 |
|
11-12-2016, 11:15 AM
|
#91
|
|
Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
Paid $20 to win!.
It's possible that the specific race in question, from the past performances, just happened to be a race where the top 5 horses ran a regression.
Also may have been a race that simply went low on figs.
It's a great feature that TimeformUS offers.
You can scroll through the 'figs' for previous races, and races that have since run back, before, or after the race you are looking at. A click brings you to that race chart.
Fun to check previous figs, and you can get lost on a 'six degrees of Kevin Bacon' going from horse to horse
|
Nice work RF, solid pick. 
|
|
|
|
11-21-2016, 11:35 AM
|
#92
|
|
clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
|
PARX R1 DRIVEN BY THUNDER
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
Tough race.
Ecliptical Jack once again failed to change leads, and if we incorporate some hindsight and your (rsetup) analysis, an argument can be made that he simply ran his debut back today.
Race was begging for a FTS, but the winner 1 was tough to have.
The place horse 8 was a bit cold on the board, and basically picked up pieces.
He'll likely be over-bet next time. I don't know that he's a toss, but he's not a horse that I want to lean on at a short price.
The 7 Outstanding Gio ran a good effort, but evaporated in the stretch. The 2 Port More ran a decent race for class but flattened badly switching to the wrong lead late. I thought the Rudy FTS Kinder was fundamentally decent and could drop/improve.
EJ turned out to be a 'Trap', fun race
|
That 'place horse' was DRIVEN BY THUNDER.
I have to re-watch his replay.
However, based on my notes (" a bit cold on the board, and basically picked up pieces") , he could be a play-against in the first race today, where he ships to Philly and will likely be heavy chalk considering Pletcher/Ortiz & PrettyPPs.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
|
|
|
|
|
11-21-2016, 12:02 PM
|
#93
|
|
clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
|
parx cancelled
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
|
|
|
|
|
11-30-2016, 08:00 PM
|
#94
|
|
clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
That 'place horse' was DRIVEN BY THUNDER.
I have to re-watch his replay.
However, based on my notes ("a bit cold on the board, and basically picked up pieces") , he could be a play-against in the first race today, where he ships to Philly and will likely be heavy chalk considering Pletcher/Ortiz & PrettyPPs.
|
Back Thursday Race 6
Morning Line is very tough. 5/1.
I was waiting to lean against this one. There are 2 FTS in the race at 5/1 and 7/2 ml.
also Lunaire and Steamroller will take some money.
Driven By Thunder will probably not take enough money to create value as a lean against.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Last edited by Robert Fischer; 11-30-2016 at 08:02 PM.
|
|
|
|
|
12-01-2016, 02:34 PM
|
#95
|
|
clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
|
wtf do you do
Well, DRIVEN BY THUNDER opens up @ 9/5. (currently 8/5 and falling)
We just saw Ethan Hunt win @ 2.90 in race 4. He was a legitimate favorite, but he should not have been 2.90, and he should not have run like a Gulfstream Park Pletcher horse.
So you get Driven by Thunder here at the underlayed price that I've been waiting a few weeks for, but now it is very suspect.
You are supposed to bet w/ both hands against him.
1 Lunaire is just as bad as DBT, but a better price.
4,7 are decent first time starter value.
5 can control the race, but you have to hope Lasix clears up whatever made him stop last race.
2 is a big price who can round out a tri
I just have an ugly feeling about this race. I don't trust Driven By Thunder to run another flat race. In reality, I feel 4 and 5 have a puncher's chance, but Driven by Thunder will run this much improved race and win easily.
we'll see
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
|
|
|
|
|
12-01-2016, 02:51 PM
|
#96
|
|
clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
|
^ that's how you get psyched out from erratic racing results.
Driven By Thunder ran flat exactly how he was supposed to run.
4 FTS wins the 1 got 2nd and the 2 rounded out the tri.
I had it, but I bet it very light, without any confidence.
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
You are supposed to bet w/ both hands against him.
1 Lunaire is just as bad as DBT, but a better price.
4,7 are decent first time starter value.
5 can control the race, but you have to hope Lasix clears up whatever made him stop last race.
2 is a big price who can round out a tri
|
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
|
|
|
|
|
12-19-2016, 03:29 AM
|
#97
|
|
longshot kick de bucket
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: niagara falls ont.
Posts: 1,218
|
have another one of mine entered wed at gulfstream, admiral's win.....been off since april and same jockey that gave the horrible ride in april...i'll tread lightly
__________________
let the fools have their tar tar sauce.
|
|
|
|
|
12-21-2016, 06:56 PM
|
#98
|
|
longshot kick de bucket
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: niagara falls ont.
Posts: 1,218
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by appistappis
have another one of mine entered wed at gulfstream, admiral's win.....been off since april and same jockey that gave the horrible ride in april...i'll tread lightly
|
$19.80 to win
__________________
let the fools have their tar tar sauce.
|
|
|
|
|
01-30-2017, 03:26 AM
|
#99
|
|
longshot kick de bucket
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: niagara falls ont.
Posts: 1,218
|
got
got one at mah valley monday...hidatsa park.....he is a 3 yr old in with older so I'll check the pp's before I splurge.
__________________
let the fools have their tar tar sauce.
|
|
|
|
|
01-30-2017, 06:51 PM
|
#100
|
|
longshot kick de bucket
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: niagara falls ont.
Posts: 1,218
|
another winner...$5.00......didnt meet my odds requirements though.
__________________
let the fools have their tar tar sauce.
|
|
|
|
|
02-12-2017, 02:45 AM
|
#101
|
|
longshot kick de bucket
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: niagara falls ont.
Posts: 1,218
|
SUNDAY santa anita r6 sheza chattykat
__________________
let the fools have their tar tar sauce.
|
|
|
|
|
02-14-2017, 12:41 PM
|
#102
|
|
longshot kick de bucket
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: niagara falls ont.
Posts: 1,218
|
sheza chattycat ran third ending my streak......lets start a new one with ol drunk daddy in r3 at sunland.
__________________
let the fools have their tar tar sauce.
|
|
|
|
|
02-14-2017, 07:40 PM
|
#103
|
|
longshot kick de bucket
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: niagara falls ont.
Posts: 1,218
|
ol drunk daddy wins easily at $5.00 tough race to make money in, super was thirty something
__________________
let the fools have their tar tar sauce.
|
|
|
|
|
03-31-2017, 01:42 AM
|
#104
|
|
longshot kick de bucket
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: niagara falls ont.
Posts: 1,218
|
gp race 7 friday.....avast matey ran a big z last time.
__________________
let the fools have their tar tar sauce.
|
|
|
|
|
04-01-2017, 01:33 AM
|
#105
|
|
longshot kick de bucket
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: niagara falls ont.
Posts: 1,218
|
avast matey $10.00 to place
__________________
let the fools have their tar tar sauce.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
|
|
