Bobby Fischer's 'Clean Money' Pick 6 Syndicate (Pick 6 carryover tickets) - Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com

Robert Fischer · 02-01-2018, 03:03 PM

In this thread I will experiment with Pick 6 carryover tickets. Occasionally will target other exotic carryovers or significant spot plays.

Feel free to contribute, compete, comment, or heckle

Robert Fischer · 02-01-2018, 03:36 PM

I'll start off the experiment with today's $93,342 carryover at Santa Anita.

Today's 8th and final race features a very heavy favorite (

IMPECUNIOUS) who appears to be a universal single, essentially making this a $2 Pick 5.

Race 3: 'Strong' fav AIRFOIL

. I dislike the

NEXT SPEAKER and I hope he takes contrarian wise-guy money.
Race 4: Puzzling downhill race.

RATE FOR ME is a 'default', logical favorite.

hope to run their 'A-game' with the class relief. The 'C' horses here need dream trips. (*Image shows against #6, but is meant to reference race 5.)
Race 5:

WELL MEASURED is a 'default', logical favorite. I'm tossing the

ROCKET HEAT, and hope he takes money. A handful of 'B's adds cost, and potentially value...
Race 6:

C. C. ZIP is another 'default', logical favorite. Faster on paper.

are very logical as well, no value here as I find myself aligned with the public in race six...
Race 7: Handful of win contenders adds cost again. I don't like the

PISTOL PACKIN ROSE today, and hope she takes some money.
Race 8:

IMPECUNIOUS = HEAVY CHALK

Basic A-B-C selections posted below, using the DRF Ticketmaker app.

Adjustments:

I bet the 'A's 4x, to emphasize opinion and to not hold a winning ticket that is a big loss.

Also doubled all A/B tix with

Airfoil in the 3rd race.

Also wanted to re-emphasize the 2 Strong Singles, as well as ensure catching all 3 'B's on one ticket with the following $540 ticket:
Race 3: 5
Race 4: 1,3,4
Race 5: 1,2,3,4,5,8
Race 6: 2,8,9
Race 7: 2,4,5,7,11
Race 8: 6
=$540

Total Outlay(Pending Late Scratches) $2180

jay68802 · 02-01-2018, 04:47 PM

Heckle, heckle, heckle.

Robert Fischer · 02-01-2018, 05:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay68802

Heckle, heckle, heckle.

That's messed up!

/looking at the doubles from r3 fav 5Airfoil to the fourth race, the 5 Los Gatos is currently 2nd choice... No crazy last-minute adjustments needed, I don't think anyone knows race 4 with much cetainty.

Robert Fischer · 02-01-2018, 05:09 PM

That was quick!
-$2180

jay68802 · 02-01-2018, 05:26 PM

All in good fun.

Robert Fischer · 02-01-2018, 07:52 PM

Triple carryover.

I feel less bad about my humbling debacle today.

RECAP
Race 3:

AIRFOIL crashed and burned @ 3/5, I got too 'fine'

leaving the

completely off the ticket.

was competitive w/ the other B'S on paper, although others overlooked as well paying $17.60 to win...
Race 4: Whiffed badly with the

CHUCKLES. Public did really well, making him 2nd choice. I knew it was a chaos race, and tried to be precise with some other pricey legs. Next time I may opt to consider the Doubles Probables

info to avoid completely tossing horses like the

in similar situations.
Race 5: $60 'bay area'

Hollendorfer shipper

was tough to have. Blew up the Pick 6.
Race 6:

Won like a lone A should @ 3/2.

Race 7: Favorite

PANTSONFIRE beat a much pricier

.

Race 8:

Pays $49 to win with the heavy favorite empty in the lane.

5/6 paid $13,622.80

P6 CARRYOVER 63,573 tomorrow
single ticket jackpot carryover $106K

jay68802 · 02-02-2018, 12:45 PM

Ok, gave you a hard time yesterday. Now throw a few out there, if you are going to hit the big one, could put you on the way.

Race #5 is a State bred N1X Allowance down the hillside. At 15-1 is the 0 for 13 maiden,

Bella Sierra. Who ran her best race of her life last time out down the hill, and is dangerous here because she just might be the only speed.

I'm sure you will find this one in the 6th,

Art's Table 20-1. A firster for O'Niell at 20-1? Doubtful but....

Race #8,

Utana 20-1. Faces claimers for the first time and you could argue that this is the best distance for this one.

GL today.

Robert Fischer · 02-02-2018, 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay68802

Ok, gave you a hard time yesterday. Now throw a few out there, if you are going to hit the big one, could put you on the way.

Race #5 is a State bred N1X Allowance down the hillside. At 15-1 is the 0 for 13 maiden,

Bella Sierra. Who ran her best race of her life last time out down the hill, and is dangerous here because she just might be the only speed.

I'm sure you will find this one in the 6th,

Art's Table 20-1. A firster for O'Niell at 20-1? Doubtful but....

Race #8,

Utana 20-1. Faces claimers for the first time and you could argue that this is the best distance for this one.

GL today.

Thanks Jay. You have some sharp insights on some potential BIG scores.

Robert Fischer · 02-02-2018, 01:38 PM

Back at Santa Anita, w/ a carryover of $63,573 for the P6 and there is a "single-ticket" jackpot carryover of $106K.
I also 'carry over' my loss from yesterday of -$2180.

Sequence today looked daunting at first glance, 3 downhill sprints, and some full fields, but right or wrong it made sense to me in a relatively affordable fashion.

Here's what my opinion looks like today through the Steven Crist A-B-C method, using the DRF Ticketmaker app:
Race 3: Tossing the

after replay review. Otherwise fairly aligned w/public.
Race 4:

KRISTO may actually 'improve' today. Tossing the

.
Race 5:

appears to be a superior turf horse, but 6.5downhill always tough.
Race 6:

RESTORING HOPE potentially stakes horse. Included jay68802's big price as a C on the ticket.
Race 7: Tossing the

. (*Picture circles 7, meant '4') I love that he has pretty form off of easier races and then lumped up to pass the

late last.

HANK THE TANK would be overconfident if he could read the form.
Race 8: Chaotic 6.5 downhill turf.

Attempted to emphasize opinion with the multiples. ^

Going to emphasize the

RESTORING HOPE and

HANK THE TANK once again in an additional ticket:
RACE 3: 2,4,5,6,7
RACE 4: 2,3,4
RACE 5: 1,3,7
RACE 6:

RACE 7:

RACE 8: 1,3,5,7,8,9,10
=$630

TOTAL OUTLAY $1524

GaryG · 02-02-2018, 03:31 PM

I would include

Laynee on the A list for the 5th race.

Robert Fischer · 02-02-2018, 03:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GaryG

I would include

Laynee on the A list for the 5th race.

You could be right again today.

Is a solid, consistent filly. Awkward break last time may have affected her race.

I went in the direction of the

(In my opinion, it was either that, or use several A's). Probably should have shown the

more respect. Hopefully doesn't come back to haunt me.

Robert Fischer · 02-02-2018, 05:25 PM

GOOD: Survived an objection. Survived my 'Toss' #1 running a solid second.

BAD:

IMPETU was a public 'Lone-A' if not a cold 'Single', and I went 3-deep.
Tripnote:

SELLWOOD impressed me in his morning works, and then today got a bit of an 'educational' race under his belt, at times near the rail, and didn't run poorly enough to completely dismiss next time out.

UGLY: I'm starting to question

KRISTO as a 'Lone A'

I do feel confident that

got a dream inside trip last time, and

RPRETTYBOYFLOYD has only 1 brief move at this point in his career (in addition taking some money for a cool name / known trainer/jock).

Robert Fischer · 02-02-2018, 05:44 PM

Stinking up the joint.
I had negatives for the

and

, but I gravitated to a strong love for the

KRISTO. Turned out to be a race with no world-beaters, and the afterthought

LEWIS VALE responded well in two separate parts of the race to win today. Paid $21.60, would've had to spread/chaos the leg to cover him.

Robert Fischer · 02-02-2018, 06:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GaryG

I would include

Laynee on the A list for the 5th race.