Race of the Day -- TRACK PHANTOM

[Track Phantom]

11/13/16 DMR R1 MSW 52K, 6.5F DIRT (12:30)

1 MY PRINCE HARRY 5-2
2 WILLISTON DUDE 2-1
3 RIVER’S EDGE 5-1
7 SMUGGLER UNION 5-1

PICK: 1 MY PRINCE HARRY (5-2)
Not all that surprising that he faded in the route try last out. His breeding is all sprint on both sides of the pedigree. He ran in front of Moe Candy two back at the sprint distance and that one came back to win beating the main foes here.

VALUE: 3 RIVER’S EDGE (5-1)
Closed strongly to get up for 3rd in the common race won by Moe Candy. Went off at nearly 50-1 in there because this trainer rarely has them geared up for a debut. Has 3 works since the first start and that slow 3F move says readiness.

A) 1,2
B) 3,7
C) 4

[Track Phantom]

11/18/16 DMR R8 MSW 52K, 1M TURF (3:59)

4 SIX POINT RACK 8-1
5 JET SKI 5-2
1 DR. TROUTMAN 6-1
7 MARCKIE’S WATER 12-1

PICK: 4 SIX POINT RACK (8-1)
Dam was stakes placed on the turf and most of the stakes caliber siblings were turf runners. He was off slow in the first start from the rail, not a good thing for a debut runner. He was steadied twice in the last start and very wide. Trainer won 6 of his last 12 starts. Expect more.

VALUE: 7 MARCKIE’S WATER (12-1)
According to the clocker reports, he has a turfy move about him. The debut was so bad that, in conjunction w/ no class drop here, has to be discounted. The dam was all turf (won MSW on this turf course in 2010) for these connections.

A) 4,5
B) 1,7,10,11
C) 2,8,13,14

[Track Phantom]

Full card reports for Del Mar, Delta Downs and Laurel Park for Saturday, 11/19/16. Click the link in the signature.

11/19/16 DMR R8 OPT CLM 100K, 1M 1/8 TURF (3:59)

9 PERFECTLY MAJESTIC 5-1
7 ITSINTHEPOST 3-1
8 WANSTEAD GARDENS 5-1
1 PLAY HARD TO GET 12-1

PICK: 9 PERFECTLY MAJESTIC (5-1)
Last effort was much better than it may appear. :48.3 half set by the 3rd place finisher was a full second slower than any other 4F time for a mile on the turf at SA. This one was able to close into that pace. He hasn't run a bad race this year. Never off the board on this grass.

VALUE: 8 WANSTEAD GARDENS (5-1)
He's always run well over this turf and last time he ran in a non-graded stakes race, he won and beat a few of these at 11-1. Was in with much better the last 2 starts. Gets a huge rider change for this in picking up HOF rider Smith. Late run.

A) 7,9
B) 1,3,8
C) 2,4,5

[Track Phantom]

11/20/16 DMR R3 MSW 52K, 6F DIRT (1:29)

6 VEILED HEAT 4-1
4 SIRCAT SALLY 3-1
2 RADISH 5-1
8 LI’L GRAZEN 6-1

PICK: 6 VEILED HEAT (4-1)
Trainer 0 for 25 w/ just 3 in the money with 1sters before this one. Took action despite the trainer, overcame the poor start. Exits a key race. Winner romped in 2nd start (150k stakes). 2nd and 4th won since (4th by 8, 83 Beyer). Strong work on 11/12. Think there is something here.

VALUE: 2 RADISH (5-1)
Trainer O'Neill is very streaky. When his runners are live, they win in bunches and they often get bet. He's starting to heat up (won the Delta Princess, upset here Saturday with one who was really bet hard, 12-1 to 7-2). Nice bullet drill here on 11/12/16. Has very good speed.

A) 4,6
B) 2,5,8
C) 1,7

[Track Phantom]

11/24/16 DMR 1 CLM 32K, 7F DIRT (11:00)

6 EICHEL 3-1
4 THE ALL BUTTON 7-5
5 FRENCH GENERAL 10-1
3 THREE ECLIPSE 4-1

PICK: 6 EICHEL (3-1)
Exits a race where the winner won back in his next start and beat the morning line favorite, The All Button. Had to go 6 or 7 wide on the turn and really lost a lot of ground in that last start. Faced a good field on the turf two back. Comes in with strong worktab. Baze stays up.

VALUE: 5 FRENCH GENERAL (10-1)
Shipped to Turf Paradise to try a 96k stakes there. Tired from setting a fast early pace. Last time on this dirt track, he was in a very strong opt clm race. 7 pound weight allowance with bug rider for this. May get a piece at a nice price.

A) 4,6
B) 3,5
C) 1,2,7

[Track Phantom]

Aqueduct and Del Mar Full Card Sheets for 11/25/16 at the link in the signature below

11/25/16 DMR 1 CLM 8K, 6F DIRT (12:30)
9 ALTAIRA 5-2
8 ALLTHATNMORE 5-1
7 AUDRA 8-1
4 MUDGE 12-1

PICK: 9 ALTAIRA (5-2)
She look very honest for this level. She has been claimed 3 times In her last 6 starts. Mullins does well first off a claim and he keeps this apprentice rider up, as he has done well with her. She's had a big season, hitting the board 10 of 11 races. Looks like she's at the right level.

VALUE: 8 ALLTHATNMORE (5-1)
She can beat this field if she's healthy. We just don't know that she is. Claimed three back out of a win, she ran a good 3rd behind the top choice first off that claim. Pulled up in same race top pick was 6th, both bet about same in there.

A) 9
B) 7,8
C) 4,5,6

[Track Phantom]

Churchill, Aqueduct, Del Mar full card analysis sheets for Sat by clicking the link in the signature below

11/26/16 DMR 8 SEABISCUIT 200K, 1M 1/16 T (3:30)
7 RING WEEKEND 4-1
4 VYJACK 3-1
3 OM 5-2
5 WHAT A VIEW 7-2

PICK: 7 RING WEEKEND (4-1)
Won the Grade 1 Kilroe at SA with this rider up at 8-1. He looked like he had a lot of run in the BC Mile but was down on the rail and had to steady and lost a bit of momentum. Gets a perfect trip in this spot and he loves the distance. He is a classy millionaire. Should be there.

VALUE: 4 VYJACK (7-2)
Never got into the race in the BC Dirt Mile but he is much better than he was on that day. Ran down a very fast pace in the G2 two back. Clockers have him working extremely well since the BC. He should sit a good trip in the mid pack.

A) 4,7
B) 3,5
C) 1,6,8

[Track Phantom]

11/27/16 DMR 3 MDN CLM 32K, 5F DIRT (1:26)

5 WE GO NOW 5-2
7 CAMMY’S MUSIC 7-2
1 DAPPER DIXIE 8-1
8 SHADES PLAY 4-1

PICK: 5 WE GO NOW (5-2)
Cal-bred tried claimers for the first time in his last start. He pressed the fast pace and ran a respectable 4th. The runner-up in the race returned to win wire to wire Saturday and the show finisher ran 3rd in that same race. There were 3 next out winners from his race 3 back. The interior fractions look too quick for these. Worked well since last.

VALUE: 1 DAPPER DIXIE (8-1)
Flashed speed in the debut when sent off at 16-1. He was hung out 4 wide and he tired in the late going. Hasn't been out in nearly 6 weeks but the clockers say he is working better than he did prior to the debut. Might have a problem from the rail at this shorter distance if he breaks poor. Should improve.

A) 5
B) 1,7,8
C) 2,3,4,6

[Track Phantom]

12/1/16 DMR1 CLM 12K, 6F DIRT (12:30)

1 RUN SOPHIA RUN 5-2
6 EASTER FEVER 2-1
4 Q’ VIVA 4-1
2 PRINCESS KENDRA 7-2

PICK: 1 RUN SOPHIA RUN (5-2)
6YO mare has stayed in sharp form during this entire year (12 of 13 in the money). She was claimed three back by trainer J Wong, who has won with 4 of his last 10 starts at Del Mar. Winner two back returned to take a starter allowance at GG. Blinkers removed here. Presses the pace while saving ground.

VALUE: 4 Q’ VIVA (4-1)
She has a fantastic record at Del Mar. She's been in the money in 6 of 7 starts over this dirt course. Ships in from GG. She ran with the top choice in back to back starts there. Gets a massive rider upgrade. Desormeaux was aboard her the last time she ran here at Del Mar. She should carve out great trip.

A) 1,4,6
B) 2
C) 3,5

[Track Phantom]

12/2/16 DMR1 MDN CLM 20K, 6F DIRT (12:30)

7 LITTLE MUSTARD 5-1
9 MINTENIZED 5-2
5 WOODSTOCK MEMORY 4-1
1 WILD MISCHIEF 15-1

PICK: 7 LITTLE MUSTARD (5-1)
He's beaten 31 runners in his last 4 starts. The last two starts he broke from very wide posts and still ran pretty well. Claimed from his last start and keeps Pedroza aboard for the 2nd time. He's hit the board in 3 of his 4 starts at the distance. Late runner should be picking off wobbly foes in the lane here.

VALUE: 1 WILD MISCHIEF (15-1)
Not exactly a reliable type here but the race two back is interesting. He was nosed out for 3rd by a runner who came back to win at GG for 8k maiden claiming. The winner won by more than 5 lengths when facing starter allowance next out (91 Beyer figure). Last too bad to be believed. Fits with these.

A) 7,9
B) 1,5
C) 6

[Track Phantom]

Full card analysis sheets for Saturday include Del Mar, Aqueduct and Gulfstream Park (Claiming Crown Day). Click on the link in the signature below.

12/3/16 DMR4 MDN CLM 40K, 5.5F DIRT (1:56)

9 DATCATSA GEM 7-2
3 NOT CHOPPED LIVER 5-2
1 RUN MACHO RUN 5-1
5 CLASSIC RULER 5-1

PICK: 9 DATCATSA GEM (7-2)
Debut was very good. The winner has since run 2nd in a 90k stakes at CD and was 5th of 10 in the $1M Delta Jackpot. Run two back would likely win this. 4th came back to run 2nd in 75k mdn clm. Comes in with 3 works since last and picks up Baze for this.

VALUE: 5 CLASSIC RULER (5-1)
Was in the race won by Pumpkin Star on Nov 11th. 5th place finisher, North Grey, came back to win on Friday at 3-1 vs 32k mdn clm. 6th was 2nd in the same race. Sharp work since last.

A) 9
B) 1,3,5
C) 4,6,8

[Track Phantom]

12/4/16 DMR1 MSW 52K, 5F TURF (12:30)

9 HOT IN THE CITY 5-1
12 SINGLEFORAREASON 15-1
4 MOON KITTY 7-2
3 SLALOM 12-1

PICK: 9 HOT IN THE CITY (5-1)
Turf winning dam is half to My Miss Sophia (2nd '14 Ky Oaks, won 178k on turf) and Materiality (won '15 Fla Derby). Works are superb in No. Cal. which prompted debut vs top fillies here. K Desormeaux adds to appeal.

VALUE: 12 SINGLEFORAREASON (15-1)
Not sure if there is much turf in this pedigree but she is certainly sitting on a big race here. Exits a key MSW (winner took a 400k stakes by 13 next). Clockers high on recent drills.

A) 4,9,12
B) 2,3,6,7
C) 1,5,10

[NorCalGreg]

Saw you up on the leaderboard of the DelMar online handicapping contest.

Good job

[Track Phantom]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Saw you up on the leaderboard of the DelMar online handicapping contest.

Good job

Thanks. Might have done a bit better had I realized they incorporated exacta and trifecta options this year. I played strictly win bets for the first 4 or 5 days. Would have never caught the leaders though...

[Track Phantom]

Both Aqueduct and Los Alamitos full card analysis sheets are available for Friday, 12/9/16 at the link in the signature below.

1 MDN CLM 50K, 5.5F DIRT (1:00)

3 AMODEI 8-5
4 CUPID’S BEAU 4-1
1 LOFTY CAUSE 2-1
2 P TOWN TITAN 15-1

PICK: 3 AMODEI (8-5)
Been 2nd, beaten less than a length, in 2 MSW races. Only poor dirt runs came in his 2nd start when the blinkers were added and 3 back from the rail. The 3 back race was won by a firster who ran 3rd in the G3 Bob Hope behind Mastery in his next start. Can excuse the 2 turf starts going long. He's the one to beat.

VALUE: 4 CUPID’S BEAU (4-1)
Faced the top choice in both starts. He was only 1 behind him in the dirt start and that came in debut. Blinkers are added for this and back to sprint in this spot. Trainer is good on this class drop.

A) 3
B) 4
C) 1,2,6