Is This a good Longshot?

[TheOracle]

Hey Jay

There are only 6 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct

RowNum:	Date:	Race:	PgmNum:	Horse:	RaceCond:	Distance:	Trainer:	Odds:	Surface:
1	01-15-2018	1st race	3	Sand Shark (KY)	Claiming	One Mile	R R Rodriguez	1/1#	Dirt
2	01-15-2018	1st race	6	Three Eighty Eight (NY)	Claiming	One Mile	L Rice	7/5#	Dirt
3	01-15-2018	2nd race	3	Micozzi (KY)	Maiden Claiming	One Mile	L Rice	5/2#	Dirt
4	01-15-2018	2nd race	7	Silberado (KY)	Maiden Claiming	One Mile	R Handal	8/5#	Dirt
5	01-15-2018	3rd race	5	Empire Line (NY)	Stakes	One Mile	G Weaver	2/1#	Dirt
6	01-15-2018	3rd race	7	Jaye Jaye (NY)	Stakes	One Mile	W I Mott	5/2#	Dirt

Rice and Handal’s horses have been struggling lately. If you can get by the 3rd race today prices should be decent!!!

Let’s see what happens!!!

[jay68802]

Looked at the card and if I were to go with a favorite, why not go with Jaye Jaye in the 3rd. Have a good day.

[jay68802]

Gulfstream Race #5:


Smarter 8-1


Trainer has had a small number of starters ready. Has more speed than the 2 to his inside, and both the 5 and 8 hook. Rides the short way around the track and that might be the difference here.

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by jay68802

Looked at the card and if I were to go with a favorite, why not go with Jaye Jaye in the 3rd. Have a good day.

Hey Jay,

I don't know if you made money today at Aqueduct as there were 3 winners out of the 6 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1



From the 4th race on there were only 2 win prices less than double digits maybe the holidays are the days for longshots at Aqueduct!!!

[bpiets]

Originally Posted by TheOracle

Hey Jay,

I don't know if you made money today at Aqueduct as there were 3 winners out of the 6 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1



From the 4th race on there were only 2 win prices less than double digits maybe the holidays are the days for longshots at Aqueduct!!!

divine miss grey...lol.....a 1-4-8- box perhaps...lol

[jay68802]

Gulfstream Race #8:


Heart Astray 6-1


Outside draw gives Ortiz a clear trip and a choice to get the lead or sit just off the pace and wait. 5 of 6 in the money at the distance and is the only runner to record upper 80's speed figures twice.


Race #10:


Inside Trip 6-1


Confident move up the class ladder for second start of her life. See a few sprinters stretching out here and can come with a late run.

[jay68802]

Gulfstream Race #6:


Mal Guapo 6-1

16 time winner has 1 thought on his mind, get to the lead fast and stay there. The 2 back race was with a bad break, while wide and the last was in a duel. Gets the lead here and with only the favorite chasing, can take this one a long way on the front.

[TheOracle]

Hey Jay

Here are today’s Morning Line Favorites at Aqueduct that are less than 3-1

This makes up 15% of the entire card before scratches!!!

RowNum:	Date:	Race:	PgmNum:	Horse:	RaceCond:	Distance:	Trainer:	Odds:	Surface:
1	01-18-2018	1st race	6	Holland Park (KY)	Maiden Special Weight	One And One Eighth Miles	K P McLaughlin	4/5#	Dirt
2	01-18-2018	2nd race	5	Bluegrass Prevails (NY)	Claiming	Six Furlongs	R R Rodriguez	5/2#	Dirt
3	01-18-2018	3rd race	2	Frost Wise (NY)	Stakes	One And One Eighth Miles	M Dilger	9/5#	Dirt
4	01-18-2018	3rd race	3	Frostie Anne (NY)	Stakes	One And One Eighth Miles	R R Rodriguez	5/2#	Dirt
5	01-18-2018	3rd race	4	Riot Worthy (NY)	Stakes	One And One Eighth Miles	C Baker	2/1#	Dirt
6	01-18-2018	4th race	8	Split Time (NY)	Maiden Special Weight	One Mile	L Rice	1/1#	Dirt
7	01-18-2018	5th race	1	War Eagles Return (KY)	Claiming	Seven Furlongs	C J Englehart	9/5#	Dirt
8	01-18-2018	5th race	1A	Saratoga Heater (NY)	Claiming	Seven Furlongs	R Diodoro	9/5#	Dirt
9	01-18-2018	6th race	8	Gio dOro (NY)	Maiden Special Weight	One Mile	B H Cox	7/5#	Dirt
10	01-18-2018	7th race	8	Looking Ready (NY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	Six Furlongs	B N Levine	5/2#	Dirt
11	01-18-2018	9th race	8	Big Thicket (NY)	Maiden Claiming	One Mile	L Rice	5/2#	Dirt

I’m leaning towards Rodriguez, Diodoro and Cox
Rice will have to prove herself today!!!

[jay68802]

Aqueduct RAce #6:


My Lightnin Strike 15-1

Last race is deceptively good. Was on the turf and after hitting the gate, dueled between horses before fading. Back on the dirt today where the up front running style will transfer nicely.

[fiznow]

Turfway Park R6 Forego Stakes
#2 Gilded Lily ML 20-1 Filly against the boys
3 for 3 at distance, best bris speed at distance, 4 for 6 at TP, 4 for 7 at AW, Jockey 32% wins, trainer 33% wins, P best running style for this distance at TP.
Good luck!

[jay68802]

Gulfstream Race #10:


Surprise Wedding 10-1

Going to need some help up front to get this one home. 3 need the lead types make that possible. Looks like this horse was being pointed for this race.

[jay68802]

Gulfstream Race #9:


Arch Daddy 10-1

Broke the maiden last out and takes on winners now. Breeding suggests that the added distance will only help.

Race #10:


Fiore 10-1


She's coming off a big win and is quick out of the gate. Gets to sit in the 's hip pocket and can out finish that one.

[TheOracle]

Hey Jay,

Your longshots at Aqueduct will have to get by these today

RowNum:    Date:    Race:    PgmNum:    Horse:    RaceCond:    Distance:    Trainer:    Odds:    Surface:
1    01-25-2018    1st race    5    Bobby On Fleek (NY)    Claiming    Six Furlongs    R R Rodriguez    2/1#    Dirt
2    01-25-2018    1st race    6    Curtis (KY)    Claiming    Six Furlongs    G P Gullo    5/2#    Dirt
3    01-25-2018    2nd race    2    Bon Heir (FL)    Claiming    One Mile    L Rice    2/1#    Dirt
4    01-25-2018    2nd race    6    Thirstforthecup (KY)    Claiming    One Mile    T A Pletcher    5/2#    Dirt
5    01-25-2018    3rd race    3    Wealth Effect (KY)    Stakes    One And One Eighth Miles    C C Brown    5/2#    Dirt
6    01-25-2018    3rd race    5    Hail (KY)    Stakes    One And One Eighth Miles    W I Mott    8/5#    Dirt
7    01-25-2018    4th race    1    Free Kitty (KY)    Maiden Claiming    Seven Furlongs    L Rice    9/5#    Dirt
8    01-25-2018    4th race    5    Lemondrop Lollipop (ON)    Maiden Claiming    Seven Furlongs    D G Donk    2/1#    Dirt
9    01-25-2018    6th race    5    Timeless Beauty (KY)    Maiden Claiming    One Mile    G C Contessa    9/5#    Dirt
10    01-25-2018    6th race    6    Blissful Breeze (FL)    Maiden Claiming    One Mile    M E Casse    5/2#    Dirt
11    01-25-2018    7th race    4    Altar Boy (KY)    Claiming    One Mile    R R Rodriguez    5/2#    Dirt
12    01-25-2018    8th race    1    Lady Bergen (NY)    Allowance Optional Claiming    Six Furlongs    J Servis    2/1#    Dirt
13    01-25-2018    8th race    7    Andesine (NY)    Allowance Optional Claiming    Six Furlongs    C J Englehart    5/2#    Dirt
14    01-25-2018    9th race    7    Jacqueline D (NY)    Maiden Claiming    Seven Furlongs    D L Schettino    5/2#    Dirt

They make up 21% of the entire card before scratches

I'm leaning toward Rice and Rodriguez today!!!

[jay68802]

Gulfstream Race #5:


Dudacity 8-1


She ran a respectable first race, and looks like the move to the turf at a mile was planned. Gaffalione gets the nod here and catches a lot of suspect speed.


Race #8:


Boom Boom Boom 6-1


Have a lot of respect for the trainer, and Johnny V gets up. Gets a more comfortable pace here and is second off the layoff.

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by TheOracle

Hey Jay,

Your longshots at Aqueduct will have to get by these today

RowNum:    Date:    Race:    PgmNum:    Horse:    RaceCond:    Distance:    Trainer:    Odds:    Surface:
1    01-25-2018    1st race    5    Bobby On Fleek (NY)    Claiming    Six Furlongs    R R Rodriguez    2/1#    Dirt
2    01-25-2018    1st race    6    Curtis (KY)    Claiming    Six Furlongs    G P Gullo    5/2#    Dirt
3    01-25-2018    2nd race    2    Bon Heir (FL)    Claiming    One Mile    L Rice    2/1#    Dirt
4    01-25-2018    2nd race    6    Thirstforthecup (KY)    Claiming    One Mile    T A Pletcher    5/2#    Dirt
5    01-25-2018    3rd race    3    Wealth Effect (KY)    Stakes    One And One Eighth Miles    C C Brown    5/2#    Dirt
6    01-25-2018    3rd race    5    Hail (KY)    Stakes    One And One Eighth Miles    W I Mott    8/5#    Dirt
7    01-25-2018    4th race    1    Free Kitty (KY)    Maiden Claiming    Seven Furlongs    L Rice    9/5#    Dirt
8    01-25-2018    4th race    5    Lemondrop Lollipop (ON)    Maiden Claiming    Seven Furlongs    D G Donk    2/1#    Dirt
9    01-25-2018    6th race    5    Timeless Beauty (KY)    Maiden Claiming    One Mile    G C Contessa    9/5#    Dirt
10    01-25-2018    6th race    6    Blissful Breeze (FL)    Maiden Claiming    One Mile    M E Casse    5/2#    Dirt
11    01-25-2018    7th race    4    Altar Boy (KY)    Claiming    One Mile    R R Rodriguez    5/2#    Dirt
12    01-25-2018    8th race    1    Lady Bergen (NY)    Allowance Optional Claiming    Six Furlongs    J Servis    2/1#    Dirt
13    01-25-2018    8th race    7    Andesine (NY)    Allowance Optional Claiming    Six Furlongs    C J Englehart    5/2#    Dirt
14    01-25-2018    9th race    7    Jacqueline D (NY)    Maiden Claiming    Seven Furlongs    D L Schettino    5/2#    Dirt

They make up 21% of the entire card before scratches

I'm leaning toward Rice and Rodriguez today!!!

Today was a blood bath for the Chalk at Aqueduct as there was only 1 winner from this group and only 6 hit the board!!!

Only 3 win prices under $8 today!!!

Rice and Rodriguez’s Morning Lines less than 3-1 were completely off the board today!!!

Today was the day for longshots!!!