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04-05-2017, 02:37 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Fort Worth,Texas
Posts: 606
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Different predicting wins method
In an effort to maybe predict some long shots I came up with this method.
It doesn't have time,speed figures or pace figures. It uses trainer jockey win % ,key trainer stat,Form,weight change and stretch gain or loss. Here are the prediction for 4/6. let's see how it does.
Aqu 1 #2
2 #6
3 #2
4 #1
5 #7
6 #5
7 #3*
8 #1a
9 #4*
Gpx 1 #6
2 #5
3 #3
4 #1
5 #5
6 #5
7 #6
8 #4*
* ml 10/1
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04-05-2017, 08:38 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 6,626
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I realize it is a pain, but you might consider posting the name of the horse along with the PP/PN. Helps avoid a LOT of confusion.
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04-05-2017, 08:45 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 6,843
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Quote:
Originally Posted by traynor
I realize it is a pain, but you might consider posting the name of the horse along with the PP/PN. Helps avoid a LOT of confusion.
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Yes, I would love that...
__________________
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"Cursed be the man who puts his trust in man" - Jer 17:5 (KJV)
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04-06-2017, 07:15 AM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Fort Worth,Texas
Posts: 606
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Those are not post position they are program numbers.
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04-06-2017, 02:06 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 318
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sa
jas did you do sa ? so far your 4w 1l very good
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04-06-2017, 05:01 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Fort Worth,Texas
Posts: 606
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No, I only do the track that I play
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04-07-2017, 06:12 AM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Fort Worth,Texas
Posts: 606
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jasperson
In an effort to maybe predict some long shots I came up with this method.
It doesn't have time,speed figures or pace figures. It uses trainer jockey win % ,key trainer stat,Form,weight change and stretch gain or loss. Here are the prediction for 4/6. let's see how it does.
Trk was sloppy
Aqu 1 #2
2 #6 $4.60
3 #2
4 #1
5 #7
6 #5
7 #3*
8 #1a
9 #4* scr
Gpx 1 #6 $3.40
2 #5 $3.00
3 #3 $9.00
4 #1
5 #5
6 #5
7 #6
8 #4*
* ml 10/1
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Not impressive, but the sloppy track at AQU could be discounted.
Saturday I will be doing 4 track and ge a better sample
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04-07-2017, 05:39 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Fort Worth,Texas
Posts: 606
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sat 4/8 pick
I hope we get some long shots
AQU
1 2 MINERALOGY E6
2 1A PUISSANT P5
3 1 BANCROFT HALL P6
4 3 POLLOCK NA2
5 1 PAID ADMISSION S0
6 5 THEORY E/P5
7 10 BENEVOLENCE E/P1
8 5 TU BRUTUS NA0
9 2 TOMMY MACHO P1
10 8 IRISH WAR CRY E/P8
11 8 NORTH END E/P4
12 2 UNCLE TBONE S1
GP
1 5 SEVEN OF JACK P3
2 2 VELVET COLORS E1
3 1 COWTOWN SPIRIT E/P7
4 2 KROY NA0
5 8 TIDE OF THE DESERT E3
6 6 DIXIE GRITS E/P8
7 3 WILD IMPULSE P2
8 1 SIR RAY E/P2
9 9 OCEAN KNIGHT E0
10 3 CRAFTY KITTEN E/P6
11 4 BIT GROWTH E3
Lrl
1 6 RUNBRORUN E8
2 3 HELIACAL E7
3 8 ROCKNBYE NA0
4 5 LOOK NO FURTHER NA0
5 2 HIT THE BOARD NA0
6 2 CASINO BACCARAT NA0
7 6 MENEHUNE P2
8 8 CADDY CAT E/P7
TAM
1 3 TALENT AND GRACE E/P7
2 1 AVENDESORA E5
3 5 I'M REALLY SUMTHIN E/P8
4 6 KIWANDA E5
5 6 SALSAFORALL NA0
6 5 SALSA DOG E/P5
7 2 MIGHTY MINI E/P4
8 5 TREE FIRE P2
9 7 APPEALING JULIA P4
10 6 STORMY LEAF E2
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04-07-2017, 08:28 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Fort Worth,Texas
Posts: 606
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mistake Lrl is really la
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04-08-2017, 09:10 AM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Fort Worth,Texas
Posts: 606
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updated list to include lrl
AQU
1 2 MINERALOGY E6
2 1A PUISSANT P5
3 1 BANCROFT HALL P6
4 3 POLLOCK NA2
5 1 PAID ADMISSION S0
6 5 THEORY E/P5
7 10 BENEVOLENCE E/P1
8 5 TU BRUTUS NA0
9 2 TOMMY MACHO P1
10 8 IRISH WAR CRY E/P8
11 8 NORTH END E/P4
12 2 UNCLE TBONE S1
GP
1 5 SEVEN OF JACK P3
2 2 VELVET COLORS E1
3 1 COWTOWN SPIRIT E/P7
4 2 KROY NA0
5 8 TIDE OF THE DESERT E3
6 6 DIXIE GRITS E/P8
7 3 WILD IMPULSE P2
8 1 SIR RAY E/P2
9 9 OCEAN KNIGHT E0
10 3 CRAFTY KITTEN E/P6
11 4 BIT GROWTH E3
LA
1 6 RUNBRORUN E8
2 3 HELIACAL E7
3 8 ROCKNBYE NA0
4 5 LOOK NO FURTHER NA0
5 2 HIT THE BOARD NA0
6 2 CASINO BACCARAT NA0
7 6 MENEHUNE P2
8 8 CADDY CAT E/P7
LRL
1 5 COOKING UP A STORM S0
2 3 BRONX SANDMAN P2
3 5 BEST YES E5
4 6 WEEKEND IN MALIBU E/P5
5 4 GREAT CAPTAIN E1
6 6 NEYAMI E/P5
7 14 ZENDREYA P4
8 6 HOLIDAY MAGICIAN P3
9 3 SAZERAC GIRL S3
10 7 CITY TRAVELER E2
TAM
1 3 TALENT AND GRACE E/P7
2 1 AVENDESORA E5
3 5 I'M REALLY SUMTHIN E/P8
4 6 KIWANDA E5
5 6 SALSAFORALL NA0
6 5 SALSA DOG E/P5
7 2 MIGHTY MINI E/P4
8 5 TREE FIRE P2
9 7 APPEALING JULIA P4
10 6 STORMY LEAF E2
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