Roy Moore wins in Alabama

[Fager Fan]

Originally Posted by davew

She did not forge it, she just added some at the end to remember parts....

Why?

Which one of you did this to the entries in your yearbook?

No one?

Right, because no one does that.

She added that years later. They can do an analysis and find out when she added it.

Signing someone's yearbook however is proof of nothing except perhaps they know how to spell or have good handwriting. Certainly nothing pertaining to her charge.

[Fager Fan]

Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker

I was hoping Roy Moore would actually pull out of the Alabama Senate race weeks ago. But that obviously isn't going to happen, and the Alabama voters will get their voice.

As for Trump backing Moore; even in his tweets he has acknowledged it is nothing more than a political backing to get a needed vote on his side of the fence in congress.

Now, here is the cold hard reality. The Dems have only rallied for Conyers and Franken to resign so that they can play this political BS game of "see, look here, we took the high road and now it is time for the GOP to do the same".

Is it pure and total political BS nonsense. All around. And why this 2 party system needs to hit the shitter as soon as possible.

Time for a real 3rd party to come about. Not some rag tag group of degenerates with awful ideas espousing crap platforms, but a 3rd party with real people with real values with common sense and in it for the long haul.

A third party won't for long be any better than the two we already have.

[Nutz and Boltz]

What could a "third party" name itself ?

[JustRalph]

He got killed

In the 1st 1%

Nice predictor on this page

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/re...ore-doug-jones

[jocko699]

Originally Posted by Nutz and Boltz

What could a "third party" name itself ?

"Nothing Matters"

[_______]

Jones got 31% of the vote in one Cullman County precinct. Clinton failed to get 15% in ANY Cullman County precinct.

It’s still way early but Jones is outperforming Clinton in some deep red counties.

Clinton, of course, lost by a huge margin in Alabama so this doesn’t mean Jones will win.

But Jones may have a better chance than I had given him.

[_______]

Moore up 17% in Limestone County with 50% precincts reporting. Benchmarks would suggest he needs about 20-22% there.

Could be an interesting night.

[_______]

Prediction markets which previously had Moore a 70% favorite now have this a dead heat.

[_______]

Results now look more favorable for Moore. This will definitely be closer than I anticipated but I’d still put money on Moore winning a squeaker.

[_______]

88% in Limestone Moore now up 24%, beating the benchmark he needs for a 50/50 result.

[_______]

And prediction markets now swing to Moore giving him an 80% chance.

[_______]

Prediction markets with 89% of the vote counted have Jones as 90% favorite.. I understand the thinking as remaining votes are in areas that should favor Jones. But looking at how tight the race is now, I wouldn’t bet on Jones at those odds.

Any margin 0.5% or less is an automatic recount.

[_______]

I see one model now predicting Jones wins by 2.6%.

It looks like he could win.

[FantasticDan]

Originally Posted by _______

I see one model now predicting Jones wins by 2.6%.

It looks like he could win.

The AP just declared him the winner.

[_______]

Southern states get a lot of flak for slow vote counts. I want to say that getting 95% of the vote in 2 1/2 hours after polls closed gets a gold star.

Props to Alabama. And a very well done to Steve Bannon who managed the impossible and elected a Democrat in Alabama.