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Old 07-27-2018, 05:44 PM   #16
formula_2002
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Code:
"Saratoga
Race 
9

Post 
5:45

MTP 
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$169,456"					FORMULA ---L--- BETTING MATRIX													 
pgno	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	pgno	total line bet
1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
2	84	0	18	19	21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	142
5	0	23	13	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	56
4	0	20	12	0	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	51
3	0	18	0	12	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	42
6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0
7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	0
8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	0
9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9	0
10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	0
11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11	0
12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12	0
13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0
14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14	0
15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0
16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16	0
291.90	84	61	43	51	53	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	 	292
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Old 07-27-2018, 05:52 PM   #17
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Code:
"Arlington
Race 
4

Post 
5:52

MTP 
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$12,503"					FORMULA ---L--- BETTING MATRIX													 
pgno	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	pgno	total line bet
1	0	0	78	52	0	111	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	241
6	97	22	52	41	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	212
3	65	0	0	0	0	49	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	114
4	41	11	0	0	0	41	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	93
7	0	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	6
5	0	5	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	10
2	0	0	0	10	0	17	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	33
8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	0
9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9	0
10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	0
11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11	0
12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12	0
13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0
14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14	0
15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0
16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16	0
709.43	203	44	130	103	0	218	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	 	709
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Old 07-28-2018, 12:26 AM   #18
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YESTERDAY'S RESULTS 07-28-2018

I TABULATED THE RESULTS A BIT DIFFERENTLY
I CALCULATED THE $1 RETURNS BASED ON THE FINAL TOTALS RATHER THAN EACH RACE.

Attached Images
File Type: png RESULTS FOR 07-27-2018.PNG (200.5 KB, 7 views)
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Old 07-28-2018, 09:27 AM   #19
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I JUST ADDED THE 07-20-2018 TO THE DATA WITH VERY NICE RESULTS

TOP RANK $1 RETURN WAS $1.01
SECOND RANK WAS $1.22


THAT NOW GIVES ME 56 TABULATED RACES

TOP RANK $1 RETURN IS $1.04
SECOND RANK $1.23

TOP RANK WON 15 RACES
SECOND RANK 10 RACES

THAT COMBINES FOR 25/56 = 45% WINNERS
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Old 07-28-2018, 10:50 AM   #20
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I'M NOW GOING TO UPDATE THE DATA WITH THE 07-21-2018 RACES
THERE ARE 11 RACES
6 MAY QUALIFY FOR A RANK 1 OR RANK 2 PLAY. WE'LL SEE
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Old 07-28-2018, 11:48 AM   #21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002 View Post
I'M NOW GOING TO UPDATE THE DATA WITH THE 07-21-2018 RACES
THERE ARE 11 RACES
6 MAY QUALIFY FOR A RANK 1 OR RANK 2 PLAY. WE'LL SEE
THERE ARE ANOTHER 16 RACES. THESE RACES, FOR A REASON I HAVE TO LOOK INTO WERE NOT INCLUDED.

THE 11 RACES UNDERPERFORMED
TOP RANK RETURNED $.78 ON TEH DOLLAR
THE SECOND RANK $0.00

IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE IF THE 16 WILL BRING 07-21-2018 RACE INTO A PROFIT POSITION
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Old 07-28-2018, 03:14 PM   #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002 View Post
THERE ARE ANOTHER 16 RACES. THESE RACES, FOR A REASON I HAVE TO LOOK INTO WERE NOT INCLUDED.

THE 11 RACES UNDERPERFORMED
TOP RANK RETURNED $.78 ON TEH DOLLAR
THE SECOND RANK $0.00

IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE IF THE 16 WILL BRING 07-21-2018 RACE INTO A PROFIT POSITION
TOTALS FOR 07-21-2018

28 RACES
TOP RANK $1 RETURN WAS $1.15
SECOND RANK $0.35


DATA BASE NOW HAS 83 RACES
TOP RANK $1 RETURN = $1.09 WITH 23 WINS
SECOND RANK =$0.95 WITH 12 WINS
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Old 07-28-2018, 05:03 PM   #23
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Code:
"Saratoga
Race 
8

Post 
5:02

MTP 
0

$1 Exacta Pool
$405,303"					FORMULA ---L--- BETTING MATRIX													 
pgno	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	pgno	total line bet
4	0	0	88	0	0	0	88	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	175
1	0	9	39	0	0	27	34	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	110
7	27	4	13	0	0	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	57
3	30	5	0	0	4	14	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	68
6	0	5	14	0	4	0	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	37
5	0	3	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	7
2	0	0	4	0	3	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	15
8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	0
9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9	0
10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	0
11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11	0
12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12	0
13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0
14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14	0
15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0
16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16	0
470.06	58	27	158	0	12	61	154	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	 	470
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" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
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Old 07-28-2018, 05:24 PM   #24
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4/3 exacta wins

bet size = $175, return was $930

here's a fact

in 84 races, the first rank win bet size was $175
the profit, $1998, an 11 race advantage
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Old 07-28-2018, 05:59 PM   #25
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some facts in the 84 races
when the second rack horse LINE bet size is >=100 and top rack horse LINE bet size is >0 then:


top rank horse $1 return is $1.44
the second rank $1 return is $1.20


all this in 46 races


the top rank won 16 races
second rank 11 races
there is a 20 race advantage
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Old 07-28-2018, 06:03 PM   #26
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Code:
"Del Mar
Race 
3

Post 
6:03

MTP 
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$83,336"					FORMULA ---L--- BETTING MATRIX													 
pgno	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	pgno	total line bet
6	73	0	61	146	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	280
4	0	0	0	0	0	122	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	122
5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0
1	0	0	21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	21
3	21	9	0	0	0	49	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	79
2	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	10
7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	0
8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	0
9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9	0
10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	0
11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11	0
12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12	0
13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0
14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14	0
15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0
16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16	0
511.44	94	9	91	146	0	170	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	 	511
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Old 07-28-2018, 06:39 PM   #27
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that fit perfectly into the prior note

2nd rank total line bet sizes >=100
1st rank total line bet >0

$280 bet, $1153 returned
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Old 07-28-2018, 07:33 PM   #28
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the 5th at dmr did not fit the aforementioned criteria .
the 2nd choice total LINE bet <100 and neither 1st of 2nd choice won the exacta
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Old 07-28-2018, 07:50 PM   #29
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Code:
"Del Mar
Race 
6

Post 
7:50

MTP 
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$145,906"					FORMULA ---L--- BETTING MATRIX													 
pgno	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	pgno	total line bet
4	0	0	0	0	45	19	21	0	48	51	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	184
10	0	21	12	0	0	0	10	0	32	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	74
9	0	15	0	0	0	0	10	0	0	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	9	53
5	0	0	13	0	0	11	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	35
2	5	0	7	28	0	7	6	0	14	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	84
3	5	7	0	0	13	8	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	37
7	5	5	5	16	10	4	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	55
6	3	6	7	15	10	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	47
1	0	0	5	0	0	2	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	13
8	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	2
11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11	0
12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12	0
13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13	0
14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14	0
15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15	0
16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16	0
584.20	19	54	49	59	78	52	71	2	104	96	0	0	0	0	0	0	 	584
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Old 07-28-2018, 07:57 PM   #30
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another race did not qualify, the 2nd rank total "LINE" bet size<100 and the 1st and 2nd rank did not combine with other horses for an exacta
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