Short Shots (spot play) - Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com

Aner · 04-07-2018, 10:50 AM

Short Shots

I have been trying to identify horses with both speed and stamina. Of course most are low odds, but occasionally some higher odd ones come in. Most races have no picks so it is certainly a spot play.

Picks for 4/7/18:

Aqu 7-----#2 Discreet Lover
Kee 2-----#2 Wholehearted
Kee 6-----#6 Limousine Liberal
SA 1------#1 Zusha
SA 4------#8 Sho it N Moe it
SA 9------#3 Bolt d'Oro

GP ------none
Tam-----none

Aner · 04-07-2018, 07:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aner

Short Shots

I have been trying to identify horses with both speed and stamina. Of course most are low odds, but occasionally some higher odd ones come in. Most races have no picks so it is certainly a spot play.

Picks for 4/7/18:

Aqu 7-----#2 Discreet Lover--------------17.60, 8.80
Kee 2-----#2 Wholehearted---------------XXXX, 3.60
Kee 6-----#6 Limousine Liberal-----------XXXX, 3.20
SA 1------#1 Zusha-------------------------8.40, 3.60
SA 4------#8 Sho it N Moe it--------------XXXX, 2.40
SA 9------#3 Bolt d'Oro-------------------XXXX, 2.20

GP ------none
Tam-----none

Win = 2/6
Bet = $12.00
Back = $26.00
Net = $14.00

Place = 6/6
Bet = $12.00
Back = $23.80
Net = $11.80

Aner · 04-08-2018, 12:18 PM

Picks for 4/8/18

GP 4-----#7 Super Duper Girl
GP 9-----#2 Coquivacoa
Tam 2---#7 La Femme Royale
Tam 5---#4 Quickluckycoco
Tam 6---#3 Chicory Blue
Tam 7---#8 No Mercy Percy
SA 1-----#9 Kopitar
SA 4-----#9 Radish
Aqu------no picks

Aner · 04-08-2018, 07:12 PM

Picks for 4/8/18

GP 4-----#7 Super Duper Girl
GP 9-----#2 Coquivacoa
Tam 2---#7 La Femme Royale---------------xxxx, 4.40
Tam 5---#4 Quickluckycoco
Tam 6---#3 Chicory Blue---------------------4.00, 2.60
Tam 7---#8 No Mercy Percy------------------4.40, 3.20
SA 1-----#9 Kopitar
SA 4-----#9 Radish----------------------------xxxx, 6.00
Aqu------no picks

For the Day:

win 2/8
place 4/8

win = (8.40 - 16) = -7.60
place =(16.20 -16) = +0.20

Overall:

win 4/14
net = +6.40

place 10/14
net = =12.00

Aner · 04-14-2018, 11:57 AM

Picks for 4/14/18:

Aqu 6-----#3 Miss Munnings
Aqu 8-----#2 Barbarossa

GP 9------#4 Browns Gap
GP 12-----#6 Psycho Girl

OP 2------#3 Pete's Play Call
OP 3------#4 The Money Dance

Kee 2-----#8 He Takes Charge

SA 4------#2 Tengs Rhythm
SA 6------#2 Imalocomotive
SA 11-----#6 Insubordination

Aner · 04-15-2018, 01:17 AM

win today = +16.00
place today = -1.10

Picks for 4/14/18:

Aqu 6-----#3 Miss Munnings-----------------7.20, 2.90
Aqu 8-----#2 Barbarossa

GP 9------#4 Browns Gap--------------------5.00, 3.20
GP 12-----#6 Psycho Girl-------------------13.60, 6.40

OP 2------#3 Pete's Play Call
OP 3------#4 The Money Dance-------------5.00, 3.20

Kee 2-----#8 He Takes Charge

SA 4------#2 Tengs Rhythm
SA 6------#2 Imalocomotive
SA 11-----#6 Insubordination---------------5.20, 3.20

Overall:

win frequency (9/24) = 37%
win profit (+22.40/48) = 46%

place frequency (15/24) = 62%
place profit (+10.90/48) = 23%

Aner · 04-21-2018, 11:44 AM

Picks for 4/21/18

Aqu 3-----#5 Sand Dancer
Aqu 4-----#1 Javelin
Aqu 8-----#3 Dynamax Prime
Aqu 9-----#9 Orchid Party
Aqu 10----#12 Appealing Briefs

GP 1------#1 Ray's The Bar
GP 8------#4 Gemologister

Kee 3-----#3 Aubrey
Kee 4-----#8 Ravish
Kee 6-----#6 Katie's Cowboy

SA 9------#3 Princess Ashlyn

Lrl-----------none

Aner · 04-21-2018, 07:59 PM

win today- = -(13.40)
place today = -(11.30)

Picks for 4/21/18

Aqu 3-----#5 Sand Dancer-------------5.40, 2.70
Aqu 4-----#1 Javelin-------------------XXXX, 2.60
Aqu 8-----#3 Dynamax Prime
Aqu 9-----#9 Orchid Party
Aqu 10----#12 Appealing Briefs

GP 1------#1 Ray's The Bar------------XXXX, 3.00
GP 8------#4 Gemologister

Kee 3-----#3 Aubrey
Kee 4-----#8 Ravish--------------------3.20, 2.40
Kee 6-----#6 Katie's Cowboy

SA 9------#3 Princess Ashlyn

Overall:

win frequency (11/35) = 31%
win profit-(+9.00/70) = +13%

place frequency (19/35) = 54%
place profit-- (-0.40/70) = -1%

Aner · 04-28-2018, 10:54 AM

Picks for 4/28/18:

Bel 3-----#5 Espresso Caliente
Bel 4-----#4 Doyouknowsomething
Bel 5-----#5 Frontier Market

Lrl 4-----#7 Honey Fireball
Lrl 10----#11 Draconic Treasure

GP 4------#3 Mariealena
GP 7------#9 Rethinkme

SA 7------#6 Super Echelon
SA 9------#5 Miss Ricochet

Aner · 04-29-2018, 12:46 PM

win today- = -(14.20)
place today = -(1.70)

Picks for 4/28/18:

Bel 3-----#5 Espresso Caliente
Bel 4-----#4 Doyouknowsomething
Bel 5-----#5 Frontier Market-------------------XXXX, 2.30

Lrl 4-----#7 Honey Fireball
Lrl 10----#11 Draconic Treasure--------------XXXX, 6.00

GP 4------#3 Mariealena-----------------------XXXX, 5.20
GP 7------#9 Rethinkme------------------------3.80, 2.80

SA 7------#6 Super Echelon
SA 9------#5 Miss Ricochet

Overall:

win frequency (12/44) = 27%
win-----------(-5.20/88) = 6% loss

place frequency (23/44) = 52%
place----------(-2.10/88) = 2% loss

Aner · 05-04-2018, 09:47 AM

Picks for 5/4/2018

CD 1-----#5 America's Tale
CD 9-----#9 Enrage
CD 12----#10 Gio Game

Aner · 05-05-2018, 10:29 AM

Results:

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aner

Picks for 5/4/2018

CD 1-----#5 America's Tale
CD 9-----#9 Enrage
CD 12----#10 Gio Game------------5.40, 3.20

Aner · 05-05-2018, 10:30 AM

Picks for 5/5/18:

GP 4-----#7 Abbot
GP 12----#7 Cotton Colors

CD 2-----#1 Gray Sky
CD 9-----#10 Maraud
CD 10----#5 Mississippi
CD 14----#5 Locomotion

Aner · 05-06-2018, 12:02 AM

Results:

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aner

Picks for 5/5/18:

GP 4-----#7 Abbot
GP 12----#7 Cotton Colors

CD 2-----#1 Gray Sky------------XXXX,4.40
CD 9-----#10 Maraud------------18.80, 8.40
CD 10----#5 Mississippi
CD 14----#5 Locomotion---------XXXX, 4.80

Aner · 05-06-2018, 12:20 AM

Overall:

win frequency (15/53) = 28%
win-----------(+19/106) = 18% profit

place frequency (27/53) = 51%
place----------(+18.70/106) = 18% profit