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03-31-2021, 09:40 PM
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#16
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2016
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 1,047
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last race at Sam Houston tonight the fits the angle for me... two tries around 1 turn on dirt, attended the pace in both with even finishes. by Declaration of War out of a Chester House mare so a mile should be well within it's wheelhouse. Typically would toss a $1k purchase in a MSW but is worth a stab against this field at current 5-1 odds.
edit: jesus, this is how I know I'm tired. I handicap a 12 horse field assuming its a mile on dirt and the race is actually turf
Last edited by Immortal6; 03-31-2021 at 09:42 PM.
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04-01-2021, 02:02 PM
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#17
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2016
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 1,047
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Souper capacity in OP1 fits the angle for me but the will be tough. Box them
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04-01-2021, 05:48 PM
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#18
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 316
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Jay, this is interesting. What range of figures would you consider to be even in previous sprints? All within 5 points or would it vary more? Hope I'm asking this correctly.
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04-01-2021, 09:17 PM
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#19
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,130
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I like them within 5 points of each other, and really like it when the late pace # is the highest.
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04-04-2021, 03:05 PM
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#20
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2016
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 1,047
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GP R5
4 Morning Trial last out 5.5 furlongs figs 82/82/84 stretches out today to a mile. Currently 20-1 let’s give it a shot
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04-04-2021, 03:20 PM
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#21
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,130
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06-05-2021, 12:13 AM
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#22
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,130
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Belmont Race 3: 6/5/2021
Tulane Tryst ML 20/1 in a short field. 3 runners in this race "need the lead". This one likes to sit off the pace, and gets a great set up. and the last two sprints, 93 / 99 / 94 and 90 / 94 / 93. Pace #'s fit.
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06-05-2021, 09:38 AM
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#23
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2021
Location: NYC
Posts: 1,554
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2 points that I have found that favors a stretch-out...
1) Speed....Horses that are closers hardly win when going longer
2) Trainer success in the past at this move
GB
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07-25-2021, 06:10 PM
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#24
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,130
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Race 9: Del Mar
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07-25-2021, 07:26 PM
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#25
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2021
Location: NYC
Posts: 1,554
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
Race 9: Del Mar
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Just like Bris Prime , HTR has him Ranked 9Th also....get a price
I'm liking the 7 & 10
GB
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07-25-2021, 08:34 PM
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#26
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,130
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Have the , , , and in the Pick 4, I i get to that leg.
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07-25-2021, 09:09 PM
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#27
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2021
Location: NYC
Posts: 1,554
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
Have the , , , and in the Pick 4, I i get to that leg.
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Did you get that far?
9 wins that 9TH Race @ 9/2
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07-25-2021, 10:12 PM
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#28
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,130
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Quote:
Originally Posted by geroge.burns99
Did you get that far?
9 wins that 9TH Race @ 9/2
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Got it, had the in last as a single. Paid just under $100.
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07-25-2021, 10:51 PM
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#29
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2021
Location: NYC
Posts: 1,554
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
Got it, had the in last as a single. Paid just under $100.
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07-31-2021, 01:46 AM
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#30
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,154
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Late horses often run best after changing leads. The problem is that most races have the same or a similar stretch distance. So, they usually come up short a lot, no matter what the distance.
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