Silverwave had a crazy trip in that UN last time at Monmouth... Wide and advancing without a flow on his own. Race held together but he was at worst 2nd or 3rd best and the literal form shows him '5th' so that's usually a good value. Owner doesn't scoff at a G1 UN, but this is one of his Toga horses. This is what you call a stakes prep and he'd like to contend and/or win today.
Hello Don Julio looks like a 'trap' to me. That was a good looking pace, and maybe they were just a really strong field, but it was fairly bunched-up for a supposedly mega-hot pace, and he had little to offer after striking the front.
No part of this guy in the 9/2 - 7/1 range.
Call Provision comes out of that same race as the 4 and once straightened showed a near-brilliant turn of foot, but then hung in the final strides. He has to be respected.
Rocketry
beat up on some bums @ Bel 2-back, but his price is too low here. He's a solid horse.
Patterson Cross is in that same solid but lacking much value category with the
. Grinded into a flow-aided win last time
I guess a small bet on the 7 is in order since he is not favored.