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06-14-2017, 03:02 PM
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#76
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,136
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Belmont Late Pick 4:
Race 6: Chaos All horses have recorded a speed figure that is competitive.
Race 7: Orderly
Race 8: Dominant or Orderly
Race 9: Chaos
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06-14-2017, 03:31 PM
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#77
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,136
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Late Pick 4:
Ticket 1: 4,10,11 / 4 / 5 / 2,6,9
Ticket 2: 4,10,11 / 5,7 / 5 / 2,6,9
Ticket 3: 4,10,11 / 4 / 2,3 / 2,6,9
Ticket 4: 4,10,11 / 4 / 5 / 1
Ticket 5: 1,3,8 / 5,7 / 5 / 2,6,9
Ticket 6: 1,3,8 / 4 / 2,3 / 2,6,9
Ticket 7: 1,3,8 / 4 / 5 / 1
Ticket 8: 1,3,8 / 5,7 / 2,3 / 2,6,9
Ticket 9: 1,3,8 / 5,7 / 5 / 1
Ticket 10: 1,3,8 / 4 / 2,3 / 1
Total $ 67.50
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06-14-2017, 04:08 PM
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#78
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Veteran
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 4,553
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06-14-2017, 04:56 PM
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#79
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,136
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Big BRAIN FART on my part here. I should have a ticket that plays
4,10,11 / 5,7 / 2,3 / 2,6,9 but i don't....
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06-14-2017, 05:11 PM
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#80
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Veteran
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 4,553
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
Big BRAIN FART on my part here. I should have a ticket that plays
4,10,11 / 5,7 / 2,3 / 2,6,9 but i don't....
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Good job on the first 2 races...you had it right with the first race being a chaos race, right on...! I'll be rooting for next race...hope Irad can boot him home for you...
Next time I post, I will use a betting structure similar to yours and Robert Fisher....It is probably better than lumping all on one ticket...thanks for using the race categories: Dominant, Orderly, and Chaos....Those are BETA's Outlook terms....I think it helps with structure....
I was thinking that when there is a Chaos race that I'd just make the assumption that a price will win and purposely fashion the tickets with that in mind...
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06-14-2017, 05:20 PM
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#81
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,136
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VigorsTheGrey
Good job on the first 2 races...you had it right with the first race being a chaos race, right on...! I'll be rooting for next race...hope Irad can boot him home for you...
Next time I post, I will use a betting structure similar to yours and Robert Fisher....It is probably better than lumping all on one ticket...thanks for using the race categories: Dominant, Orderly, and Chaos....Those are BETA's Outlook terms....I think it helps with structure....
I was thinking that when there is a Chaos race that I'd just make the assumption that a price will win and purposely fashion the tickets with that in mind...
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Notice that the even money favorite in the first leg was NOT used. But still missing that ticket is really bad on my part. After handicapping i need to take a break and then double check my tickets... This is the first time using this Outlook and I will keep on trying it, it does seem to help with structuring tickets.
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06-15-2017, 12:52 PM
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#82
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,136
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Belmont Late Pick 4:
1 State Bred MSW, 2 Optional Claiming races and a Maiden claiming race,the last three of the races on the turf...hard to figure.
Horses to consider
Race #6: #4 has an speed figure on the track that puts him there, and Graham getting off should improve his chances, good trainer off the break.
#7 2 races back went way to fast early and held on well chasing the dreaded lone speed horse.
Race #7: #8 Morning line 20-1, Has 3 wins all against state breds, shows improving pace and and is facing weaker competition.
Race #8: #4 Was right there with the 2 favorites in his last race and you get 12-1
#7 last two races win here, and has a win at the distance of a mile and a quarter
Race #9: #10 just run the same race as last time and go wire to wire here, morning line of 12-1, just keeps improving
#5 Wesley Ward, drop in class and 15-1
#1 Clement, Ortiz and a drop in class and 12-1
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06-15-2017, 01:07 PM
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#83
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,568
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with the two 'easy' legs of the pick 4, I got a chance to 'weight' or emphasize this pick-4 while staying under $100.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Last edited by Robert Fischer; 06-15-2017 at 01:08 PM.
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06-15-2017, 01:14 PM
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#84
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,136
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
with the two 'easy' legs of the pick 4, I got a chance to 'weight' or emphasize this pick-4 while staying under $100.
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Looks like the #5 in race 9 is scratched.
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06-15-2017, 01:17 PM
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#85
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,568
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
Looks like the #5 in race 9 is scratched.
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saves a few bucks.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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06-15-2017, 01:56 PM
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#86
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,136
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Belmont Late Pick 4:
Ticket 1: 6 / 4,7,8 / 1,4,6 / 1,4,10,11
Ticket 2: 6 / 3 / 1,4,6 / 1,4,10,11
Ticket 3: 6 / 4,7,8 / 1,4,6 / 6,7
Ticket 4: 1,7 / 3 / 1,4,6 / 1,4,10,11
Ticket 5: 1,7 / 3 / 2,7 / 1,4,10,11
Ticket 6: 1,7 / 3 / 1,4,6 / 6,7
Ticket 7: 1,7 / 4,7,8 / 2,7 / 1,4,10,11
Ticket 8: 1,7 / 4,7,8 / 1,4,6 / 6,7
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06-15-2017, 01:58 PM
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#87
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,136
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Just looking and we seem to see the 7th race in opposing views.
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06-15-2017, 03:05 PM
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#88
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,568
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
Just looking and we seem to see the 7th race in opposing views.
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The fourth race and the seventh races are potentially chaos races.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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06-15-2017, 05:06 PM
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#89
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,568
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
Belmont Late Pick 4:
Ticket 1: 6 / 4,7,8 / 1,4,6 / 1,4,10,11
Ticket 2: 6 / 3 / 1,4,6 / 1,4,10,11
Ticket 3: 6 / 4,7,8 / 1,4,6 / 6,7
Ticket 4: 1,7 / 3 / 1,4,6 / 1,4,10,11
Ticket 5: 1,7 / 3 / 2,7 / 1,4,10,11
Ticket 6: 1,7 / 3 / 1,4,6 / 6,7
Ticket 7: 1,7 / 4,7,8 / 2,7 / 1,4,10,11
Ticket 8: 1,7 / 4,7,8 / 1,4,6 / 6,7
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Good luck !
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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06-15-2017, 05:11 PM
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#90
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,136
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
Good luck !
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Thank you, the way i have handicapped lately the #5 in this race is a lock.
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