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10-10-2018, 07:56 AM
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#31
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: Cleveland
Posts: 17,265
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Unicorn
10/10 R2 #
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# W$7.60 P$4.80 Deadheat with the
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10-10-2018, 07:59 AM
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#32
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: Cleveland
Posts: 17,265
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10/10 R3 #
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10-12-2018, 05:22 PM
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#33
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Baton Rouge, La
Posts: 1,797
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Hong Kong at Sha Tin. October 13, 2018 11th race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 80 Degrees Partly Cloudy 0% of Rain Wind: ENE 10 to 15mph.
Post time: 1am ET, 10pm PT. Rail: Course C, track listed: Good
Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20181013_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings
Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
Vulnerable favourites on the card:
Race 3 Richcity Fortune (5-2) In his first race after the break drew in with the light weight of 107 pounds and the bug-boy had to use every advantage he had while getting to his bottom of him after going wide in the turn and the aid of a closing bias, looking for the big bad bounce monster to show his face here.
Race 8 Circuit Number Two (5-2) In his first race after being away for a couple months was in a dogfight the entire trip while carrying the maximum weight of 133 pounds, now is up in class and drew a tough Class 2 race with some veteran runners who are just as fast as he is.
Horses coming out of key races running today (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race 006 (Winners: 4th & 5th, Second: 2nd)
Race 3 Glittering Armour (12-1)
In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 5 Energetic Class (9-1)
Race 6 Regency Darling (23-1)
Race 7 Encore Boy (11-1)
Race 8 Victory Boys (17-1)
Race 8 Circuit Number Two (5-2)
Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running today:
Race 1 Quadruple Double (9-5)
Race 2 New Elegance (7-2)
Race 5 Have Fun Together (7-5)
Race 6 Money Jewellery (even)
Race 7 Raging Blizkrieg (2-1)
Race 8 Victory Boys (17-1)
Race 8 Circuit Number Two (5-2)
Race 9 Pick Number One (5-2)
Race 10 Comfort Life (14-1)
Horses for courses running today:
Race 9 Pick Number One (5-2)
Race 9 Ugly Warrior (9-2)
Race 10 Relentless Me (4-1)
Distance specialists running today:
Race 9 Pick Number One (5-2)
Race 9 Ugly Warrior (9-2)
Class specialists running today:
None
Last race watch list horses running today:
Race 3 Adonis (9-2) At the start he did his best Trigger imitation when the gates opened standing straight up on his 2 hind legs losing at least three lengths to the field. Raced on the rail in the turn all the while tugging at So to run but was trapped in with nowhere to go, moved off the rail to the 5 path in the stretch but was blocked again when Fortunate Runner drifted out into his path, closed well on the leaders late while drifting in, today hes taking a drop in Class and back in at 6 furlongs his preferred distance.
Race 6 Money Jewellery (even) Was unfortunate to draw the 12 gate in a 13 horse race with the short run to the turn going 1200 metres, Clipperton took a hold of him straight out of the gate to save as much ground as possible. Had to drift out to the middle of the track in the stretch to find running room and was gaining on the top two at the wire. Gets the services of top rider Zac Purton and a much better draw today, he will be very short in the odds.
Race 10 Comfort Life (14-1) After winning on June 8 he ran into all kinds of trouble in his next out making that race a total throw out, then in his first race of the season was bet down to 9-2 as the slight favourite while drawing the 11 hole. He broke well enough and sat right off the leaders down the backside, then right before the turn Callan asked him to go forward to the lead then in the turn was taken back off of it, (confusing) switched off his proper lead foot in the stretch when he became to tire and couldnt sustain the run to the wire. Gets Purton today but drew the 14 gate which will help in the odds.
Past watch list runners running today:
Race 5 Have Fun Together (7-5)
Race 5 Clear Choice (26-1)
Key Plays:
Race 3 Adonis (9-2)
Race 10 Comfort Life (14-1)
Longshots:
Race 1 Bella Baby (29-1)
Race 4 Kirov (14-1)
Race 5 Clear Choice (26-1)
Race 7 Encore Boy (11-1)
Race 8 Victory Boys (17-1)
__________________
@ShaTinRacing
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10-13-2018, 12:37 AM
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#34
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,024
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HONG KONG - SHA TIN SAT 10/13/18
Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I wanted to stop by and post a few pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There will 10 races at Sha Tin with 7 on the Turf and 3 on the dirt: (from top to bottom) -
(2)-Class2, (3)-Class3, (4)-Class4 & (1)-Class5
Post Time Race #1 – 1:00 AM SAT EST
Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8
TVG is offering live video for the all 10 races.
There’s also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#
For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action it’s available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...ng=en&dv=local
I’ve already taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used the static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will shed some more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause substitutions among the Top 3 picks, but they generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.
BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.
Good Luck if you’re playing!
R#1 - 1000M C4R (5F)T…….. 4-9-12 W/3-8-6 ….….1:00 AM EST –
R#2 - 1800M C3 (9F)T……... 6-2-3 W/ 1-5 …..…1:30 AM EST –
R#3 - 1200M C5 (6F)T……....9-1-2 W/ 3-10-8 .......2:00 AM EST -
R#4 - 1200M C4 (6F)D….…..3-2-1 W/ 9-12-5 …....2:30 AM EST –
R#5 - 1400M C4 (7F)T.…..…1-7-11 W/ 10-2-9 …....3:00 AM EST –
R#6 - 1200M C4 (6F)T….…..6-7-11 W/ 4-8-3 ……3:35 AM EST –
R#7 – 1200M C3 (6F)D……...3-6-1 W/ 7-2-5 ......4:05 AM EST –
R#8 - 1600M C2 (8F)T….……3-2-8 W/ 11-12-5 ………4:35 AM EST –
R#9 - 1200M C2 (6F)D.….….2-3-7 W/ 10-1-6 ….….5:10 AM EST –
R#10 - 1400M C3 (7F)T......13-4-2W/ 11-12-7 …….5:45 AM EST –
Last edited by Nitro; 10-13-2018 at 12:39 AM.
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10-17-2018, 06:35 PM
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#36
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Baton Rouge, La
Posts: 1,797
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Hong Kong at Happy Valley. October 18, 2018 12 th race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 79 Degrees 40% of showers Wind: ENE 10 to 20 mph.
Post time: 6.15am ET, 3.15 am PT. Rail: Course C, track listed: Good
Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20181018_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings
Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 3 Captain Boss (5-2) Is still winless after 15 races in Hong Kong and comes from a 1 for 61 barn in the 2018-2019 season so far, picks up 9 pounds with the addition of Purton from the 10 pound bug-boy.
Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *712 (Winners: 1st, 7th & 12th, Second: 2nd & 5th)
Race 7 Top Laurels (17-1)
Race *796 (Winners: 2nd, 4th & 8th, Second: 6th)
Race 8 Buoyant Boy (15-1)
In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 4 Wealthy Fortune (11-1)
Race 5 Kings Man (9-1)
Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 1 Pakistan Baby (5-1)
Race 4 Penzance (5-1)
Race 7 Red Warrior (5-2)
Race 8 Country Star (3-5)
Horses for courses running tonight:
None
Distance specialists running tonight:
None
Class specialists running tonight:
None
Last race watch list horses running tonight:
None
Past watch list runners running tonight:
None
Key Plays:
Race 2 Split Of A Second (3-1)
Race 6 Super Wise (9-2)
Race 8 Country Star (3-5)
Longshots:
Race 4 Top Ace (10-1)
Race 7 Super Form (12-1)
__________________
@ShaTinRacing
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10-17-2018, 10:17 PM
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#37
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 978
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Hong Kong is currently 12 hours offset from North America Eastern Time, so their normal 1st post for mid-week Happy Valley racing of 7:15pm (19:15) translates to 7:15 am ET and 4:15 am PT (and not 6:15am ET, just FYI ).
When we move to Daylight savings time in 2+ weeks, adjust that by 1 hour.
Cheers, and good luck, good skill everyone!
Ted
__________________
RDSS - Racing Decision Support System "The Modern Sartin Methodology" . . . . www.rdss2.com
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10-20-2018, 02:17 PM
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#38
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Baton Rouge, La
Posts: 1,797
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Hong Kong at Sha Tin. October 21, 2018 13th race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 79 Degrees Partly Cloudy 10% of rain Wind: E 10 to 20mph.
Post time: 1am ET, 10pm PT. Rail: Course A, track listed: Good
Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20181021_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings
Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
Vulnerable favourites on the card:
None
Horses coming out of key races running today (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race 006 (Winners: 4th & 5th, Second: 2nd)
Race Cheerful Boys (11-1)
Race 025 (Winners: 2nd & 7th, Second: 5th)
Race 2 Smart Charade (7-1)
Race 050 (Winners: 1st & 3rd, Second: 5th)
Race 3 1 Everbrave (37-1)
Race *781 (Winners: 2nd & 5th, Second: 3rd & 4th)
Race 4 Glorious Forever (3-2)
Race 041 (Winners: 3rd, 4th & 5th, Second: 11th)
Race 5 Bellagio (7-1)
Race 5 Presidentparamount (26-1)
Race 032 (Winners: 5th & 8th, Second: 2nd, 3rd, 6th & 7th)
Race 9 Ambitious Heart (32-1)
In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 1 King Of Mongolia (19-1)
Race 7 Ivictory (4-5)
Race 7 Hot King Prawn (4-1)
Race 8 Werther (17-1)
Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running today:
Race 2 Flying Lover (19-1)
Race 3 Complacency (9-5)
Race 5 Happy Sebring (3-1)
Race 7 Ivictory (4-5)
Race 7 Pingwu Spark (15-1)
Race 8 Beauty Generation (6-5)
Race 8 Pakistan Star (7-2)
Race 8 Time Warp (26-1)
Race 9 Key Witness (8-1)
Race 10 Simply Brilliant (7-2)
Horses for courses running today:
Race 7 Ivictory (4-5)
Race 7 Mr Stunning (9-2)
Race 7 Fifty Fifty (19-1)
Race 7 Pingwu Spark (15-1)
Race 7 Hot King Prawn (4-1)
Race 8 Beauty Generation (6-5)
Race 8 Pakistan Star (7-2)
Race 8 Werther (17-1)
Race 8 Nothilikemore (19-1)
Race 10 Simply Brilliant (7-2)
Distance specialists running today:
Race 4 Prawn Baba (38-1)
Race 7 Ivictory (4-5)
Race 7 Mr Stunning (9-2)
Race 8 Beauty Generation (6-5)
Race 8 Seasons Bloom (33-1)
Race 9 Handsome Bo Bo (4-1)
Class specialists running today:
Race 7 Mr Stunning (9-2)
Last race watch list horses running today:
Race 1 Good Days (3-1) Bumped at the start, raced at back down the backside and was suited by the fast tempo, blocked most straight and was not properly tested afterwards. Keeps Purton in a marathon event which he has won at before and draws a favourable post.
Race 6 Famous Warrior (2-1) Urged to take up racing in the box-seat, sat 1-3/4L off the leader, pushed winner all the way and just missed by a short-head distanced the third place runner #11 Bigwood.
Race 6 Bigwood (9-2) Raced towards the rear, 9-1/2L behind 2 wide, held up until 250M, finished off strongly inside final 150M, he galloped out very strongly. Teetan was questioned after the race, Purton has been given the ride for today.
Race 9 Jing Jing Win (8-1) Travelled strongly behind leaders, driven to the lead 200M, outsprinted by winner who had a serious weight advantage inside final 100M.
Past watch list runners running today:
Race 1 Po Ching Treasure (18-1)
Race 8 Beauty Only (10-1)
Key Plays:
Race 1 Good Days (3-1)
Race 6 Famous Warrior (2-1)
Race 9 Jing Jing Win (8-1)
Longshots:
Race 4 Ruthven (19-1)
Race 8 Beauty Only (10-1)
Race 10 Time To Celebrate (18-1)
__________________
@ShaTinRacing
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10-21-2018, 12:12 AM
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#39
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,024
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HONG KONG - SHA TIN SUN - 10/21/18
Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
Im posting my pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value.
(Its the best card so far for the current meet)
There are 10 races at Sha Tin with all on Turf: [B] (from top Class to bottom) -
(2)-Stake-G2, (2)-Class-2, (2)-Class-3, (4)-Class-4
Post Time Race #1 1:00 AM SUN EST
Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8
TVG is offering live video for the all 10 races.
Theres also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#
For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action its available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...ng=en&dv=local
Ive taken a look at the M/Ls in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will shed more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks, but they generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.
BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I cant make a Dutch Win bet Ill generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.
Good Luck if youre playing!
R#1 - 2000M C4 (10F)T
.. 1-9-6 W/5-4-3
.
.1:00 AM EST
R#2 - 1600M C4 (8F)T
... 1-5-7 W/ 3-10-4
..
1:30 AM EST
R#3 - 1200M C4 (6F)T
....3-10-5 W/ 14-7-11 .......2:00 AM EST -
R#4 - 1800M C2 (9F)T
...
..5-4-6 W/ 2-1-10
....2:35 AM EST
R#5 - 1400M C4 (7F)T.
....
6-4-1W/ 5-2-13
....3:05 AM EST
R#6 - 1600M C3 (8F)T
...
..3-4-13 W/ 7-11-1
3:40 AM EST
R#7 1200M G2 (6F)T
...1-2-6 W/ 4-7 ......4:10 AM EST
R#8 - 1600M G2 (8F)T
..
1-6-4 W/ 14-10-12
4:40 AM EST
R#9 - 1200M C3 (6F)T.
..
.1-3-4 W/ 8-9-5
.
.5:15 AM EST
R#10 - 1400M C2 (7F)T.......2-8-4 W/ 6-3-5
.5:50 AM EST
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10-21-2018, 02:26 AM
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#40
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,831
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The nite is yung but the picks are amazing as ever.
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10-23-2018, 07:47 PM
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#42
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Baton Rouge, La
Posts: 1,797
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Hong Kong at Happy Valley. October 24, 2018 14th race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 75 Degrees Partly Cloudy 10% of Rain Wind: E 5 to 10mph.
Post time: 7.15am ET, 4.15 am PT. Rail: Course C+3, track listed: Good
Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20181024_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings
Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 3 Little Island (8-5) Picks up the rail and Purton for the out, but is only 2 for 31 at Happy Valley and comes from a barn that has only one win for the year.
Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *794 (Winners: 1st & 7th, Second: 3rd & 8th)
Race 6 Joy Master (37-1)
In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
None
Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 1 Glory Star (5-1)
Race 5 Multimax (8-1)
Race 6 Blitzing (4-5)
Horses for courses running tonight:
Race 5 Noble Delight (5-2)
Distance specialists running tonight:
Race 2 Giant Turtle (6-1)
Class specialists running tonight:
None
Last race watch list horses running tonight:
Race 2 Brave Legend (7-2) Leaped as soon as the gates opened and spotted the field at least 2 lengths, raced 2 wide in the turn for home and with more than 450 metres left Ho started getting into him. Closed in the lane but ran into traffic issues at the 50 metre mark and was forced to be taken up even though he was never going to get up for the money places, he galloped out well past the wire. Its his first try at the marathon distance at the city course and was unlucky at the draw drawing the 7 post with the very short run into the first turn, tough race.
Race 8 Jade Theatre (8-5) Broke well and raced mid-pack 2 wide down the backside, when he straightened up in the stretch he lacked running room. then at the 170 mark he forced his way thru two runners but then was taken out with less than 50 metres to go when Fairy Twins drifted in and bumped Victory Machine into Jade Theatre.
Past watch list runners running tonight:
Race 3 Electric Lightning (9-1)
Race 8 Jumbo Happiness (13-1)
Key Plays:
Race 6 Roman Odyssey (6-1)
Race 8 Jade Theatre (8-5)
Longshots:
Race 1 Triumphant Light (17-1)
Race 4 The Show (10-1)
Race 7 Powermax (9-1)
__________________
@ShaTinRacing
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10-24-2018, 01:11 AM
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#43
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,024
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HONG KONG HAPPY VALLEY WED 10/24/18
Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I wanted to post a few pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value.
There will 8 races at Happy Valley ALL on the Turf: (from top to bottom) -
(1)-Class2, (2)-Class3, (2)-Class4 & (3)-Class5
Post Time Race #1 7:15 AM WED EST
Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8
TVG is offering live video for all these races.
Theres also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#
For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action its available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...ng=en&dv=local
Ive already taken a look at the M/Ls in combination with the early odds and used the static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will shed more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause substitutions among the Top 3 picks, but they generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.
BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I cant make a Dutch Win bet Ill generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.
Good Luck if youre playing!
R#1 - 1650M C5 (8.25F)T....
1-3-2 W/ 6-8-4
.
.7:15 AM EST
R#2 - 2200M C2 (11F)T
.......2-4-7 W/ 5-3
..
7:45 AM EST
R#3 - 1650M C4 (8.25F)T......1-8-5 W/ 3-9 .......8:15 AM EST -
R#4 - 1200M C5 (6F)T
......2-11-4 W/ 5-10-6
....8:45 AM EST
R#5 - 1000M C5 (5F)T.....
1-2-4 W/ 9-11
....9:15 AM EST
R#6 - 1200M C4 (6F)T
.....
6-2-3 W/ 4-9
9:45 AM EST
R#7 1200M C3 (6F)T
...
.1-11-5 W/ 4-12-9 ......10:15 AM EST
R#8 - 1200M C3 (6F)T
.......3-4-8 W/ 5-12-6
10:50 AM EST
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10-24-2018, 12:58 PM
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#44
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,024
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Another big day at Happy Valley!
Hitting 4 out 5 Dutch Win bets with an O.A. Profit margin of 36%
But the biggest score of the day was the Quinella Box in the 1st!
Results:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/info/m.../20181024/HV/1
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