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Old 05-06-2018, 08:31 AM   #16
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Correction. Must have been gitty. I neglected to subtract the amount of the bets over the weekend.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Aner View Post
Overall:

win frequency (15/53) = 28%
win-----------(+1.00/106) = <1% profit


place frequency (27/53) = 51%
place----------(+0.70/106) = <1% profit
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Old 05-12-2018, 12:10 PM   #17
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Picks for 5/12/18:

Bel 3-----#3 Chalon
Bel 10---#4 Blended Citizen

Mth 1-----#8 Last Play
Mth 4-----#4 Salinger
Mth 10---#3 He's Got Talent

Pim 3-----#3 Hot Friesia
Pim 5-----#8 Troublesome
Pim 8-----#6 True Egyptian

GP 2------#3 Bonterra

SA 2------#5 Foxy Fresh
SA 6------#4 Conquest Typhoon
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Old 05-13-2018, 10:16 AM   #18
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Picks for 5/12/18:

Bel 3-----#3 Chalon-----------------------xxxx, 3.60
Bel 10---#4 Blended Citizen-------------11.40, 4.40


Mth 1-----#8 Last Play
Mth 4-----#4 Salinger---------------------xxxx, 3.20
Mth 10---#3 He's Got Talent

Pim 3-----#3 Hot Friesia-------------------6.40, 3.40
Pim 5-----#8 Troublesome
Pim 8-----#6 True Egyptian

GP 2------#3 Bonterra

SA 2------#5 Foxy Fresh-------------------xxxx, 2.40
SA 6------#4 Conquest Typhoon

Overall:

win frequency (17/64) = 26%
win---------(-3.20/128) = 2% loss



place frequency (32/64) = 50%
place---------(-4.30/128) = 3% loss
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Old 05-13-2018, 11:32 AM   #19
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Picks for 5/13/18:

SA 1-----#1 Roaring Fork
SA 2-----#1 Get Yourself Home
SA 3-----#3 Avail
SA 5-----#1 Dee Way to Go
SA 8-----#2 Giant Mark
SA 9-----#5 Amazon Cry
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Old 05-13-2018, 08:17 PM   #20
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For the Day:

win 3/6
place 5/6
win = (20.00-12.00) = +8.00
place =(21.40-12.00) = +9.40


Picks for 5/13/18:

SA 1-----#1 Roaring Fork----------------XXXX, 8.20
SA 2-----#1 Get Yourself Home----------4.40, 3.00
SA 3-----#3 Avail-------------------------XXXX, 3.00
SA 5-----#1 Dee Way to Go------------- 5.60, 3.20
SA 8-----#2 Giant Mark
SA 9-----#5 Amazon Cry----------------10.00, 4.00


Overall:

win frequency (20/70) = 26%
win---------(+4.80/140) = 3% profit

place frequency (37/70) = 50%
place---------(+4.10/140) = 3% profit
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Old 05-26-2018, 12:46 PM   #21
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Picks for 5/26/18

Bel 1-----#2 Playwright
Bel 2-----#2 Markitoff
Bel 3-----#5 Ride on Faith
Bel 4-----#3 Charnley River
Bel 5-----#6 Polar City
Bel 6-----#7 Appealing Briefs

Mth 4-----#10 Highland Bowl
Mth 6-----#7 Aqua Teen
Mth 12----#2 Projected

Pim 3-----#4 Scoreearlyandoften

SA 5------#2 Accelerate
SA 6------#6 Itsinthepost
SA 8------#6 Beau Recall
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Old 05-27-2018, 12:39 AM   #22
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For the Day:

win 6/13
place 8/13
win = (32.00-26.00) = +6.00
place =(26.00-26.00) = +0.00


Picks for 5/26/18

Bel 1-----#2 Playwright---------------2.90, 2.30
Bel 2-----#2 Markitoff-----------------XXX, 4.70
Bel 3-----#5 Ride on Faith------------3.40, 2.40
Bel 4-----#3 Charnley River
Bel 5-----#6 Polar City-----------------8.10, 4.10
Bel 6-----#7 Appealing Briefs----------XXX, 2.90

Mth 4-----#10 Highland Bowl
Mth 6-----#7 Aqua Teen
Mth 12----#2 Projected

Pim 3-----#4 Scoreearlyandoften--------8.20, 4.20

SA 5------#2 Accelerate------------------5.80,3.00
SA 6------#6 Itsinthepost-----------------3.60, 2.40
SA 8------#6 Beau Recall

Overall:

win frequency (26/83) = 31%
win---------(+10.80/166) = 6% profit

place frequency (45/83) = 54%
place---------(+4.10/166) = 2% profit
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Old 06-02-2018, 12:40 PM   #23
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Picks for 6/2/18

Bel 1-----#1 entry
Bel 2-----#2 Ranger in Paradise
Bel 3-----#2 La Naturet
Bel 5-----#4 Ouro Verde

GP 1-----#9 Oscura
GP 12----#3 Heavens Pulpit

SA 3-----#6 Artistic Ab
SA 4-----#6 Kona Coast
SA 6-----#9 Fly First Class
SA 10----#6 Incensed

AP 7------#6 Puntsville
AP 9------#6 Richie'swildcat
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Old 06-03-2018, 10:14 AM   #24
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For the Day:

win 5/12
place 6/12
win = (22.10-24.00) = -1.90
place =(19.70-24.00) = -4.30

Picks for 6/2/18

Bel 1-----#1 entry----------------------------5.10, 2.70
Bel 2-----#2 Ranger in Paradise-------------xxxx, 6.60
Bel 3-----#2 La Naturet----------------------3.00, 2.40
Bel 5-----#4 Ouro Verde

GP 1-----#9 Oscura
GP 12----#3 Heavens Pulpit-----------------6.80, 3.00

SA 3-----#6 Artistic Ab
SA 4-----#6 Kona Coast---------------------3.80, 2.60
SA 6-----#9 Fly First Class
SA 10----#6 Incensed

AP 7------#6 Puntsville-----------------------3.40, 2.40
AP 9------#6 Richie'swildcat

Overall:

win frequency (31/95) = 33%
win---------(+8.90/190) = 5% profit

place frequency (51/95) = 54%
place---------(-0.20/190) = -0.1% loss
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Old 06-09-2018, 12:24 PM   #25
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Picks for 6/9/18

Bel 3-----#4 Pacific Wind

Lrl 1-----#3 Graceful Request
Lrl 2-----#6 Platinum Pound
Lrl 4-----#5 Proud Maid Marion
Lrl 5-----#9 Flight Crew
Lrl 8-----#3 Scrapple
Lrl 12----#2 Crossing the Blues

GP 8------#1 Til the End

SA 4------#10 Pointed
SA 5------#1 Sapphire Kid
SA 7------#3 He's Stylish
SA 10-----#9 Myrcella
SA 11-----#6 Conquest Typhoon
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Old 06-10-2018, 12:23 AM   #26
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For the Day:

win 3/13
place 5/13
win = (32.20-26.00) = +6.20
place =(24.60-26.00) = - 1.40



Bel 3-----#4 Pacific Wind

Lrl 1-----#3 Graceful Request
Lrl 2-----#6 Platinum Pound------------------4.40, 2.20
Lrl 4-----#5 Proud Maid Marion
Lrl 5-----#9 Flight Crew
Lrl 8-----#3 Scrapple
Lrl 12----#2 Crossing the Blues

GP 8------#1 Til the End----------------------XXXX, 8.20

SA 4------#10 Pointed
SA 5------#1 Sapphire Kid-------------------19.80, 7.40
SA 7------#3 He's Stylish--------------------XXXX, 2.80
SA 10-----#9 Myrcella------------------------ 8.00, 4.00
SA 11-----#6 Conquest Typhoon

Overall:

win frequency (34/108) = 32%
win---------(+15.10/216.00) = 7% profit

place frequency (56/108) = 52%
place---------(-1.60/216.00) = -1% loss
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Old 06-16-2018, 11:54 AM   #27
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Picks for 6/16/18:

Bel 1-----#1 Patriotic Endeavor
Bel 2-----#3 Changewilldoyagood
Bel 5-----#5 Honey Dont

Lrl 1------#2 Daniella
Lrl 2------#6 Margie's Money
Lrl 11-----#6 Limited View

GP 2------#7 Quickluckycoco
GP 3------#2 Mauras Forever
GP 5------#3 Bitacora
GP 7------#11 Kyle's Boy
GP 12-----#4 Home Power

CD 4------#9 Brenda's Fever
CD 7------#2 Mopotism
CD 10-----#1 Honorable Treasure
CD 11-----#3 My Eminence

SA 2------#4 Keyson
SA 3------#2 Move Over
SA 4------#4 Anonymity
SA 6------#5 Chocolate Martini
SA 10-----#10 Beautiful Becca
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Old 06-17-2018, 01:07 AM   #28
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win 4/17
place 7/17
win = (22.40-34.00) = -11.60
place =(23.90-34.00) = -10.20

Picks for 6/16/18:

Bel 1-----#1 Patriotic Endeavor---------------------xxx, 3.90
Bel 2-----#3 Changewilldoyagood
Bel 5-----#5 Honey Dont

Lrl 1------#2 Daniella-------------------------------xxx, 2.80
Lrl 2------#6 Margie's Money----------------------5.80, 2.80
Lrl 11-----#6 Limited View

GP 2------#7 Quickluckycoco
GP 3------#2 Mauras Forever----------------------5.80, 3.80
GP 5------#3 Bitacora-----------------------------10.00, 5.20
GP 7------#11 Kyle's Boy
GP 12-----#4 Home Power

CD 4------#9 Brenda's Fever
CD 7------#2 Mopotism
CD 10-----#1 Honorable Treasure
CD 11-----#3 My Eminence------------------------xxx, 3.00

SA 2------#4 Keyson
SA 3------#2 Move Over--------------------------scratched
SA 4------#4 Anonymity--------------------------3.00, 2.40
SA 6------#5 Chocolate Martini
SA 10-----#10 Beautiful Becca ------------------scratched

Overall:

win frequency (38/125) = 30%
win---------(+3.50/250.00) = 1% profit

place frequency (63/125) = 50%
place---------(-11.70/250.00) = -5% loss
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Old 06-23-2018, 11:51 AM   #29
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Picks for 6/23/18

Bel 1-----#3 Saturdays Vapor
Bel 2-----#3 Herecomesyourman
Bel 7-----#7 Dream Passage
Bel 8-----#2 Turco Bravo
Bel 10----#12 Appealing Briefs

Mth 1-----#1 Match the Pot
Mth 7-----#5 Lady Bergen
Mth 8-----#4 Zeven
Mth 9-----#7 Tattered

SA 1------#4 Flammetta
SA 3------#5 Incensed
SA 8------#8 Paddock Pick
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Old 06-24-2018, 09:38 AM   #30
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win 4/12
place 7/12
win = (21.80-24.00) = -2.20
place =(25.20-44.00) = +1.20

Picks for 6/23/18

Bel 1-----#3 Saturdays Vapor
Bel 2-----#3 Herecomesyourman-----------------XXXX, 3.30
Bel 7-----#7 Dream Passage
Bel 8-----#2 Turco Bravo
Bel 10----#12 Appealing Briefs---------------------3.20, 2.30

Mth 1-----#1 Match the Pot
Mth 7-----#5 Lady Bergen-------------------------XXXX, 2.40
Mth 8-----#4 Zeven----------------------------------3.40, 2.20
Mth 9-----#7 Tattered-----------------------------XXXX, 7.80

SA 1------#4 Flammetta----------------------------9.80, 3.60
SA 3------#5 Incensed------------------------------5.40, 3.60
SA 8------#8 Paddock Pick

Overall:

win frequency (42/137) = 31%
win---------(+1.30/274.00) = <1% profit

place frequency (70/137) = 51%
place---------(-10.50/274.00) = -4% loss
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