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10-03-2023, 07:08 PM
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#31
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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10-04-2023, 02:31 PM
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#32
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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APPENDED WITH FAVORITE WIN PLAY RESULTS
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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10-06-2023, 06:12 PM
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#33
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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267 SAMPLE LIVE RACE RESULTS.
480 EXACTA "PLAYS" $1 RETURN $0.94
Using fav and co-fav in straight and reverse exactas under 11 different play structures at the first indication of zero minuets to post time.
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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10-08-2023, 11:59 AM
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#34
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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332 SAMPLE LIVE RACE RESULTS.
602 EXACTA "PLAYS" $1 RETURN $0.94
Using fav and co-fav in straight and reverse exactas under 11 different play structures at the first indication of zero minuets to post time.
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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10-08-2023, 12:18 PM
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#35
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 509
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In 20+ years doing this....Do you really have anything to show us?
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10-08-2023, 12:55 PM
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#36
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Saratoga
In 20+ years doing this....Do you really have anything to show us?
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Oh yes.once I get to 1000 races. The only thing I would mentioned at this time is per the latest report of 602 exacta plays, the $1 return beats the exacta vig by quite a bit. That should be attractive to some players.
Till then the reports speak for themselves if you comprehend the language. 
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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10-08-2023, 01:46 PM
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#37
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1,738
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Saratoga
In 20+ years doing this....Do you really have anything to show us?
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No, he does not.
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10-08-2023, 01:48 PM
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#38
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1,738
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
Oh yes.once I get to 1000 races. The only thing I would mentioned at this time is per the latest report of 602 exacta plays, the $1 return beats the exacta vig by quite a bit. That should be attractive to some players.
Till then the reports speak for themselves if you comprehend the language. |
You've done way more than 1000 races with your "system of the day" nonsense over the last 20 years.
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10-08-2023, 02:15 PM
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#39
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by elhelmete
You've done way more than 1000 races with your "system of the day" nonsense over the last 20 years.
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Incorrect.
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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10-08-2023, 02:20 PM
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#40
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by elhelmete
No, he does not.
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It's just above your pay grade. Ask , to the best of your ability, an intelligent and meaningful question to the report I posted. I'll be please to answer, to the best of my ability
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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10-08-2023, 06:49 PM
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#41
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Just a note. NYRA list the exacta board take-out at 18.5%
looking at a random race today, the booking % for Belmont race 1 was 1.24
1/1.24 = .80 , 1-.80 = a take-out of 20%.
when I post the sum of all my exacta plays with a $1 return of $0.95, I'm beating the true take-out by 15 points .
other tracks have a higher exacta pool take-out.
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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10-08-2023, 07:03 PM
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#42
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 509
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
Just a note. NYRA list the exacta board take-out at 18.5%
looking at a random race today, the booking % for Belmont race 1 was 1.24
1/1.24 = .80 , 1-.80 = a take-out of 20%.
when I post the sum of all my exacta plays with a $1 return of $0.95, I'm beating the true take-out by 15 points .
other tracks have a higher exacta pool take-out.
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Explain to me like I'm a six year old.....
How is a ROI of .95 makes you a winner?
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10-08-2023, 07:54 PM
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#43
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Saratoga
Explain to me like I'm a six year old.....
How is a ROI of .95 makes you a winner?
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Obviously, it doesn't. However if the profitable structured bet continue to be positive after another 700 or so races, it might be worth talking about. Then again if the 0.95 rate continues, it would be worthwhile looking for 6 cents or more on the wagered dollar rebate. Until then it's best not betting. 
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 10-08-2023 at 08:01 PM.
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10-09-2023, 11:37 AM
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#44
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: NJ
Posts: 3,822
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
It's just above your pay grade. Ask , to the best of your ability, an intelligent and meaningful question to the report I posted. I'll be please to answer, to the best of my ability
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Here's a meaningful question---have you ever discovered anything interesting where you didn't come back here and say later "oh I miscalculated, I have to start over"?
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10-09-2023, 12:36 PM
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#45
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1,738
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Quote:
Originally Posted by castaway01
Here's a meaningful question---have you ever discovered anything interesting where you didn't come back here and say later "oh I miscalculated, I have to start over"?
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Nope.
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