profit Margin/ Not much action on the winner
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