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08-06-2021, 05:32 PM
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#1
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2021
Posts: 488
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SARATOGA - how's everyone doing?
At the halfway point of SAR now (week 4/8) - how goes the handicapping?
I was ridiculously fortunate to bring home a couple huge long shots in the final couple weeks of the BEL meet, so I headed into SAR with a decent bankroll.
Held my own for the first couple weeks, but my luck's gone south of late.
C'est la vie
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08-06-2021, 06:27 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,611
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They call Saratoga the "Graveyard of Champions" for a reason.
__________________
"Theory is knowledge that doesn't work. Practice is when everything works and you don't know why."
-- Hermann Hesse
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08-06-2021, 08:09 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2021
Location: Chicago in summer, New Orleans in Winter.
Posts: 56
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Karakorum Kabbage
At the halfway point of SAR now (week 4/8) - how goes the handicapping?
Held my own for the first couple weeks, but my luck's gone south of late.
C'est la vie
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I was doing well with baby races but have lost my momentum of late on grass races. Still playing the baby grass race tomorrow. I see these races as a learning lesson for me, so losing on them for a while was expected.
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08-06-2021, 09:23 PM
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#4
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Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,751
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Honestly I have only played less than 20 cards since I am working pretty well everyday so it is pretty hard to handicap races each day of the meet
Have had a few winners on the cards that I did play but nothing earth shattering
__________________
Handicapping the world year round'
-Conley
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08-06-2021, 09:37 PM
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#5
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Top Horse Analytics
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 12,308
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Karakorum Kabbage
At the halfway point of SAR now (week 4/8) - how goes the handicapping?
I was ridiculously fortunate to bring home a couple huge long shots in the final couple weeks of the BEL meet, so I headed into SAR with a decent bankroll.
Held my own for the first couple weeks, but my luck's gone south of late.
C'est la vie
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I always blame the jockeys.
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08-06-2021, 09:47 PM
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#6
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Gambler
Join Date: Jul 2021
Location: Katy Texas
Posts: 553
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Augenj
I always blame the jockeys.
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The Ortiz brothers had a combined 28 straight losing mounts between a 5/2 win in Friday's finally and today's last race winner at 4/5.
__________________
$MONEY$
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08-06-2021, 09:50 PM
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#7
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Top Horse Analytics
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 12,308
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Quote:
Originally Posted by P.Rosa
The Ortiz brothers had a combined 28 straight losing mounts between a 5/2 win in Friday's finally and today's last race winner at 4/5.
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Wow. You do your homework and I rest my case.
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08-07-2021, 08:15 AM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: NY
Posts: 256
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So far my best bets have come from picking the horse in the paddock and the old "short field, longest odds" trick. Otherwise my handicapping has been the oh man, so close kind for the most part. I don't have time to bet most days though.
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08-07-2021, 10:55 AM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,230
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I've played 12 cards winning 6 days. Am positive with ROI.
Had to pass a few days where I couldn't find a playable race.
As an example, I only played one race Friday 8/7 winning the 9th race. Other races where I had selections, I passed due to low odds.
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08-07-2021, 11:44 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 5
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Tough to make money ..look at the third race today ... (8/7) I know it is just a 5 horse field ...but the second choice over the longest shot in the field and the $2 exacta is only $23?? ...someone absolutely pounded that exacta...
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08-08-2021, 12:20 AM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 7,340
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fox13weather
Tough to make money ..look at the third race today ... (8/7) I know it is just a 5 horse field ...but the second choice over the longest shot in the field and the $2 exacta is only $23?? ...someone absolutely pounded that exacta...
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This is extremely foolish
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08-08-2021, 07:35 AM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2017
Posts: 152
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Well work has been a beast. Needed to get an oil change every garage was booked solid. So I dropped it off and walked over to OTB.
Played first Saratoga races and I’m up $10. Yeah.
The highlight was hitting 8/2 exacta Race 8. That and a small lunch break with some draft Modelo’s and queso blanco.
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08-08-2021, 06:29 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Seattle, WA
Posts: 379
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Mixed.
Hit or miss with P4/P5... mainly misses & be a fairly neg ROI if it wasn't for the $7600 P5 I hit back on 7/24.
How did a Chad Brown horse (Shifting Sands) go off @ 30-1??
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08-08-2021, 07:52 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 2,038
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the little guy
This is extremely foolish
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Okay I will bite. What was extremely foolish about the post? The exacta was clearly hammered paying $23.60 when it should have been in the $40 to $44 range. Something else? I realize this is probably beneath you, but if you are going to call someones post foolish, you should back it up with something.
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08-08-2021, 08:18 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,137
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Been watching Talking horses every morning. The insight on that show helps. I would say having a good meet. Today's tickets missed 1 race.
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