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12-24-2006, 12:55 AM
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#1
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 497
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You can't lose this way at the track (basketball disaster)`
I pick five hoop games today. Five-team parlays pay 20-1.
Four of the games win. Fifth game (first chronologically) was Texas, getting 4.
They lost by six.
In OVERTIME!
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12-24-2006, 08:50 AM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 338
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by PriceAnProbability
Fifth game (first chronologically) was Texas, getting 4.
They lost by six.
In OVERTIME!
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They lost by six after being up by 15 at half!!
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12-24-2006, 09:07 AM
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#3
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by PriceAnProbability
I pick five hoop games today. Five-team parlays pay 20-1.
Four of the games win. Fifth game (first chronologically) was Texas, getting 4.
They lost by six.
In OVERTIME!
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You should have factored that into your power rating. 
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12-24-2006, 10:11 AM
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#4
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,887
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How do you make an odds line for TWO competitors? 
Then lose!
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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12-24-2006, 01:18 PM
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#5
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BarelyWinning
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Santa Rosa, California
Posts: 2,828
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P&P,
You've been picking horses that lose consistiently enough you have whined about it here on the board. Now you have basketball kicking your butt. Think maybe you should find a different avocation?
Although I must say, it is rather delightful to listen to you whine and post "I quit." After putting money on a future glue factory hall of famer, and within hours, put up a post about you absolutely won't release any of your valuable hidden handicapping secrets so as not to destroy your prices.
So which is it? Are you going to 'Quit' or are you going to remain a handicapping dynamo, selecting losers, whining about it, but keep your handicapping secrets so your price isn't destroyed?
Handiman 
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12-24-2006, 01:27 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Bird Rock
Posts: 16,697
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by cj
You should have factored that into your power rating.
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Tom
How do you make an odds line for TWO competitors?
Then lose!
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Handiman
You've been picking horses that lose consistiently enough you have whined about it here on the board. Now you have basketball kicking your butt. Think maybe you should find a different avocation?
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12-24-2006, 04:48 PM
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#7
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 497
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Tom
How do you make an odds line for TWO competitors?
Then lose! |
This is a quirk in basketball betting, where the favorite can cover the spread in overtime, where if the game didn't go to OT, the dog would have covered. The dog was obviously the right side.
You can get bad racing luck at the track, but rarely will you lose a race just as you were about to win. This is like a horse breaking down three steps from the wire with a 10-length lead, in my case at 20-1 because it killed a five-team parlay.
If I post about my wins, you'll call it redboarding, and the last time I gave out a longshot winner here, I wound up getting flamed and then banned.
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12-24-2006, 05:09 PM
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#8
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
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Well, you won one because a horse broke down, and you lost one because a game went to overtime. Sounds like you are even on the luck scale.
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12-24-2006, 11:17 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Albany, NY
Posts: 1,879
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by PriceAnProbability
If I post about my wins, you'll call it redboarding, and the last time I gave out a longshot winner here, I wound up getting flamed and then banned.
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Why do you think we care about your losses?
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12-25-2006, 01:04 AM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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I'm not betting basketball now but when I did there was nothing I hated more than overtime. I bet more dogs than chalk, and more unders than overs. The squares love chalk and overs. I'll never forget having a Bulls/Charlotte game UNDER that was way under but went to OT. It was still under after 1 OT. Finally, in the closing seconds of the second OT, it goes over.
IMO, college basketball is one of the tougher sports to bet. Basketball has so many sides that come down to the last minute, and college kids are so unpredictable that their emotions often get the best of them.
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12-25-2006, 01:37 AM
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#11
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 497
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Ron
Why do you think we care about your losses?
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"We?"
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12-25-2006, 01:41 AM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2001
Posts: 16,847
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__________________
When you have to make a choice and don't make it, that is in itself a choice.
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12-25-2006, 02:24 AM
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#13
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Surly Member
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Near Santa Anita
Posts: 1,343
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Anyone who takes 20-1 on a five event parlay is either mathematically challenged or has a death wish. Save up your betting money for a bit and get the word "SUCKER" tattooed on your forehead. Trust me, that's what the bookies see.
Dick
Incompetence is a double-edged banana.
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12-25-2006, 03:34 AM
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#14
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PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,646
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by PriceAnProbability
If I post about my wins, you'll call it redboarding, and the last time I gave out a longshot winner here, I wound up getting flamed and then banned.
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Yup, that's EXACTLY how it went down..... 
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12-25-2006, 09:18 AM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 34
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Dick Schmidt
Anyone who takes 20-1 on a five event parlay is either mathematically challenged or has a death wish. Save up your betting money for a bit and get the word "SUCKER" tattooed on your forehead. Trust me, that's what the bookies see.
Dick
Incompetence is a double-edged banana.
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Wouldn't that depend on how historically successful his single game picking percentage is? If he has a 50%, 55% or 60% hit rate? or other? Assuming that his hit rate will continue.
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