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Old 04-12-2017, 06:58 PM   #136
VigorsTheGrey
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VigorsTheGrey View Post
The stats I require to develop Realm further then, would be the following:

=Aggregate Percentage for Favorite achieving a Top 4 Placing.
=Aggregate Percentage for any horse less than 10-1, excluding the favorite, achieving a Top 4 Placing.
=Aggregate Percentage for any horse equal to or greater than 10-1 achieving a Top 4 Placing.

As a percentage of the sum of the Top 4 positions for all races counted...

For example, the favorite could have no higher percentage than 25% because he could at best appear only once in the 4 count of any given race...he would have to finish in the Top 4 for All Races in order to receive a ideal 25%.

The conjectural expected results would be in the neighborhood of:
20%
75%
45%
Correction:

=20%
=60%
=20%
----------
100% Right.....?
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Old 04-12-2017, 07:48 PM   #137
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This is an example of Augenj's daily selections reformulated in Realm Characters, and based on Morning Line Odds:
Date: 4/12/17

Races 1-9:
3-11-24
8632
75-11-6
6187
58-12-10
1483
48-11-1
4371
1-10-98

36 Positions Total










8's 8/36=22%
21's 21/36=58%
7's 7/36=19%
--------------------
36 Spots:100%

Let's see what REALLY happened today and compare the results...
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Old 04-12-2017, 09:10 PM   #138
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Date: 4/12/17
Results
OP
Races 1-9:
3421
3862
3498
1698
52-10-1
9872
11-846
3714
93-11-2

36 Total Spots









-----------
6's 6/36=17% -5%
23's 23/36=64% +6%
7's 7/36=19% Even%
--------------------
36 Spots: 100%

Note: I realize that the "mojees" do not always correspond directly to the picks, but that is not what Realm is measuring here...

Last edited by VigorsTheGrey; 04-12-2017 at 09:22 PM.
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Old 04-13-2017, 11:59 PM   #139
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Nitro Wand Keeneland 4/13/17

Race] #'s Prophecy Result Actual Mogee Result
1] 13/576 1432
2] 18/645 8615
3] 53/468 3546
4] 48/10-11-3 11 3 8 10
5] 82/7-11-1 7921
6] 10-3/581 6452
7] 16/35 1685

Bet 6 Races @ $468=$2808
Bet 1 Race @ $100= $100
--------------------------------
$2908

Returned $2586.40 from Hypothetical Wagers

Net Loss of $321.60


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Old 04-14-2017, 12:01 AM   #140
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Any truth to the rumor that this thread gave some chinese guy a seisure earlier this week?
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Old 04-14-2017, 12:08 AM   #141
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Originally Posted by Mr. Pick 5 View Post
Any truth to the rumor that this thread gave some chinese guy a seisure earlier this week?
It wouldn't surprise me...I know that PA has had somewhat of a mini-stroke over it ...Do you understand how to read Realm...? It's not that tough to figure out...
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Old 04-14-2017, 12:12 AM   #142
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Originally Posted by VigorsTheGrey View Post
It wouldn't surprise me...I know that PA has had somewhat of a mini-stroke over it ...Do you understand how to read Realm...? It's not that tough to figure out...
to be totally honest vigors, i dont think anyone understands how to read realm aside from maybe you....but i dont mind the thread, as i cant find it any more harmful than the 500000 other selection threads
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Old 04-14-2017, 12:22 AM   #143
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Originally Posted by Mr. Pick 5 View Post
to be totally honest vigors, i dont think anyone understands how to read realm aside from maybe you....but i dont mind the thread, as i cant find it any more harmful than the 500000 other selection threads
I appreciate your candor, and you are right, the thread is the epitome of benign, Genius is often misunderstood, and always first ridiculed, then taken for granted, I join a long list of underappreciated mentats...
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Old 04-14-2017, 01:37 AM   #144
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The Purpose of this Thread

As I stated in Post 1:

Clipboard
The thread is designed for use as wager clipboard to construct plausible wagers and other misc items...the content is temporary in nature, subject to immediate changes and should not be used for wagering purposes nor is it indicative of actual selections by anyone at any time or race.

I think maybe people are getting confused because they think there is some purpose to this thread BEYOND it being a WORKSHOP OF CREATIVITY to explore ideas, wagers, insights, tools, etc, etc.

It is a place that I go to be myself without having to worry about if I make sense or to back up my position or anything along those lines...

It is a place to explore and have fun doing stuff...you are welcome to play around here as well....Have fun...Be creative...! Be free..!

Last edited by VigorsTheGrey; 04-14-2017 at 01:40 AM.
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Old 04-14-2017, 02:39 PM   #145
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Keeneland 4/14/17
Modified Selections Based on THA
Race #:
------------------
1] 46
2]::
3]342
4]::
5]3524
6]::
7]81114
8]::
9]::492813
10]:

Last edited by VigorsTheGrey; 04-14-2017 at 02:41 PM.
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Old 04-14-2017, 02:40 PM   #146
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The one problem in all that is that this is NOT a private thread. It's open for viewing and participation by the general population...therefore...aww, the hell with it.
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Old 04-14-2017, 02:44 PM   #147
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The one problem in all that is that this is NOT a private thread.
Just my opinion, but I think VtG is safest playing in his own sand box.
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Old 04-14-2017, 02:55 PM   #148
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Originally Posted by Fred Mertz View Post
Just my opinion, but I think VtG is safest playing in his own sand box.
Exactly, where's the harm in it...? Other people are always responsible for their own wagers and techniques....I just need a space to explore ideas, be creative, try out new ideas....none of it HAS to make any sense, but a lot of it does, at least to myself...
If others started their own threads for similar purposes, I know I would enjoy viewing their activity....and their ideas...or they can post their ideas here as well....its a free for all of ideas...

Last edited by VigorsTheGrey; 04-14-2017 at 02:57 PM.
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Old 04-14-2017, 09:39 PM   #149
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Nitro's Pick's For Oaklawn 4/14/17 Evaluation

Race : Numbers : Prophecy : Result
-Amount Bet +Wager Gains
---------------------------------------------------------
1]1,6/735 6-2-3-12
-$468 +$7.6


2]11,12/479 7-12-8-6
-$468 +$124.6


3]39/51,10 9-3-5-4
-$468 +$7.4 +$15.2 +$85.4 +$85.4


4]2,10/395 2-3-10-5
-$468 +$6.2 +$16.8 +$52 +$52 +$259.4 +$259.4


5]87/496 2-1-6-4
-$468


6]1,3/6,12,9 6-9-1-8
-$468 +$1,150


7]48/1,11,9 8-4-1-9
-$468 +$6.8 +$23 +$72.20 +$72.2 +$202.6 +$202.2


8]35/10,12,1 12-1-5-9
-$468 +$2,901.2

9]Pass
10]Pass

-$3744 Bet ($468 X 8)
+$5602 Gains (from above)
-------------
$1858 Net Gain

Last edited by VigorsTheGrey; 04-14-2017 at 09:48 PM.
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Old 04-16-2017, 12:17 AM   #150
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Nitro's Pick's For Oaklawn 4/15/17 Evaluation
Saturday Closing Day

Race : Numbers : Prophecy : Result
-Amount Bet +Wager Gains
---------------------------------------------------------
1] 67/10,83 6-3-1-7
-$468 +6.4 +24.2


2] 3,11/69,13 9-5-6-1
-$468


3] 86/419 8-3-6-4
-$468 +4.4


4] 82/917 9-7-8-2
-$468 +169.6 +536.6


5] Pass

6] 52/93,11 4-1-9-5
-$468


7] 86/329 8-9-6-5
-$468 +3.0 +32.0 +32.0 +147.0 +147.0


8] 31/75 1-3-7-2
-$100 +7.8 +23.0 +108.8 +108.8

9] 34/15 5-2-3-4
-$100

10] 47/10,68 7-9-6-4
-$468 +6.6

11] 12,2/9,11,7 2-11-6-7
-$468 +5.8 +100.2

12] 16/578 6 5-1-8
-$468 +15.6 +68.6 +262.4 +262.4 + 1,416.2 +1,416.2


-$4,412 Cost of Regime Wagers

+$4,537 Gains (from above)
-------------
$125.0 Net Gain

Last edited by VigorsTheGrey; 04-16-2017 at 12:19 AM.
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