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08-10-2018, 03:15 PM
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#1036
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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r5
Random , entropy, chaos you name it
supposed to go ALL -TO R6 SINGLE + Emphasis of the r5chalk-TO R6 SINGLE
I'm going to 'PASS' today. I don't trust anyone in R6
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08-10-2018, 03:17 PM
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#1037
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
Random , entropy, chaos you name it
supposed to go ALL -TO R6 SINGLE + Emphasis of the r5chalk-TO R6 SINGLE
I'm going to 'PASS' today. I don't trust anyone in R6
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No regrets, either went to the chalk or to a 6/1 shot.
R6 is a nice puzzle. Not an easy puzzle, but a nice puzzle.
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08-10-2018, 03:52 PM
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#1038
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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r6 Train-of-Thought;
tough race with no standout
three horses have the talent to win this race outright
LEAP TO GLORY = Lone E type. He just broke mdn as heavy chalk while dropping to mdn clm. His current price stinks.
CANDY ZIP = last time was the disaster. Trainer can get get a horse in shape, and his form is pretty. I don't like his footwork, even when he broke maiden. Last time brushed the gate and mainly broke poorly-outwardly and never had a shot. One of several mid-priced horses, so I won't talk you off him if you like the .
ZONIC = not a 'top-tier' type, but in a race lacking any top-tier types(unless you think the or will run a career top), the should contend for the win. I figure Bravo is a wise dude, and will patiently sit patiently at least in-touch with the mid-pack group, improve some position, and then get him wide in the clear to plod past the front-runners in the stretch. He needs a smart ride. Public has defaulted to favoritism, but 3/1 is fair enough.
If no one can win this race outright - and even if they do - the should plod up in tandem. If the 3 mediocre 'talents' all fail, it will look like a thrilling finish.
exactas / and / (going against the lone speed 's underlayed odds)
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08-10-2018, 04:04 PM
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#1039
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
tough race with no standout
three horses have the talent to win this race outright
LEAP TO GLORY = Lone E type. He just broke mdn as heavy chalk while dropping to mdn clm. His current price stinks.
CANDY ZIP = last time was the disaster. Trainer can get get a horse in shape, and his form is pretty. I don't like his footwork, even when he broke maiden. Last time brushed the gate and mainly broke poorly-outwardly and never had a shot. One of several mid-priced horses, so I won't talk you off him if you like the .
ZONIC = not a 'top-tier' type, but in a race lacking any top-tier types(unless you think the or will run a career top), the should contend for the win. I figure Bravo is a wise dude, and will patiently sit patiently at least in-touch with the mid-pack group, improve some position, and then get him wide in the clear to plod past the front-runners in the stretch. He needs a smart ride. Public has defaulted to favoritism, but 3/1 is fair enough.
If no one can win this race outright - and even if they do - the should plod up in tandem. If the 3 mediocre 'talents' all fail, it will look like a thrilling finish.
exactas / and / (going against the lone speed 's underlayed odds)
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That's all you can ask for(mispriced horses and a formful race)(as a bonus, the Sicilia Mike will be an underlay that you can bet against next time). Maybe a race that I should have crushed more, but like Joe Bravo on a much-the-best plodder, patience is the theme.
SAR #6 $1 Exacta 8, WT, 2, 5, 7 $3.00 = $26.50(+$23.50 -$3+$0.90)(+$21.40 d)
SAR #6 $1 Exacta 2, 5, 7, WT, 8 3.00 = -$3.00
S̶A̶R̶ ̶#̶3̶ ̶$̶1̶ ̶W̶i̶n̶ ̶6̶ ̶$̶1̶.̶0̶0̶ ̶=̶ ̶$̶2̶.̶9̶0̶ ($+$0.90 d)
S̶A̶R̶ ̶#̶2̶ ̶$̶1̶ ̶W̶i̶n̶ ̶6̶ ̶$̶1̶.̶0̶0̶ ̶=̶ ̶-̶$̶1̶.̶0̶0̶
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Last edited by Robert Fischer; 08-10-2018 at 04:09 PM.
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08-10-2018, 04:28 PM
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#1040
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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r7
too tough for me
Nile should be able to open up on the field mid-race and force the running a bit. This should be a huge advantage.
Bengala will run a good race, there's some fun quibbling to be had between the
and the Violet Blue, who was better 2-back. In reality, they are very close and it's not exciting me to bet.
have a negative look for my paddock/parade/perusal.
clear that the favorite is strong, and the 3 public favorites are the top-3.
PASS
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08-10-2018, 04:31 PM
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#1041
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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What a goofy trip for the
edit: did she miss the break or did the jock miss the brain?
Looked like she was putting in an effort to prove she was not only good enough to be lucky today to win an advantageous race, but to do so while wasting a ton of energy early and traveling unnecessarily wide. The mediocre happily capitalized on that vacuum.
/i need to re-watch the break
edit2 - can't tell from the distant view. I'll have to check the head-on. Jock seemed very relaxed on the during the disaster of a break, but it could have been the horse.
edit3 - horse brushed the gate and the jock slipped. Can't blame the jock. unfortunate luck
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Last edited by Robert Fischer; 08-10-2018 at 04:41 PM.
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08-10-2018, 04:56 PM
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#1042
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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r8 another tough one
Chad has a solid favorite in the . Not sure he's dominant as much as good.
I like the and as prices who may out-run their odds.
was thinking about something like a
$0.50 TRI 1, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
$0.50 TRI 1, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
$0.50 TRI 9
Wager Total $15.00
but, I'll PASS
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08-10-2018, 05:04 PM
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#1043
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2017
Posts: 3,641
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08-10-2018, 05:13 PM
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#1044
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2017
Posts: 3,641
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Gotta hand it to the , that was quite a lot of ground to make up
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08-10-2018, 05:15 PM
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#1045
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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r9 ANOTHER tough betting race
race 8 chalked out. Chad won, and Chad's 2nd-string barn(run by Chad's assistant) nearly won. $12 exacta...
race 9
Only 5 horses in this race, and 1 of the 5 seems to be an obvious toss. I'll give it a look and hope to find a mispriced horse.
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08-10-2018, 05:21 PM
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#1046
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2014
Posts: 222
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Race 9: 8/10
WP: Rare to see FP at SPA to ride but horse looks good enough to me. Going to play wP. Larger to PLACE than WIN
Hoping connections looking forward to other races and not locked in on race today.
Good Luck
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chasing the bone, flies at the nostrils plunder
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08-10-2018, 05:23 PM
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#1047
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2017
Posts: 3,641
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R9:
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08-10-2018, 05:35 PM
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#1048
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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r9
'TRAP' = = he has pretty pace numbers and been against the track in a tempting past performance lines. However, I have him out of the exacta today.
I feel like tries to lead, and the collapses them both
= underlay but most likely winner.
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08-10-2018, 05:40 PM
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#1049
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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goofy bet 135box $6
135/1345 =$9
$2ex 1 /35 =$2
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08-10-2018, 05:50 PM
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#1050
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2017
Posts: 3,641
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worked out for you, Robert.
R10 is anyone's guess. Think I will find some longshots.
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