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Old 12-24-2018, 09:45 AM   #1
biggestal99
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The Jersey Exchange Layers (12-24-2018)

In this thread I will attempt to make a profit using exchange tracks laying horses.


Here are my rules.


1. Only one horse a day
2. my bet will be posted before the race is run
3. stake will be 50 units
4. will not post everyday. Only when the appropriate opportunity arises.
5. Most if not all of my bets will be SP. (Betfair Starting Price)
6. all of my bets will be lays
7. actual Profits/And or losses will be posted with the 12% commission deducted. (losses dont have a commission attached to them)

8. Thread will end after 100 plays. (5000 units risked)


Allan
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Old 01-04-2019, 01:26 PM   #2
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My first play will be a bet against will be an easy one

50 units against Market high in the first race at Tampa today (1-4-2019). Slow 1 for 20 mare with no redeeming qualities in a 5 horse field at BSP (Betfair Starting Price)

Allan

Last edited by biggestal99; 01-04-2019 at 01:27 PM.
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Old 01-04-2019, 01:58 PM   #3
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Results

50@29.24

Profit—1.57

Allan

Last edited by biggestal99; 01-04-2019 at 02:00 PM.
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Old 01-05-2019, 01:17 PM   #4
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2nd play

Tampa 1st today 1-5-2019

Dancers Kin

Slow maiden for low percentage connections in a 6 horse field

50 units @ BSP against.

Allan
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Old 01-05-2019, 01:32 PM   #5
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2nd play results

50@15.30

Profit 3.07

Composite results

2 plays
Profitó4.64

Allan
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Old 01-07-2019, 01:44 PM   #6
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3rd play

50 units on good save is a horse that has soured on racing, used to be good but now is on at least an 0 for 23 run with one second for low percentage connections. Today is not the day.

Parx 2nd (1-7-2019)

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Old 01-07-2019, 02:21 PM   #7
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3nd play results

50@93.66

Profitó.47

Composite results

Plays 3

Profitó5.11

Sorry about that price 12-1 ml becomes 93 yikes

Allan
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Old 01-08-2019, 04:31 PM   #8
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4th play

8th at Parx (1-8-2019)

I always love betting against good trip winners when the horse wonít get one today so 50 units against donít make it easy. Won 2 of 3 but this is harder.

Allan
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Old 01-08-2019, 04:50 PM   #9
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Just realized race was running when I posted. So no play

However I did win the race but I wonít count it

Bet
20:34 Parx Racing At Philadelphia Park
Dont Make It Easy - Win
Lay 22.63
(BSP) 2,31 49,97
2,03
Won
08-Jan-19
20:35:38 20:34 Parx Racing At Philadelphia Park
Dont Make It Easy - Win
Betfair Bet ID 1:150207914145 | Placed: 08-Jan-19 20:27:13 Lay 22.63
(BSP) 2,31 49,97
--
Won
Gross Profit/Loss: ($) 2,31 | Commission (12.12%): ($) 0,28 | Net Profit/Loss: 2,03

Allan
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Old 01-11-2019, 01:28 PM   #10
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4th play take 2

I hate absolutely hate Prequalified in the 1st at Tampa today. (1-11-2019)
5 year old gelding has had 4 starts and has not shown any ability to pass horse so low percentage jock will have to use him early and that early effort will take too much out of him and he will be fading late. Trainer won only one race last year, so bob Baffert he is not.

All signs are pointing to him not winning so

50 units against @betfair starting price.

Allan
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Old 01-11-2019, 01:58 PM   #11
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4th play results

11-Jan-19
17:51:32 17:45 Tampa Bay Downs
Prequalified - Win
Betfair Bet ID 1:150456895130 | Placed: 11-Jan-19 1722 Lay 24.78
(BSP) 2,10 49,94
--
Won
Gross Profit/Loss: ($) 2,10 | Commission (11.90%): ($) 0,25 | Net Profit/Loss: ($) 1,85

Composite

4 plays
Profitó6.96

Allan
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Old 01-12-2019, 03:40 PM   #12
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5th play

Going with a Firster here.

50 units on itsallridingonme to lose Tampa,s 5th on 1-12-2019

Horse works have been slow and draws the rail for low percentage connections

Maiden specials doesnít seem like a good spot for debut.

Allan
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Old 01-12-2019, 03:59 PM   #13
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5th play results

12-Jan-19
19:53:42 19:38 Tampa Bay Downs
Itsallridingonme - Win
Betfair Bet ID 1:150615673122 | Placed: 12-Jan-19 19:34:12 Lay 106.38
(BSP) 0,47 49,53
--
Won
Gross Profit/Loss: ($) 0,47 | Commission (12.77%): ($) 0,06 | Net Profit/Loss: ($) 0,41

Yikes 12-1ml becomes 105-1. Lol. Not good.

Composite

5 plays
Profits 7.37

Allan
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Old 01-13-2019, 03:49 PM   #14
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6th play

I really donít like Gold Ducat in todayís 6th at Tampa. (1-13-2019) Speed and fade in only turf try and broke maiden last out dirt sprinting. Unsure why they are giving turf another go but these are low percentage connections for a reason.

50 units @ BSP against.

Allan
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Old 01-13-2019, 04:02 PM   #15
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6th play results

13-Jan-19
19:57:23 19:49 Tampa Bay Downs
Gold Ducat - Win
Betfair Bet ID 1:150727060254 | Placed: 13-Jan-19 19:44:26 Lay 46.83
(BSP) 1,09 49,95
--
Won
Gross Profit/Loss: ($) 1,09 | Commission (11.93%): ($) 0,13 | Net Profit/Loss: ($) 0,96

Composite

6 plays
Profits 8.33

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