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04-07-2018, 10:50 AM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,678
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Short Shots (spot play)
Short Shots
I have been trying to identify horses with both speed and stamina. Of course most are low odds, but occasionally some higher odd ones come in. Most races have no picks so it is certainly a spot play.
Picks for 4/7/18:
Aqu 7-----#2 Discreet Lover
Kee 2-----#2 Wholehearted
Kee 6-----#6 Limousine Liberal
SA 1------#1 Zusha
SA 4------#8 Sho it N Moe it
SA 9------#3 Bolt d'Oro
GP ------none
Tam-----none
__________________
“Man is a slow, sloppy, and brilliant thinker; computers are fast, accurate, and stupid.”
― John Pfeiffer
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04-07-2018, 07:33 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,678
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Aner
Short Shots
I have been trying to identify horses with both speed and stamina. Of course most are low odds, but occasionally some higher odd ones come in. Most races have no picks so it is certainly a spot play.
Picks for 4/7/18:
Aqu 7-----#2 Discreet Lover--------------17.60, 8.80
Kee 2-----#2 Wholehearted---------------XXXX, 3.60
Kee 6-----#6 Limousine Liberal-----------XXXX, 3.20
SA 1------#1 Zusha-------------------------8.40, 3.60
SA 4------#8 Sho it N Moe it--------------XXXX, 2.40
SA 9------#3 Bolt d'Oro-------------------XXXX, 2.20
GP ------none
Tam-----none
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Win = 2/6
Bet = $12.00
Back = $26.00
Net = $14.00
Place = 6/6
Bet = $12.00
Back = $23.80
Net = $11.80
__________________
“Man is a slow, sloppy, and brilliant thinker; computers are fast, accurate, and stupid.”
― John Pfeiffer
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04-08-2018, 12:18 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,678
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Picks for 4/8/18
GP 4-----#7 Super Duper Girl
GP 9-----#2 Coquivacoa
Tam 2---#7 La Femme Royale
Tam 5---#4 Quickluckycoco
Tam 6---#3 Chicory Blue
Tam 7---#8 No Mercy Percy
SA 1-----#9 Kopitar
SA 4-----#9 Radish
Aqu------no picks
__________________
“Man is a slow, sloppy, and brilliant thinker; computers are fast, accurate, and stupid.”
― John Pfeiffer
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04-08-2018, 07:12 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,678
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Picks for 4/8/18
GP 4-----#7 Super Duper Girl
GP 9-----#2 Coquivacoa
Tam 2---#7 La Femme Royale---------------xxxx, 4.40
Tam 5---#4 Quickluckycoco
Tam 6---#3 Chicory Blue---------------------4.00, 2.60
Tam 7---#8 No Mercy Percy------------------4.40, 3.20
SA 1-----#9 Kopitar
SA 4-----#9 Radish----------------------------xxxx, 6.00
Aqu------no picks
For the Day:
win 2/8
place 4/8
win = (8.40 - 16) = -7.60
place =(16.20 -16) = +0.20
Overall:
win 4/14
net = +6.40
place 10/14
net = =12.00
__________________
“Man is a slow, sloppy, and brilliant thinker; computers are fast, accurate, and stupid.”
― John Pfeiffer
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04-14-2018, 11:57 AM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,678
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Picks for 4/14/18:
Aqu 6-----#3 Miss Munnings
Aqu 8-----#2 Barbarossa
GP 9------#4 Browns Gap
GP 12-----#6 Psycho Girl
OP 2------#3 Pete's Play Call
OP 3------#4 The Money Dance
Kee 2-----#8 He Takes Charge
SA 4------#2 Tengs Rhythm
SA 6------#2 Imalocomotive
SA 11-----#6 Insubordination
__________________
“Man is a slow, sloppy, and brilliant thinker; computers are fast, accurate, and stupid.”
― John Pfeiffer
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04-15-2018, 01:17 AM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,678
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win today = +16.00
place today = -1.10
Picks for 4/14/18:
Aqu 6-----#3 Miss Munnings-----------------7.20, 2.90
Aqu 8-----#2 Barbarossa
GP 9------#4 Browns Gap--------------------5.00, 3.20
GP 12-----#6 Psycho Girl-------------------13.60, 6.40
OP 2------#3 Pete's Play Call
OP 3------#4 The Money Dance-------------5.00, 3.20
Kee 2-----#8 He Takes Charge
SA 4------#2 Tengs Rhythm
SA 6------#2 Imalocomotive
SA 11-----#6 Insubordination---------------5.20, 3.20
Overall:
win frequency (9/24) = 37%
win profit (+22.40/48) = 46%
place frequency (15/24) = 62%
place profit (+10.90/48) = 23%
__________________
“Man is a slow, sloppy, and brilliant thinker; computers are fast, accurate, and stupid.”
― John Pfeiffer
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04-21-2018, 11:44 AM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,678
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Picks for 4/21/18
Aqu 3-----#5 Sand Dancer
Aqu 4-----#1 Javelin
Aqu 8-----#3 Dynamax Prime
Aqu 9-----#9 Orchid Party
Aqu 10----#12 Appealing Briefs
GP 1------#1 Ray's The Bar
GP 8------#4 Gemologister
Kee 3-----#3 Aubrey
Kee 4-----#8 Ravish
Kee 6-----#6 Katie's Cowboy
SA 9------#3 Princess Ashlyn
Lrl-----------none
__________________
“Man is a slow, sloppy, and brilliant thinker; computers are fast, accurate, and stupid.”
― John Pfeiffer
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04-21-2018, 07:59 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,678
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win today- = -(13.40)
place today = -(11.30)
Picks for 4/21/18
Aqu 3-----#5 Sand Dancer-------------5.40, 2.70
Aqu 4-----#1 Javelin-------------------XXXX, 2.60
Aqu 8-----#3 Dynamax Prime
Aqu 9-----#9 Orchid Party
Aqu 10----#12 Appealing Briefs
GP 1------#1 Ray's The Bar------------XXXX, 3.00
GP 8------#4 Gemologister
Kee 3-----#3 Aubrey
Kee 4-----#8 Ravish--------------------3.20, 2.40
Kee 6-----#6 Katie's Cowboy
SA 9------#3 Princess Ashlyn
Overall:
win frequency (11/35) = 31%
win profit-(+9.00/70) = +13%
place frequency (19/35) = 54%
place profit-- (-0.40/70) = -1%
__________________
“Man is a slow, sloppy, and brilliant thinker; computers are fast, accurate, and stupid.”
― John Pfeiffer
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04-28-2018, 10:54 AM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,678
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Picks for 4/28/18:
Bel 3-----#5 Espresso Caliente
Bel 4-----#4 Doyouknowsomething
Bel 5-----#5 Frontier Market
Lrl 4-----#7 Honey Fireball
Lrl 10----#11 Draconic Treasure
GP 4------#3 Mariealena
GP 7------#9 Rethinkme
SA 7------#6 Super Echelon
SA 9------#5 Miss Ricochet
__________________
“Man is a slow, sloppy, and brilliant thinker; computers are fast, accurate, and stupid.”
― John Pfeiffer
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04-29-2018, 12:46 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,678
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win today- = -(14.20)
place today = -(1.70)
Picks for 4/28/18:
Bel 3-----#5 Espresso Caliente
Bel 4-----#4 Doyouknowsomething
Bel 5-----#5 Frontier Market-------------------XXXX, 2.30
Lrl 4-----#7 Honey Fireball
Lrl 10----#11 Draconic Treasure--------------XXXX, 6.00
GP 4------#3 Mariealena-----------------------XXXX, 5.20
GP 7------#9 Rethinkme------------------------3.80, 2.80
SA 7------#6 Super Echelon
SA 9------#5 Miss Ricochet
Overall:
win frequency (12/44) = 27%
win-----------(-5.20/88) = 6% loss
place frequency (23/44) = 52%
place----------(-2.10/88) = 2% loss
__________________
“Man is a slow, sloppy, and brilliant thinker; computers are fast, accurate, and stupid.”
― John Pfeiffer
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05-04-2018, 09:47 AM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,678
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Picks for 5/4/2018
CD 1-----#5 America's Tale
CD 9-----#9 Enrage
CD 12----#10 Gio Game
__________________
“Man is a slow, sloppy, and brilliant thinker; computers are fast, accurate, and stupid.”
― John Pfeiffer
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05-05-2018, 10:29 AM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,678
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Results:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aner
Picks for 5/4/2018
CD 1-----#5 America's Tale
CD 9-----#9 Enrage
CD 12----#10 Gio Game------------5.40, 3.20
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__________________
“Man is a slow, sloppy, and brilliant thinker; computers are fast, accurate, and stupid.”
― John Pfeiffer
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05-05-2018, 10:30 AM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,678
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Picks for 5/5/18:
GP 4-----#7 Abbot
GP 12----#7 Cotton Colors
CD 2-----#1 Gray Sky
CD 9-----#10 Maraud
CD 10----#5 Mississippi
CD 14----#5 Locomotion
__________________
“Man is a slow, sloppy, and brilliant thinker; computers are fast, accurate, and stupid.”
― John Pfeiffer
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05-06-2018, 12:02 AM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,678
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Results:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aner
Picks for 5/5/18:
GP 4-----#7 Abbot
GP 12----#7 Cotton Colors
CD 2-----#1 Gray Sky------------XXXX,4.40
CD 9-----#10 Maraud------------18.80, 8.40
CD 10----#5 Mississippi
CD 14----#5 Locomotion---------XXXX, 4.80
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__________________
“Man is a slow, sloppy, and brilliant thinker; computers are fast, accurate, and stupid.”
― John Pfeiffer
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05-06-2018, 12:20 AM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 7,678
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Overall:
win frequency (15/53) = 28%
win-----------(+19/106) = 18% profit
place frequency (27/53) = 51%
place----------(+18.70/106) = 18% profit
__________________
“Man is a slow, sloppy, and brilliant thinker; computers are fast, accurate, and stupid.”
― John Pfeiffer
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