Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > Selections


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 02-14-2018, 12:26 PM   #1
usfgeology
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2017
Location: Tampa Bay
Posts: 1,100
TBD 1/2 card V-Day Picks

Tampa Bay Downs has been exhibiting some unusual but consistent track bias the last week or so and we haven't had any weather that would be expected to change that. Trying a bit of a change up with some picks to focus on horses which exhibit tendencies and running styles that is complementary to the current bias. The obvious disclaimer is we have a wide range of jockey competencies and the track may have been worked this week to adjust the bias. Theoretical wagers per race would include:

$2 EXA - AB/ABC ($8)
$1 TRI - AB/ABC/ABCD ($8)
$4 Win on the A for $20 per race wagering to make the books easier to keep.

Sitting at the airport so only looking at the first four races which offer a decent cross section of turf/dirt/sprint/routes.

R1 - 5172
R2 - 8357
R3 - 2547
R4 - 4829


-Andy

Last edited by usfgeology; 02-14-2018 at 12:41 PM. Reason: R2 edited to account for scratch (1)
usfgeology is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 02-14-2018, 04:37 PM   #2
usfgeology
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2017
Location: Tampa Bay
Posts: 1,100
Well this was an informative lesson on handicapping a race using only a subset of available information.

Not a good idea.
usfgeology is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply




Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:00 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.