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05-05-2018, 04:19 PM
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#76
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
"Belmont Park
Race
7
Post
4:19
MTP
0
$1 Exacta Pool
$84,646"
YOUR CHOICE OVER pgno bet size
1 -
2 0.20
3 -
4 0.28
5 0.40
6 -
7 0.12
8 -
9 -
10 -
11 -
12 -
13 -
14 -
15 -
16 -
1.00
----------------------------------------------------------------
win bet
"Belmont Park
Race
7
Post
4:19
MTP
0
$1 Exacta Pool
$84,646"
pgno bet size
1 -
2 -
3 0.58
4 -
5 -
6 -
7 -
8 0.42
9 -
10 -
11 -
12 -
13 -
14 -
15 -
16 -
1.00
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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05-05-2018, 04:31 PM
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#77
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
"CHURCHILL DOWNS
Race
10
Post
4:29
MTP
0
$2 Exacta Pool
$2,178,611"
YOUR CHOICE OVER pgno bet size
1 0.19
2 -
3 -
4 -
5 0.25
6 -
7 -
8 0.40
9 -
10 -
11 -
12 0.17
13 -
14 -
15 -
16 -
1.00
---------------------------------------
win bet
"CHURCHILL DOWNS
Race
10
Post
4:29
MTP
0
$2 Exacta Pool
$2,178,611"
pgno bet size
1 -
2 0.04
3 0.07
4 0.05
5 -
6 0.04
7 0.25
8 -
9 0.09
10 0.05
11 0.23
12 -
13 0.02
14 0.15
15 -
16 -
1.00
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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05-05-2018, 04:42 PM
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#78
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
"Sam Houston
Race
7
Post
4:40
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$2,270"
YOUR CHOICE OVER pgno bet size
1 0.68
2 -
3 -
4 -
5 -
6 -
7 -
8 0.32
9 -
10 -
11 -
12 -
13 -
14 -
15 -
16 -
1.00
--------------------------------------------------
win bet
"Sam Houston
Race
7
Post
4:40
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$2,270"
pgno bet size
1 -
2 0.19
3 0.17
4 0.11
5 0.09
6 0.22
7 0.16
8 -
9 0.06
10 -
11 -
12 -
13 -
14 -
15 -
16 -
1.00
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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05-05-2018, 05:25 PM
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#79
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
YOUR CHOICE OVER pgno bet size
1 -
2 -
3 0.17
4 -
5 0.14
6 -
7 0.24
8 -
9 -
10 0.45
11 -
12 -
13 -
14 -
15 -
16 -
1.00
---------------------------------------------
win bet
"CHURCHILL DOWNS
Race
11
Post
5:25
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$1,653,879"
pgno bet size
1 -
2 0.21
3 -
4 0.26
5 -
6 0.21
7 -
8 0.11
9 0.21
10 -
11 -
12 -
13 -
14 -
15 -
16 -
1.00
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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05-05-2018, 05:51 PM
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#80
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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50 MINUETS TO POST AND OVER 50 MILLION IN THE WPS AND EXACTA POOLS
MY PROGRAM ONLY LOOKS AT THE 1ST 16 HORSES
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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05-05-2018, 06:03 PM
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#81
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
"Santa Anita Park
Race
6
Post
6:00
MTP
0
$1 Exacta Pool
$111,639"
YOUR CHOICE OVER pgno bet size
1 0.15
2 -
3 -
4 -
5 0.25
6 -
7 -
8 0.60
9 -
10 -
11 -
12 -
13 -
14 -
15 -
16 -
1.00
-----------------------------------------------
win bet
"Santa Anita Park
Race
6
Post
6:00
MTP
0
$1 Exacta Pool
$111,639"
pgno bet size
1 -
2 0.24
3 0.55
4 0.12
5 -
6 -
7 0.09
8 -
9 -
10 -
11 -
12 -
13 -
14 -
15 -
16 -
1.00
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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05-05-2018, 06:13 PM
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#82
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
"Turf Paradise
Race
7
Post
6:10
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$4,622"
YOUR CHOICE OVER pgno bet size
1 -
2 -
3 -
4 -
5 0.24
6 -
7 0.34
8 -
9 -
10 -
11 0.42
12 -
13 -
14 -
15 -
16 -
1.00
--------------------------------------------
"Turf Paradise
Race
7
Post
6:10
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$4,622"
pgno bet size
1 0.08
2 0.16
3 0.08
4 0.20
5 -
6 0.12
7 -
8 0.10
9 0.11
10 0.15
11 -
12 -
13 -
14 -
15 -
16 -
1.00
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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05-05-2018, 06:49 PM
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#83
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
|
Code:
"CHURCHILL DOWNS
Race
12
Post
6:49
MTP
3
$2 Exacta Pool
$23,615,984"
YOUR CHOICE OVER pgno bet size
1 -
2 -
3 -
4 0.03
5 0.15
6 0.11
7 0.26
8 -
9 0.05
10 -
11 0.12
12 0.03
13 -
14 0.14
15 0.01
16 0.09
1.00
---------------------------------------------
Code:
win bet
"CHURCHILL DOWNS
Race
12
Post
6:49
MTP
3
$2 Exacta Pool
$23,615,984"
pgno bet size
1 0.07
2 0.09
3 0.08
4 -
5 -
6 -
7 -
8 0.16
9 -
10 0.54
11 -
12 -
13 0.06
14 -
15 -
16 -
1.00
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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05-05-2018, 08:03 PM
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#84
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
the tweak, starting at note 68 may be responsible for todays good performance
there were 19 races, 7 of them were won by horses with odds<2-1
our exacta plays won 6 of those races
a 1$ win bet on those 7 horses returned $17.40
our exacta wins returned $31.42, outperforming the win returns by 181%
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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05-05-2018, 08:29 PM
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#85
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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RESULTS AFTER 63 RACES WHERE YOUR HORSE ODDS<2-1*
AT $ STRAIGHT WIN BET RETURHED $48.30
OUR $1 EXACTA RETURN WAS $61.60, OUTPERFORMING THE STRAIGHT WIN BET BY 127 %
*THERE ARE A FEW RACES WHERE THERE WERE 2 HORSES WHOSE ODDS WERE <2-1 AND A FEW RACES WHERE THERE WERE NO HORSES WITH ODDS>2-1
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 05-05-2018 at 08:30 PM.
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05-06-2018, 01:12 AM
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#86
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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try this.
consider the two postings for each race as two sets of exacta plays. your bet on each race is $1for each set .now calculate your payoff for the exacta set usig your horse, the winner, over my bet size in each set..i found some of the results mre than interesting
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
|
|
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05-06-2018, 09:01 AM
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#87
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
Code:
"Belmont Park
Race
7
Post
4:19
MTP
0
$1 Exacta Pool
$84,646"
YOUR CHOICE OVER pgno bet size
1 -
2 0.20
3 -
4 0.28
5 0.40
6 -
7 0.12
8 -
9 -
10 -
11 -
12 -
13 -
14 -
15 -
16 -
1.00
----------------------------------------------------------------
win bet
"Belmont Park
Race
7
Post
4:19
MTP
0
$1 Exacta Pool
$84,646"
pgno bet size
1 -
2 -
3 0.58
4 -
5 -
6 -
7 -
8 0.42
9 -
10 -
11 -
12 -
13 -
14 -
15 -
16 -
1.00
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"CONSIDER THIS"
IN THE SECOND LISTING OF THIS RACE, THE BET ON THE "YOUR HORSE" (IN THIS CASE THE 2 HORSE), OVER MY 3 HORSE IS $.58, THE 2/3 , $1 EXACTA TRACK PAYOUT WAS $29.75. OURR $1 RETURN WAS $17.26. LESS THE $2 PLAY ON BOTH LISTINGS, OUR RETURN WAS $15.26. THE $1 WIN PAYOUT WAS $9.90.
OUR EXACTA PLAY OUTPERFORMED THE $1 WIN PLAY BY 154%
THAT IS THE RETURN OF YOUR HORSE OVER ALL BASED ON MY BET SIZE
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 05-06-2018 at 09:04 AM.
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05-06-2018, 09:17 AM
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#88
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
Code:
"Santa Anita Park
Race
6
Post
6:00
MTP
0
$1 Exacta Pool
$111,639"
YOUR CHOICE OVER pgno bet size
1 0.15
2 -
3 -
4 -
5 0.25
6 -
7 -
8 0.60
9 -
10 -
11 -
12 -
13 -
14 -
15 -
16 -
1.00
-----------------------------------------------
win bet
"Santa Anita Park
Race
6
Post
6:00
MTP
0
$1 Exacta Pool
$111,639"
pgno bet size
1 -
2 0.24
3 0.55
4 0.12
5 -
6 -
7 0.09
8 -
9 -
10 -
11 -
12 -
13 -
14 -
15 -
16 -
1.00
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" CONSIDER THIS"
THIS RACE WAS WON BY THE 3/2 RETURNING ONLY A 6 CENT PROFIT ON THE PLAY.
HOWEVER, DO THE MATH FOR THE 10TH RACE AT CD. THE 4/3 EXACTA RETURNED $1753, THE BET RETURNED $120, COMPARED TO A $1 STARIGHT WIN BET WHICH RETURNED ONLY $40.70.
THERE IS A TRADE-OFF IN THIS KIND OF PLAY, THE RESULTS OF WHICH ARE TO BE DETERMINED BY REVIEWING MORE PLAYS
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 05-06-2018 at 09:23 AM.
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05-06-2018, 09:58 AM
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#89
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
" CONSIDER THIS"
HOWEVER, DO THE MATH FOR THE 10TH RACE AT CD. THE 4/3 EXACTA RETURNED $1753, THE BET RETURNED $120, COMPARED TO A $1 STARIGHT WIN BET WHICH RETURNED ONLY $40.70.
THERE IS A TRADE-OFF IN THIS KIND OF PLAY, THE RESULTS OF WHICH ARE TO BE DETERMINED BY REVIEWING MORE PLAYS
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THEN AGAIN, THERE WERE 14 HORSES IN THIS RACE. A $1 BET, "YOUR HORSE" OVER ALL 13 HORSES WOULD COST $13 AND RETURN $134 ON THE DOLLAR.
LIKE I SAY, THERE IS A TRADEOFF. MUST BE LOOKED INTO FURTHER
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 05-06-2018 at 10:07 AM.
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05-06-2018, 10:36 AM
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#90
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
"UK Newmarket
Race
4
Post
10:35
MTP
0
$1 Exacta Pool
$28,889"
YOUR CHOICE OVER pgno BET SIZE
1 0.05
2 0.18
3 0.05
4 0.32
5 0.27
6 0.12
7 0.16
8 0.08
9 0.10
10 0.06
11 0.15
12 0.20
13 0.14
14 0.10
15 0.01
16 -
2.00
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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